2022-23 Bubbleville: "Are we seriously talking about this already?"

[RhowdyRam02]

Yes! Is it too early to talk about the bubble? Absofuckinglutely! That said, ESPN has us as 3rd team out going into the season, College Sports Madness has us as a 12 seed as the Atlantic 10's champion, and frankly I'm using this as a way to learn more about women's college basketball. So as long as this is relevant, I'll do my best to update. Probably going to be spotty here in the beginning because the tournament picture is so imprecise, but since it's opening day of college basketball I'm pretty excited.

http://www.espn.com/womens-college-bask ... acketology
https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/wo ... acketology

Fourth to last bye Washington State hosts Loyola Marymount at 3
Second to last bye Oregon State hosts Hawai'i at 8:30
Last bye South Dakota hosts Midland University at 8
Fourth to last in Colorado hosts New Mexico State at 2
Second to last in Florida State is up 94-32 on Bethune-Cookman with 7:12 to go in Tallahassee on the ACC Network
Last in Miami hosts Maryland-Eastern Shore at 4 on the ACC Network
First out Kentucky hosts Radford at 7 on SEC Network
Third out Rhode Island is at Harvard at 7 on ESPN+
Fourth out Liberty hosts Richmond at 3:30 on ESPN+
Fifth out Seton Hall hosts Saint Peter's at 7
Sixth out Virginia hosts George Washington at 5 on the ACC Network
Seventh out Kansas State hosts Central Arkansas at 6:30 on ESPN+

[RhowdyRam02]

Very nice 69-48 win for Richmond over fourth out Liberty

[RhowdyRam02]

Yes! Is it too early to talk about the bubble? Absofuckinglutely! That said, ESPN has us as 3rd team out going into the season, College Sports Madness has us as a 12 seed as the Atlantic 10's champion, and frankly I'm using this as a way to learn more about women's college basketball. So as long as this is relevant, I'll do my best to update. Probably going to be spotty here in the beginning because the tournament picture is so imprecise, but since it's opening day of college basketball I'm pretty excited.

http://www.espn.com/womens-college-bask ... acketology
https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/wo ... acketology

Fourth to last bye Washington State hosts Loyola Marymount at 3
Second to last bye Oregon State hosts Hawai'i at 8:30
Last bye South Dakota hosts Midland University at 8
Fourth to last in Colorado hosts New Mexico State at 2
Second to last in Florida State is up 94-32 on Bethune-Cookman with 7:12 to go in Tallahassee on the ACC Network
Last in Miami hosts Maryland-Eastern Shore at 4 on the ACC Network
First out Kentucky hosts Radford at 7 on SEC Network
Third out Rhode Island is at Harvard at 7 on ESPN+
Fourth out Liberty hosts Richmond at 3:30 on ESPN+
Fifth out Seton Hall hosts Saint Peter's at 7
Sixth out Virginia hosts George Washington at 5 on the ACC Network
Seventh out Kansas State hosts Central Arkansas at 6:30 on ESPN+

Fourth to last bye Washington State beat Loyola Marymount 93-41
Second to last bye Oregon State beat Hawai'i 61-60
Last bye South Dakota beat Midland University 106-41
Fourth to last in Colorado beat New Mexico State 85-55
Second to last in Florida State beat Bethune-Cookman 113-50
Last in Miami beat Maryland-Eastern Shore 83-51
First out Kentucky beat Radford 82-78
Third out Rhode Island lost at Harvard 88-74
Fourth out Liberty lost to Richmond 69-48
Fifth out Seton Hall beat Saint Peter's 73-39
Sixth out Virginia beat George Washington 85-59
Seventh out Kansas State beat Central Arkansas 83-43

[RhowdyRam02]

We're no longer on the ESPN bubble, so I'll take a break for at least the time being

[RhowdyRam02]

Seems like a good time to check back in since we're the A10 automatic qualifier, and a 13 seed, in both the College Sports Madness and ESPN brackets. Also both websites have schools with worse NET rankings on the bubble, even if they have those schools ultimately out. I think I'm only going to update this thread when one of the websites releases a new bracket and add these games to the games of interest thread.

https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/21287 from 1/17
https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections from 1/20

30 USC (CSM 9 seed, ESPN 3rd to last bye)
32 Kansas (CSM last in, ESPN 8 seed)
36 Mississippi State (CSM 4th to last in, ESPN 4th to last bye)
39 Marquette (CSM 2nd to last in, ESPN 4th team out)
40 Virginia (CSM 10 seed, ESPN first out)
42 Nebraska (ESPN last bye)
44 Washington State (ESPN 3rd to last in)
45 Miami (CSM 3rd out, ESPN 2nd to last bye)
46 Purdue (CSM 9 seed, ESPN 5th out)
49 Missouri (3rd to last in, ESPN 4th to last in)
50 St. John's (CSM first out, ESPN last in)
51 Drake (ESPN 8th out)
52 Stephen F. Austin (ESPN 7th out)
53 Georgia (ESPN 2nd out)
54 Princeton (ESPN 6th out)
57 Seton Hall (CSM 11 seed, ESPN 2nd to last in)
67 Rhode Island
68 West Virginia (CSM 2nd out)
70 Texas Tech (CSM 4th out, ESPN 3rd out)

[RhowdyRam02]

New brackets from ESPN and College Sports Madness yesterday, with us the A10 automatic qualifier in each. We moved to a 12 seed on ESPN and stayed a 13 on CSM.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections
https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/wo ... acketology

28 Creighton (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 6 seed)
29 USC (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 8 seed)
34 Columbia (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM Ivy AQ)
36 Mississippi State (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 11 seed)
39 Marquette (ESPN first out, CSM 10 seed)
40 Virginia (ESPN 7th out, CSM last four in)
42 Nebraska (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 3rd out)
44 Washington State (ESPN last bye, CSM 4th out)
45 Miami (ESPN 10 seed, CSM last four in)
46 Purdue (ESPN 2nd out, CSM last four in)
49 Missouri (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM last four in)
50 St. John's (ESPN last in, CSM 10 seed)
51 Drake (ESPN 8th out)
54 Georgia (ESPN 6th out)
56 Seton Hall (ESPN 4th out)
58 Oregon State (ESPN 3rd out)
67 West Virginia (ESPN 5th out, CSM 2nd out)
68 Rhode Island
70 Texas Tech (CSM 1st out)

[Blue Man]

RR02 - for those of us who only get to casually follow women's hoops on here, thanks for all of this!

[RhowdyRam02]

RR02 - for those of us who only get to casually follow women's hoops on here, thanks for all of this!

My pleasure

[RhowdyRam02]

New ESPN bracketology out today. https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections

31 USC (ESPN fourth to last bye, CSM 8 seed)
33 Columbia (ESPN last bye, CSM AQ)
36 Mississippi State (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 11 seed)
39 Marquette (ESPN first out, CSM 10 seed)
41 Miami (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 2nd to last in)
42 Nebraska (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM 3rd out)
43 Washington State (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 4th out)
44 Purdue (ESPN last in, CSM last in)
45 Virginia (CSM 4th to last in)
49 Georgia (ESPN 3rd out)
50 Drake (ESPN 6th out
51 Missouri (ESPN 4th out, CSM 3rd to last in)
52 Princeton (ESPN 8th out)
53 St. John's (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM 10 seed)
56 Oregon State (ESPN 2nd out)
68 Rhode Island
70 West Virginia (ESPN 5th out, CSM 2nd out)
71 Texas Tech (ESPN 7th out, CSM 1st out)

[RhowdyRam02]

ESPN and College Sports Madness came out with the newest brackets yesterday. We're a 12 seed on ESPN and a 12 on CSM:

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections
https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/wo ... acketology

29 Creighton (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 8 seed)
37 Purdue (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 8 seed)
39 Washington State (ESPN 3rd to last bye)
40 Mississippi State (ESPN 1st out, CSM 3rd out)
41 Nebraska (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM 2nd out)
42 Marquette (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM last in)
44 Miami (ESPN last bye, CSM 3rd to last in)
47 Princeton (ESPN 3rd out)
49 Georgia (ESPN last in, CSM 4th to last in)
53 Drake (ESPN 5th out)
54 St. John's (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 10 seed)
55 Seton Hall (ESPN 8th out, CSM 4th out)
56 Missouri (ESPN 7th out)
58 Bowling Green (ESPN 6th out, CSM AQ)
67 Rhode Island
70 West Virginia (ESPN 2nd out, CSM 2nd to last in)
71 Texas Tech (ESPN 4th out, CSM 1st out)

[RhowdyRam02]

New ESPN bracket out: https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections

29 Creighton (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 8 seed)
37 Purdue (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 8 seed)
38 Washington State (ESPN 3rd to last bye)
39 Nebraska (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 2nd out)
40 Mississippi State (ESPN first out, CSM 3rd out)
43 Miami (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 3rd to last in)
46 Georgia (ESPN last bye, CSM 3rd to last in)
47 Marquette (ESPN last in, CSM last in)
48 Princeton (ESPN 2nd out)
54 Missouri (ESPN 5th out)
56 St. John's (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM 10 seed)
57 Seton Hall (ESPN 4th out, CSM 4th out)
58 Bowling Green (ESPN 3rd out, CSM AQ)
61 Kansas State (ESPN 6th out)
64 UMass (ESPN 7th out)
69 Rhode Island
70 West Virginia (ESPN 8th out, CSM 2nd to last in)
72 Texas Tech (CSM 1st out)

[RhowdyRam02]

Latest brackets out today with URI a 12 seed on ESPN and CSM:

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections
https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/wo ... acketology

32 Kansas (ESPN 8 seed, CSM 2nd to last in)
37 Mississippi State (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM 3rd out)
39 Nebraska (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 2nd out)
41 Purdue (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 8 seed)
42 Princeton (ESPN 2nd out)
43 Georgia (ESPN last bye, CSM 4th last in)
44 Washington State (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 9 seed)
45 Miami (ESPN 4th last in, CSM 10 seed)
46 Marquette (ESPN last in, CSM 10 seed)
47 Oklahoma State (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 10 seed)
54 Seton Hall (ESPN 4th out, CSM 3rd to last in)
57 St. John's (ESPN 1st out, CSM last in)
59 Bowling Green (ESPN 3rd out, CSM AQ)
61 UMass (ESPN 5th out)
65 Syracuse (ESPN 6th out)
69 Rhode Island
72 Texas Tech (ESPN 8th out, CSM 1st out)
73 West Virginia (CSM 4th out)
74 Toledo (ESPN 7th out)

[jcru]

So far, so good. 11, 12, 13 are the range where they want to be when this all shakes out.

[RhowdyRam02]

New ESPN bracket out: https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... ojectionsC

33 Kansas (ESPN 8 seed, CSM 2nd to last in)
35 Mississippi State (ESPN last in, CSM 3rd out)
38 Marquette (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM 10 seed)
40 Purdue (ESPN last bye, CSM 8 seed)
42 Nebraska (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM 2nd out)
43 Miami (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 10 seed)
44 Arkansas (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 11 seed)
45 Princeton (ESPN 2nd out)
46 Georgia (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSN 4th to last in)
48 Washington State (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 9 seed)
55 St. John's (ESPN 1st out, CSM last in)
56 Seton Hall (ESPN 6th out, CSM 3rd to last in)
58 Bowling Green (ESPN 4th out, CSM AQ)
60 Syracuse (ESPN 3rd out)
63 UMass (ESPN 5th out)
68 Rhode Island (ESPN and CSM AQ and 12 seed)
70 Texas Tech (ESPN 8th out, CSM 1st out)
73 Toledo (ESPN 7th out)
74 West Virginia (CSM 4th out)

[Billyboy78]

So, if we beat UMass TWICE, will we be ranked higher than them?

[SmartyBarrett]

[Cameron_Dollar]

Bottom Line.
We will probably play UMASS two more times. If we win Thursday night, we need to run the regular season table and make it to the conference finals. We can lose that game. The other scenario is we lose Thursday and beat them for the conference championship and we're in. The third option, which I prefer is don't lose until the NCAA Tournament. If that happens, we could end up in a 5-12 game or a 6-11. I like our chances in that scenario.

[RhowdyRam02]

New ESPN and College Sports Madness brackets are out, we're still a 12 seed automatic qualifier in each

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections
https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/wo ... acketology

21 Oregon (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 3rd to last in)
33 Kansas (ESPN 8 seed, CSM 4th to last in)
35 Mississippi State (ESPN last in, CSM 10 seed)
38 Arkansas (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 10 seed)
40 Marquette (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM 10 seed)
42 Purdue (ESPN last bye, CSM 8 seed)
43 Nebraska (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM 4th out)
44 Georgia (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 11 seed)
46 Washington State (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 2nd to last in)
50 Princeton (ESPN 2nd out)
53 St. John's (ESPN 1st out, CSM 3rd out)
54 Bowling Green (ESPN 4th out, CSM AQ)
57 Seton Hall (CSM 2nd out)
59 Syracuse (ESPN 3rd out, CSM 1st out)
61 Rhode Island (AQ)
63 UMass (ESPN 5th out)
66 West Virginia (ESPN 7th out, CSM last in)
71 Toledo (ESPN 6th out)
72 Texas Tech (ESPN 8th out)

[RhowdyRam02]

New ESPN bracketology out, and UMass has taken over the automatic qualifier position from URI, however we are still considered to be on the bubble, 7th team out, so this thread rolls on!

http://www.espn.com/womens-college-bask ... acketology

21 Oregon (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 3rd to last in)
33 Kansas (ESPN 9 seed, CSM 4th to last in)
39 Mississippi State (ESPN last in, CSM 10 seed)
40 Georgia (ESPN last bye, CSM 11 seed)
41 Marquette (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 10 seed)
43 Arkansas (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM 10 seed)
43 Purdue (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 8 seed)
45 Washington State (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 2nd to last in)
49 Nebraska (ESPN 1st out, CSM 4th out)
50 Princeton (ESPN 2nd to last in)
54 St. John's (ESPN 4th out, CSM 3rd out)
55 Missouri (ESPN 6th out)
58 Syracuse (ESPN 3rd out, CSM 1st out)
59 Seton Hall (CSM 2nd out)
62 Kansas State (ESPN 5th out)
66 West Virginia (ESPN 2nd out, CSM last in)
68 Toledo (ESPN 8th out)
69 Rhode Island (ESPN 7th team out, CSM AQ)

[RhowdyRam02]

The latest brackets are out, and both of them now have UMass as the automatic qualifier. Neither have URI in, but ESPN does have us on the bubble

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections
https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/21392

25 Oregon (ESPN 3rd out)
34 Kansas (ESPN 9 seed, CSM 4th to last in)
37 Georgia (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 10 seed)
38 Mississippi State (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM 10 seed)
39 Marquette (ESPN last bye, CSM 7 seed)
41 Princeton (ESPN 3rd to last in)
45 Purdue (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 11 seed)
47 Arkansas (ESPN 1st out, CSM 3rd to last in)
48 Miami (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 10 seed)
50 Nebraska (ESPN 5th out)
52 Missouri (ESPN 4th out, CSM 2nd to last in)
57 Syracuse (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM 1st out)
58 St. John's (ESPN 2nd out, CSM last in)
60 Seton Hall (CSM 2nd out)
68 Toledo (ESPN 6th out)
69 Rhode Island (ESPN 7th out)
71 Washington (ESPN 8th out, CSM 4th out)
72 West Virginia (ESPN last in, CSM 3rd out)

[RhowdyRam02]

With our loss the other night we're no longer listed in the latest bracket for either one that I've been tracking, so this will go on a little break

[jcru]

The A10 is now officially a one bid Conference, if they weren't the entire time. They are only going to project the auto bid qualifier in the brackets, and it just goes to UMass as a placeholder, the way URI was the placeholder for a good portion of the season. But winning the regular season conference Championship has basically no bearing on who is going to the tourney. Whoever wins the A10 Tourney finals goes. And URI is among at least 4 teams who are vying for that opportunity.

[jcru]

IF... playing the IF game... URI had beaten Princeton instead of losing at the buzzer, and had also beaten Fordham instead of losing in similar fashion, at the buzzer. It may have been interesting if URI could have been a bubble at large team, even if someone else won the A10 tourney. Hopefully, in future years, that could become a possibility.

[steviep123]

Just curious if someone other than uri or umass wins. Is it then a 2 bid

[jcru]

If URI loses the finals and doesn't get the autobid: No.

And, I believe UMass's chances of losing to URI in the finals and getting an at-large/bubble bid, died, when they lost to St Louis, otherwise, it might have been interesting to see if they could have pulled that off with a 27-5 record combined with their NET if they had not lost to St Louis.

[SGreenwell]

Just curious if someone other than uri or umass wins. Is it then a 2 bid

Probably not. UMass is currently at 58 NET, and URI is at 69. Here are the NETs for the OOC wins URI had this year: Dartmouth (313), Providence (127), Coppin State (296), Southeast Missouri (270), Samford (256), Buffalo (220), Maine (209) and Hartford (361, currently 0-26 and dead last among all teams).

[RhowdyRam02]

With our loss the other night we're no longer listed in the latest bracket for either one that I've been tracking, so this will go on a little break

Break time is over, we're back on the bubble according to ESPN, as the 7th team out

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections
https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/21405

19 Oregon (ESPN 1st out)
36 Kansas (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM last in)
41 Marquette (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM 9 seed)
42 Illinois (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM 10 seed)
43 Nebraska (ESPN and CSM 3rd out)
46 Princeton (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM 2nd out)
47 Purdue (ESPN last bye, CSM 10 seed)
48 Michigan State (ESPN 8th out)
49 Miami (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 10 seed)
50 Arkansas (ESPN 4th out, CSM 4th to last in)
53 Syracuse (ESPN last in, CSM 3rd to last in)
54 St. John's (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 11 seed)
62 Kansas State (ESPN 6th out)
66 West Virginia (ESPN 2nd out, CSM 2nd to last in)
67 Washington (ESPN 5th out, CSM 1st out)
68 Seton Hall (CSM 4th out)
69 Rhode Island (ESPN 7th team out)

[RhowdyRam02]

That ESPN bracket was from Tuesday, he came out with a new one this morning that still has URI 7th out:

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections

19 Oregon (ESPN last in)
36 Kansas (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM last in)
41 Mississippi State (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 9 seed)
42 Marquette (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM 9 seed)
43 Nebraska (ESPN 4th out, CSM 3rd out)
46 Princeton (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM 2nd out)
47 Michigan State (ESPN 8th out)
48 Miami (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 10 seed)
49 Arkansas (ESPN 3rd out, CSM 4th to last in)
50 Purdue (ESPN last bye, CSM 10 seed)
55 St. John's (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 11 seed)
57 Syracuse (ESPN 1st out, CSM 3rd to last in)
62 Kansas State (ESPN 5th out)
66 West Virginia (ESPN 2nd out, CSM 2nd to last in)
67 Washington (ESPN 6th out, CSM 1st out)
68 Rhode Island (ESPN 7th out)
69 Seton Hall (CSM 4th out)

[SGreenwell]

Michigan State being 47th in NET, but ESPN's 8th out, seems kind of strange. But they're 7-10 in conference play, and 16-13 overall. Even if they've played a really tough schedule because of being in the Big 10, yeah, they're probably not going to get an at-large berth.

[RhowdyRam02]

Michigan State being 47th in NET, but ESPN's 8th out, seems kind of strange. But they're 7-10 in conference play, and 16-13 overall. Even if they've played a really tough schedule because of being in the Big 10, yeah, they're probably not going to get an at-large berth.

Oregon is even more strange. 19th in NET, ESPN has them last in, CSM doesn't have them in or first four out. 17-14 overall, 7-11 in conference play. Will be interesting to see just how much the women's side values NET over results

[RhowdyRam02]

There's a new ESPN bracket out today, I would guess there will also be a new one tomorrow before the games and then tomorrow between the time the games are completed and the selection show at 8 pm. Rhody still 7th out.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story ... rojections

19 Oregon (ESPN last in)
36 Kansas (ESPN 4th to last bye, CSM last in)
40 Mississippi State (ESPN 3rd to last bye, CSM 9 seed)
41 Princeton (ESPN 2nd to last in, CSM 2nd out)
43 Marquette (ESPN 4th to last in, CSM 9 seed)
44 Nebraska (ESPN 4th out, CSM 3rd out)
47 Michigan State (ESPN 8th out)
48 Arkansas (ESPN 2nd out, CSM 4th to last in)
49 Purdue (ESPN last bye, CSM 10 seed)
50 Miami (ESPN 2nd to last bye, CSM 10 seed)
55 St. John's (ESPN 3rd to last in, CSM 11 seed)
57 Syracuse (ESPN 3rd out, CSM 3rd to last in)
62 Kansas State (ESPN 5th out)
66 Seton Hall (CSM 4th out)
67 West Virginia (ESPN 1st out, CSM 2nd to last in)
68 Washington (ESPN 6th out, CSM 1st out)
69 Rhode Island (ESPN 7th out)