2014-15 Team Scoring Prediction Summary

[Obadiah]

87 participants in the Team Scoring bonus contest. The majority of participants expect a higher scoring Ram team this season. The predictions range from a high of 80.50 ppg to 64.20, a 16.30 ppg difference, which is quite large. Another surprise is that a good number of predictions are closely bunched.

Code: Select all

      Participant	  Team Average Scoring, ppg

1.	 Rhodymob05	             80.50

2.	 Billyboy78	             75.87
3.	 RhodeIslandBred	        75.82
4.	 PeterRamTime	           75.70
5.	 rhodyRams08	            75.30
6.	 jaywin86	               75.07

7.	 rhodylaw	               74.89
8.	 URI96	                  74.88
9.	 BFC	                    74.79
10.	Mongo	                  74.67
11.	sf2010	                 74.41

12.	bressler3south	         73.97
13.	Hurley Show	            73.88
14.	rhodyrob	               73.50
15.	NJRhodyFan	             73.46
16.	ATPTourFan	             73.45
17.	RoadyJay	               73.30
18.	NJ03	                   73.14

19.	URIGONZO	               72.80
20.	Rhody74	                72.51
21.	ChiPhiRhody03	          72.50
22.	Rhodyhooopz	            72.45
23.	RhodyO	                 72.44
24.	Rhody Guy	              72.34
25.	rambone 78	             72.33
26.	Kingston	               72.22
27.	Seawrightspostgame	     72.20
28.	adam914	                72.17
29.	bpaz11	                 72.11

30.	Rhody10ltu09	           71.93
31.	RhodyKyle	              71.88
32.	ramsman75	              71.85
33.	twisted3829	            71.83
34.	TruePoint	              71.71
35.	Sweep The Leg	          71.70
36.	luke 	                  71.66
37.	The Dude         	      71.59
38.	Blue Man	               71.44
39.	neil	                   71.43
40.	theblueram	             71.34
41.	ram1980	                71.25
42.	BPR2010	                71.23
43.	Ramulous	               71.12

44.	RhodyNJ	                70.99
45.	RhowdyRam02	            70.91
46.	rhodyram81	             70.83
47.	spookydog	              70.62
48.	CTRamfan	               70.60
49.	rodfromcranston	        70.50
50.	BuiltRamTough2005 	     70.45
51.	DC Ram	                 70.42
52.	RIFan	                  70.27
53.	gorhody89	              70.25
54.	Rhody22	                70.22
55.	bigappleram	            70.20
56.	rhodyruckus	            70.15
57.	jmck	                   70.14
58.	Andrew	                 70.12

59.	rhodyrudder	            69.97
60.	bjornsupremacy	         69.92
61.	DC_Rams	                69.91
62.	RAM67	                  69.89
63.	rhodyfan3	              69.84
64.	STC	                    69.69
65.	ramster	                69.60
66.	JFrech21	               69.58
67.	Ram1019	                69.36
68.	Essam	                  69.25
69.	Gonebarongone	          69.20

70.	MegaRamFan2	            68.99
71.	SmartyBarrett	          68.88
72.	ramfan85	               68.50
73.	Iggy1979	               68.45
74.	zporiri	                68.28
75.	RFORTE	                 68.18
76.	justns11	               68.11
77.	UCH21377	               68.05

78.	Section104	             67.54
79.	URI_IEP	                67.37
80.	jro44	                  67.35
81.	Stop! Rammer Time	      67.23
82.	RIHoopz14	              67.14

83.	Shinze88	               66.46
84.	URI_05	                 66.25

85.	Section(105)	           65.01

86.	URIFIJI	                64.85
87.	NY2Rhody	               64.20

[ramster]

Last Year the average was 68.0 for 31 games.
This year only 10 of 87 Posters are below last year's average.
So far this year:
- We scored 3 points fewer vs Pace than against Maine last year
- We scored 7 points fewer vs UMASS Lowell than against UMASS Lowell last year
Of course more wins will put us in a higher score category than if we lost in general, but some very high scoring averages expected for the most part.

[Rhody74]

I'm figuring a faster pace overall this season, unless the roster is depleted by injuries. More opportunities should mean more points.

[Obadiah]

Given the offense and poor shooting so far and the fact there are no more Paces on the schedule, it seems that anyone predicting team scoring north of 69 points is in trouble.

[Billyboy78]

Given the offense and poor shooting so far and the fact there are no more Paces on the schedule, it seems that anyone predicting team scoring north of 69 points is in trouble.

I predicted 75 because I thought we were going to be an intense, full court pressure defensive team with a fast breaking style of offense. I have seen neither.

[Obadiah]

Billyboy, I thought you had a good overall prediction, but your team scoring guess did not seem to match the 17-12 record. My thinking is if we get that level of offense, the Rams would win more than 17 games. GT game is a case in point. You are a good fan and exactly the kind of person I like to see win this contest, but the 75 is suspect. I hope I'm wrong on that one..

[Billyboy78]

Billyboy, I thought you had a good overall prediction, but your team scoring guess did not seem to match the 17-12 record. My thinking is if we get that level of offense, the Rams would win more than 17 games. GT game is a case in point. You are a good fan and exactly the kind of person I like to see win this contest, but the 75 is suspect. I hope I'm wrong on that one..

In one of Dan's interviews, he talked about forcing tempo and being one of the highest scoring teams in the country. With that type of style, the opponent will score more too. I figured we'd lose some games with scores of 82-79, 85-81 with our free throw shooting hurting us down the stretch. That was my reasoning for my record and scoring predictions. So far, not so good on the scoring prediction.

[Seawrightspostgame]

EC leads the A10 in scoring to date.

Half the games being played against solid teams. Tech only has the 1 loss to Marquette and Nebraska has only the loss to us. Then of course Kansas was blitzed by UK.

[Obadiah]

With a little more than one quarter of season gone, the team scoring average is 69.25 and Essam is the leader.

[luke]

After 12 games the team scoring average is at 70.90 and RhodyRam02 leads with 70.91.

[Obadiah]

Team scoring is now 66.95 and that average has constantly declined over the season. RIHoopz14 is now the leader. He had the 82nd lowest prediction out of 87 predictions!!

[ramster]

Team scoring is now 66.95 and that average has constantly declined over the season. RIHoopz14 is now the leader. He had the 82nd lowest prediction out of 87 predictions!!

After the Richmond game RIHoopz14 is still the leader but now with the exact number of 67.14!!!

[Obadiah]

With one game remaining, RIHoopz14 is the contest leader. The winner of this bonus contest will most likely come from one of these three - Stop! Rammer Time, RIHoopz14, and Shinze88.

Here is a way to look at outcome. If against St. Joe's, URI scores 59 points or less, the winner is Shinze88. If URI scores 70 points or more, the winner is Stop! Rammer Time. Everything in between gives it to RIHoopz14.

[Stop! Rammer Time]

Also in the running for this one, this is one I'm hoping to win though. A good 70+ points would hopefully signify the offense getting on some sort of roll, also unlikely to score that much without hitting free throws so that'd be nice as well. Seems quite unlikely to happen though.

[Obadiah]

My bad when I said everything above 70 would give it to Stop Rammer because I never thought the URI score would go well above that number to reach 78. The lesson is never make assumptions.

So with URI scoring 78 points against St. Joe's, the season total points for 29 games comes to 1956 which is a scoring average of 67.45 which makes the winner of the bonus contest with a prediction of 67.37.......URI_IEP!

Congratulations!

[twisted3829]

he won by .01

[Obadiah]

URI_IEP: Check your Private Messages!

[URI_IEP]

It must be some sort statistical impossibility to be the FIRST person eliminated from the prediction contest, but the winner of the team scoring contest. Thanks to all the little people!

[Obadiah]

Interesting point, URI_IEP, but if you think about it, it is compatible since you did predict a low scoring team and a losing record.

My puzzlement was that knowing that we lost Munford and added two agile freshman guards, why did over 90% of participants think scoring would improve that much. The top guess was 80 which is in the category of Davidson and their 3-point shooting!!

[adam914]

Interesting point, URI_IEP, but if you think about it, it is compatible since you did predict a low scoring team and a losing record.

My puzzlement was that knowing that we lost Munford and added two agile freshman guards, why did over 90% of participants think scoring would improve that much. The top guess was 80 which is in the category of Davidson and their 3-point shooting!!

I definitely thought we'd be scoring more playing pressure defense and a more up-tempo style. That obviously did not end up being the case, but that was my thought process when making my prediction.

[URI_IEP]

Even crazier (to me at least) is that we had a lower scoring average this year compared to last year, but added 7 wins...

...That's a HUGE improvement in defense.

[Ramulous]

I doubt Hurley likes run and gun no defense teams.... I don't see us as a high scoring team in the future

[RIhoopz14]

With one game remaining, RIHoopz14 is the contest leader. The winner of this bonus contest will most likely come from one of these three - Stop! Rammer Time, RIHoopz14, and Shinze88.

Here is a way to look at outcome. If against St. Joe's, URI scores 59 points or less, the winner is Shinze88. If URI scores 70 points or more, the winner is Stop! Rammer Time. Everything in between gives it to RIHoopz14.

This is literally the first time I've checked this thread since before the season started, surprised to see I had the lead going into the last game! Kinda glad I didn't know though since I ended up losing ha