KeaneyBlue - The URI Basketball Forum

Draft Kings has released their opening line and it is : St. Bonaventure - 9.5 . To me that is an incredibly large number . I don't get where that
is coming from . This could be the easiest money of the season for bettors who jump on this play early . I'm looking for a very close game here and
like the UMASS game It looks like a winnable game if The Rams shoot well and hold down the turnovers . The Bonnies just lost at home to Fordham
and are not playing well at the moment . fordham did not play that well when they beat the Bonnies and haven't exactly been world beaters . If
URI plays well they should win . If they continue to play as they have since David Green was added to the lineup , they will win . Let's hope they keep it going . This point spread is a bit shocking to me . Have the oddsmakers been paying attention ?

Wow I am shocked as well.

It comes from advanced metric sotes like KenPom who has it SBU -9

But those metrics largely are derived from games played without David Green. Am I right ?

bigappleram wrote: ↑4 months ago But those metrics largely are derived from games played without David Green. Am I right ?

It's gotta be.

I'm thinkin' about going big on a free bet with MGM that we cover that...can bet up to 1500 and get it back.

Espn predictor gave us a 33% chance to beat UMASS and we were up double digits all game. The David Green effect is pretzeling the metrics.

We have 13% chance to beat the Bonnie’s. No one would agree.

bigappleram wrote: ↑4 months ago But those metrics largely are derived from games played without David Green. Am I right ?

Yes, but you're also thinking that sportsbooks are paying as much attention to URI as you are. They don't know who David Green even is to adjust a line for him. And there is never a large enough handle on URI games to warrant them paying any attention.

Leaves them prone to giving us fans some value.

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago

bigappleram wrote: ↑4 months ago But those metrics largely are derived from games played without David Green. Am I right ?

It's gotta be.

I'm thinkin' about going big on a free bet with MGM that we cover that...can bet up to 1500 and get it back.

You may already know this, but just lookin out in case...that $1500 you get back is in credit, you can't just withdraw it again and get the actual money back, you have to bet it on other stuff.

Yeah that 9.5 does seem high , seems like the oddsmakers really aren’t on yet to what Rhody has done these last 3 games

If that's the line for the St. Bonaventure game, I would hate to know what the oddsmakers predict for Dayton on Saturday...

URI +9.5 all day.

adam914 wrote: ↑4 months ago

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago

bigappleram wrote: ↑4 months ago But those metrics largely are derived from games played without David Green. Am I right ?

It's gotta be.

I'm thinkin' about going big on a free bet with MGM that we cover that...can bet up to 1500 and get it back.

You may already know this, but just lookin out in case...that $1500 you get back is in credit, you can't just withdraw it again and get the actual money back, you have to bet it on other stuff.

Oh I know! Been through it with fanduel

You can still just bet a dollar of it and then withdraw

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago

adam914 wrote: ↑4 months ago

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago

It's gotta be.

I'm thinkin' about going big on a free bet with MGM that we cover that...can bet up to 1500 and get it back.

You may already know this, but just lookin out in case...that $1500 you get back is in credit, you can't just withdraw it again and get the actual money back, you have to bet it on other stuff.

Oh I know! Been through it with fanduel

You can still just bet a dollar of it and then withdraw

Cool, I've seen people get burned by that before so just wanted to mention it in case!

adam914 wrote: ↑4 months ago

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago

adam914 wrote: ↑4 months ago

You may already know this, but just lookin out in case...that $1500 you get back is in credit, you can't just withdraw it again and get the actual money back, you have to bet it on other stuff.

Oh I know! Been through it with fanduel

You can still just bet a dollar of it and then withdraw

Cool, I've seen people get burned by that before so just wanted to mention it in case!

Still makes me nervous and I don't wanna jinx us...

Rat Line, hope I’m wrong

The line at Draft Kings has dropped to SBU - 8.5 while Team Rankings is showing - 9 just before Midnight . Could go lower on game day .

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago

adam914 wrote: ↑4 months ago

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago

It's gotta be.

I'm thinkin' about going big on a free bet with MGM that we cover that...can bet up to 1500 and get it back.

You may already know this, but just lookin out in case...that $1500 you get back is in credit, you can't just withdraw it again and get the actual money back, you have to bet it on other stuff.

Oh I know! Been through it with fanduel

You can still just bet a dollar of it and then withdraw

Be careful with that. FD may let you bet $1, but other sites will make you play through the original deposit, before they let you withdraw in cases where they’re giving you a promotional free bet. Best to read the fine print.

RhodyRam86 wrote: ↑4 months ago

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago

adam914 wrote: ↑4 months ago

You may already know this, but just lookin out in case...that $1500 you get back is in credit, you can't just withdraw it again and get the actual money back, you have to bet it on other stuff.

Oh I know! Been through it with fanduel

You can still just bet a dollar of it and then withdraw

Be careful with that. FD may let you bet $1, but other sites will make you play through the original deposit, before they let you withdraw in cases where they’re giving you a promotional free bet. Best to read the fine print.

Yeah im learning about BetMGM right now and it's not straightforward at all. Now it's looking like if you bet up to 1500 you receive up to a 20% match, or bet 5 and get 158.

FanDuel has the line down now to SBU - 7 which is probably closer to what would be a reasonable line . URI still looks like the bet even at - 7.

I just saw -8. 141.5. Caesar’s

It's on me guys

I got excited about the line and placed a bet. I've probably lost 15 bets in a row now. My bad Arch.

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago It's on me guys

I got excited about the line and placed a bet. I've probably lost 15 bets in a row now. My bad Arch.

Did you do the 1500 free bet ?

reef wrote: ↑4 months ago

PeterRamTime wrote: ↑4 months ago It's on me guys

I got excited about the line and placed a bet. I've probably lost 15 bets in a row now. My bad Arch.

Did you do the 1500 free bet ?

No I did 30, because I wasn't sure if it was going to work. It said "submit promo code czr1000" when I signed up and went to bet it didn't show anywhere to put the code so I didn't risk it. Fanduel was much more clear about it. I did get my 30 back, but ya know I gotta bet with it to withdraw it.