2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

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Obadiah
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2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by Obadiah »

As no surprise, this season's predictions show the greatest range ever - over 2800 from the most optimistic -ramster - to the most pessimistic - luke. Where attendance ends up will be determined, of course, by the fortunes of the Rams on the court, but also by the local Covid conditions

Before Covid, URI experienced a significant increase in attendance in the preceding three years starting in Hurley's last season. Excluding last season, here is the five year summary of average attendance:

2019-20 : 6,144
2018-19 : 5,797
2017-18 : 6,217
2016-17 : 5,173
2015-16 : 4,718


2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

       Participant Average Attendance

1.	ramster	        5,500

2.	Jersey77	5,485
3.	DC_Rams	        5,430

4.	adam914	        5,393
5.	Dino611	        5,380
6.	jaywin86	5,327

7.	KingstonLane	5,250

8.	rhodysurf	5,169
9.	Rhody Guy	5,143

10.	bwerner10	5,050
11.	sevegny7	5,007
12.	rhodylaw	5,003

13.	Billyboy78	4,995

14.	rhodyruckus	4,869
15.	RhodyRams12	4,824

16.	Taylor Swift	4,790
17.	RoadyJay	4,724

18.	wgracie99	4,612

19.	neil	        4,483
20.	DeanDome88	4,471
21.	rhodyblue12	4,420
22.	LamonteUlmer15	4,400
23.	Blue Man	4,469
24.	RAM67	        4,415

25.	Rhody74	        4,399
26.	jcru	        4,370
27.	raminwarwick	4,365
28.	UCH21377	4,350
29.	URIFIJI	        4,345
30.	spookydog	4,301

31.	mmp136	        4,273
32.	alldayrhodyr02	4,265
33.	ramsman75	4,250
34.	reef	        4,224
35.	theblueram	4,200

36.	wpbrown8267	4,166
37.	STC	        4,112
38.	79RhodyFan	4,111
39.	bigappleram	4,101

40.	LoveThoseRams	4,085
41.	Rhody Sody	4,083
42.	Rhodyhoopz	4,044
43.	Not Mike Powell	4,023
44.	ramfan85	4,015

45.	steveystuds06	3,978
46.	rambone 78	3,950
47.	bpaz11	        3,922
48.	Rhody15	        3,912

49.	NHRamFan	3,891
50.	Shinze88	3,877
51.	section(105)	3,800

52.	RamStock	3,750

53.	RhodyFanNotAlum	3,550

54.	NYGFan_Sec208	3,489

55.	luke	        2,644
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RF1
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by RF1 »

URI is to date actually slightly outperforming the average attendance from the 2019-20 season. The three games to date have all exceeded 5k and the ytd average is 5,336. The average after three games two seasons ago was greatly helped by a crowd of over 7k for Alabama with the other two games 4.5k or less.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2021-22
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG 2019-20) | DIFF | %
Boston University | 5,133 | 5,133 | 5,133 | 4,258 | 875 | 20.5%
Bryant | 5,455 | 10,588 | 5,294 | 5,640 | (346) | -6.1%
Boston College | 5,421 | 16,009 | 5,336 | 5,266 | 70 | 1.3%
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RamStock
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by RamStock »

RF1 wrote: 2 years ago URI is to date actually slightly outperforming the average attendance from the 2019-20 season. The three games to date have all exceeded 5k and the ytd average is 5,336. The average after three games two seasons ago was greatly helped by a crowd of over 7k for Alabama with the other two games 4.5k or less.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2021-22
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG 2019-20) | DIFF | %
Boston University | 5,133 | 5,133 | 5,133 | 4,258 | 875 | 20.5%
Bryant | 5,455 | 10,588 | 5,294 | 5,640 | (346) | -6.1%
Boston College | 5,421 | 16,009 | 5,336 | 5,266 | 70 | 1.3%
Looked like a lot of empty seats. Not sure these attendance numbers can be taken too seriously
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ramster
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by ramster »

Winning fills seats

On to Daytona
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by RhodyFanNotAlum »

RamStock wrote: 2 years ago
RF1 wrote: 2 years ago URI is to date actually slightly outperforming the average attendance from the 2019-20 season. The three games to date have all exceeded 5k and the ytd average is 5,336. The average after three games two seasons ago was greatly helped by a crowd of over 7k for Alabama with the other two games 4.5k or less.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2021-22
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG 2019-20) | DIFF | %
Boston University | 5,133 | 5,133 | 5,133 | 4,258 | 875 | 20.5%
Bryant | 5,455 | 10,588 | 5,294 | 5,640 | (346) | -6.1%
Boston College | 5,421 | 16,009 | 5,336 | 5,266 | 70 | 1.3%
Looked like a lot of empty seats. Not sure these attendance numbers can be taken too seriously
Groucho-Marx-Lying-Eyes-1.jpg
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Obadiah
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by Obadiah »

The BC game attendance at 5,421 was a bit disappointing since the previous two visits by the Eagles in '05 and '10 drew 7,087 and 6,395 respectively. No question that Covid has impacted attendance and the decline has been somewhat masked so far by surprisingly large student turnouts in all three home games. It will be interesting to see attendance in the games scheduled for times when school is not in session. The Georgia State will be first up on that score.

Right now I estimate the decline at about 700-1000 fans per game. Whether that continues will depend on both the Rams' success on the court and the developing Covid infection rate in Rhode Island.
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PlayMikeMotenMore
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by PlayMikeMotenMore »

RamStock wrote: 2 years ago
RF1 wrote: 2 years ago URI is to date actually slightly outperforming the average attendance from the 2019-20 season. The three games to date have all exceeded 5k and the ytd average is 5,336. The average after three games two seasons ago was greatly helped by a crowd of over 7k for Alabama with the other two games 4.5k or less.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2021-22
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG 2019-20) | DIFF | %
Boston University | 5,133 | 5,133 | 5,133 | 4,258 | 875 | 20.5%
Bryant | 5,455 | 10,588 | 5,294 | 5,640 | (346) | -6.1%
Boston College | 5,421 | 16,009 | 5,336 | 5,266 | 70 | 1.3%
Looked like a lot of empty seats. Not sure these attendance numbers can be taken too seriously
Attendance totals, brought to you by Ron DeSantis?
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NYGFan_Section208
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by NYGFan_Section208 »

PlayMikeMotenMore wrote: 2 years ago
RamStock wrote: 2 years ago
RF1 wrote: 2 years ago URI is to date actually slightly outperforming the average attendance from the 2019-20 season. The three games to date have all exceeded 5k and the ytd average is 5,336. The average after three games two seasons ago was greatly helped by a crowd of over 7k for Alabama with the other two games 4.5k or less.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2021-22
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG 2019-20) | DIFF | %
Boston University | 5,133 | 5,133 | 5,133 | 4,258 | 875 | 20.5%
Bryant | 5,455 | 10,588 | 5,294 | 5,640 | (346) | -6.1%
Boston College | 5,421 | 16,009 | 5,336 | 5,266 | 70 | 1.3%
Looked like a lot of empty seats. Not sure these attendance numbers can be taken too seriously
Attendance totals, brought to you by Ron DeSantis?
ZING!
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SGreenwell
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by SGreenwell »

Obadiah wrote: 2 years ago The BC game attendance at 5,421 was a bit disappointing since the previous two visits by the Eagles in '05 and '10 drew 7,087 and 6,395 respectively. No question that Covid has impacted attendance and the decline has been somewhat masked so far by surprisingly large student turnouts in all three home games. It will be interesting to see attendance in the games scheduled for times when school is not in session. The Georgia State will be first up on that score.

Right now I estimate the decline at about 700-1000 fans per game. Whether that continues will depend on both the Rams' success on the court and the developing Covid infection rate in Rhode Island.
In 2005, Boston College was ranked #13 at the time, and finished the year ranked #7. In 2010, URI was coming off a 26-10 season. Also, the sample size you're analyzing here is two games, with the last one coming 11 years ago. I don't think you can attribute the decline to Covid. Given how last year's URI team finished, and the softness of the schedule to open the year, I think they'd have to be like 10-0 and still not drawing well for me to be "worried" about attendance.
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ramster
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by ramster »

PlayMikeMotenMore wrote: 2 years ago
RamStock wrote: 2 years ago
RF1 wrote: 2 years ago URI is to date actually slightly outperforming the average attendance from the 2019-20 season. The three games to date have all exceeded 5k and the ytd average is 5,336. The average after three games two seasons ago was greatly helped by a crowd of over 7k for Alabama with the other two games 4.5k or less.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2021-22
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG 2019-20) | DIFF | %
Boston University | 5,133 | 5,133 | 5,133 | 4,258 | 875 | 20.5%
Bryant | 5,455 | 10,588 | 5,294 | 5,640 | (346) | -6.1%
Boston College | 5,421 | 16,009 | 5,336 | 5,266 | 70 | 1.3%
Looked like a lot of empty seats. Not sure these attendance numbers can be taken too seriously
Attendance totals, brought to you by Ron DeSantis?
Or Joe Biden since there is inflation in the numbers?
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NYGFan_Section208
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by NYGFan_Section208 »

ramster wrote: 2 years ago
PlayMikeMotenMore wrote: 2 years ago
RamStock wrote: 2 years ago

Looked like a lot of empty seats. Not sure these attendance numbers can be taken too seriously
Attendance totals, brought to you by Ron DeSantis?
Or Joe Biden since there is inflation in the numbers?
A-nother zinger!!!
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Billyboy78
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by Billyboy78 »

I've had enough with the politics. I'm enjoying basketball again.
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Rhody15
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by Rhody15 »

Billyboy78 wrote: 2 years ago I've had enough with the politics. I'm enjoying basketball again.
Preach.
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reef
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by reef »

No problems with the 5421 attendance is a lot higher than most of us predicted
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RF1
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by RF1 »

Eight games are in the books and URI Men's Basketball attendance at the Ryan Center is noticeably down, even by the "official" reported numbers. The last several games during break have seen a big decline. It would seem that student turnout was propping up the numbers in the early season games. Through eight games, URI has reported total YTD attendance of 36,707 for an average of 4,588. That is some 17% off the YTD mark of the last season played with crowds at the Ryan Center in 2019-2020. This number is even tracking some 500 off of the 19 year average (5,132) of the Ryan Center. While the student return and 2nd semester conference play has typically seen attendance increase as the season progresses, that may not necessarily be a given this year. The continued prevalence of Covid is keeping many away. The home A-10 slate is also not as attractive as years past. Lastly, there seems to be a lack of interest and enthusiasm for the program at this time as apathy and malaise have set in. I therefore do not think we will see a dramatic increase in attendance numbers. Making matters worse for the program is that the crowds seem to have far fewer ticket paying attendees as the lower numbers have been more heavily weighted to students who get in for free.


RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2021-22
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE |
Boston University | 5,133 | 5,133 | 5,133 |
Bryant | 5,455 | 10,588 | 5,294 |
Boston College | 5,421 | 16,009 | 5,336 |
Georgia State | 4,132 | 20,141 | 5,035 |
Sacred Heart | 4,928 | 25,069 | 5,014 |
AIC | 3,662 | 28,731 | 4,789 |
St Joe's | 3,597 | 32,328 | 4,618 |
LaSalle | 4,379 | 36,707 | 4,588 |



RYAN CENTER URI HOME ATTENDANCE BY YEAR
SEASON | GAMES | TOTAL | AVERAGE
2020-21 | 9 | 0 | 0
2019-20 | 15 | 92,156 | 6,144
2018-19 | 14 | 81,153 | 5,797
2017-18 | 16 | 99,466 | 6,217
2016-17 | 16 | 82,761 | 5,173
2015-16 | 17 | 80,198 | 4,718
2014-15 | 16 | 86,461 | 5,404
2013-14 | 16 | 71,058 | 4,441
2012-13 | 15 | 64,368 | 4,291
2011-12 | 15 | 57,428 | 3,829
2010-11 | 16 | 72,598 | 4,537
2009-10 | 17 | 88,853 | 5,227
2008-09 | 14 | 74,196 | 5,300
2007-08 | 15 | 88,731 | 5,915
2006-07 | 15 | 67,293 | 4,486
2005-06 | 16 | 76,150 | 4,760
2004-05 | 14 | 65,227 | 4,659
2003-04 | 17 | 97,762 | 5,751
2002-03 | 17 | 96,194 | 5,658
ALL | 266 | 1,349,897 | 5,075
Last edited by RF1 2 years ago, edited 1 time in total.
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bigappleram
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by bigappleram »

If we are winning, and with students back, I would imagine the Feb games vs UMass, Dayton and Davidson will all draw well. Those would be true barometers. Attendance is down pretty much everywhere due to Covid, and especially with a program like ours that is middling right now, it is to be expected.
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by RF1 »

bigappleram wrote: 2 years ago If we are winning, and with students back, I would imagine the Feb games vs UMass, Dayton and Davidson will all draw well. Those would be true barometers. Attendance is down pretty much everywhere due to Covid, and especially with a program like ours that is middling right now, it is to be expected.
I would agree that attendance is generally down at most schools. It however is not everywhere. Locally Providence is averaging 8,680 through ten games with the bulk of their better drawing Big East schedule to come. A similar scenario is happening at UConn where they have averaged 9,932 through nine games with the big names of their conference still yet to visit. Covid is not killing the attendance at these nearby schools. Their numbers are being driven by heightened interest from fans for teams that are performing well against good competition.
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by Taylor Swift »

RF1 wrote: 2 years ago
bigappleram wrote: 2 years ago If we are winning, and with students back, I would imagine the Feb games vs UMass, Dayton and Davidson will all draw well. Those would be true barometers. Attendance is down pretty much everywhere due to Covid, and especially with a program like ours that is middling right now, it is to be expected.
I would agree that attendance is generally down at most schools. It however is not everywhere. Locally Providence is averaging 8,680 through ten games with the bulk of their better drawing Big East schedule to come. A similar scenario is happening at UConn where they have averaged 9,932 through nine games with the big names of their conference still yet to visit. Covid is not killing the attendance at these nearby schools. Their numbers are being driven by heightened interest from fans for teams that are performing well against good competition.
eehhh Friar Fran Friends of mine (I will admit I have some Friar Friends), every time I see pics of theirs at games, there is definitely a robust crowd there. Plus, that's considering people actually wanting to be in Providence. :lol:
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Obadiah
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by Obadiah »

No question that Covid has impacted the attendance numbers whether they be the announced figure or the fannies in the seats. The attendance number has also been affected by the lackluster play of this team - there are no interesting or consistent players, the FT shooting is below what is expected from a good team, the high number of TO's, etc. But despite this scenario there are positive signs - student attendance has been strong when school is in session and there has been good attendance for teams like BU and Sacred Heart. more positive is this perspective - the Ryan Center is now in its 21st year of operation and, not including this season, some 271 regular, non tourney games have been played there and of that total only three games have seen attendance below 3000 - 2,737 for Cleveland State on 11/27/11, 2,710 for Maine on 12/04/11, and 1,993 for St. Bonaventure on 02/09/13 (snowstorm). As a brief contrast, UMass in their big win over SLU last night drew 1665 fans and it marked the fifth game this season where the crowd has fallen below 2000!
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Rhody15
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by Rhody15 »

Obadiah wrote: 2 years ago No question that Covid has impacted the attendance numbers whether they be the announced figure or the fannies in the seats. The attendance number has also been affected by the lackluster play of this team - there are no interesting or consistent players, the FT shooting is below what is expected from a good team, the high number of TO's, etc. But despite this scenario there are positive signs - student attendance has been strong when school is in session and there has been good attendance for teams like BU and Sacred Heart. more positive is this perspective - the Ryan Center is now in its 21st year of operation and, not including this season, some 271 regular, non tourney games have been played there and of that total only three games have seen attendance below 3000 - 2,737 for Cleveland State on 11/27/11, 2,710 for Maine on 12/04/11, and 1,993 for St. Bonaventure on 02/09/13 (snowstorm). As a brief contrast, UMass in their big win over SLU last night drew 1665 fans and it marked the fifth game this season where the crowd has fallen below 2000!
I can assure you attendance isn’t down because of FTs lol that has zero to do with it. Last game was obviously bad, but hasn’t really been an issue all season.
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Obadiah
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by Obadiah »

Rhody15 wrote: 2 years ago
Obadiah wrote: 2 years ago No question that Covid has impacted the attendance numbers whether they be the announced figure or the fannies in the seats. The attendance number has also been affected by the lackluster play of this team - there are no interesting or consistent players, the FT shooting is below what is expected from a good team, the high number of TO's, etc. But despite this scenario there are positive signs - student attendance has been strong when school is in session and there has been good attendance for teams like BU and Sacred Heart. more positive is this perspective - the Ryan Center is now in its 21st year of operation and, not including this season, some 271 regular, non tourney games have been played there and of that total only three games have seen attendance below 3000 - 2,737 for Cleveland State on 11/27/11, 2,710 for Maine on 12/04/11, and 1,993 for St. Bonaventure on 02/09/13 (snowstorm). As a brief contrast, UMass in their big win over SLU last night drew 1665 fans and it marked the fifth game this season where the crowd has fallen below 2000!
I can assure you attendance isn’t down because of FTs lol that has zero to do with it. Last game was obviously bad, but hasn’t really been an issue all season.
Never said attendance was down because of FTs. Your words not mine. More importantly, anytime you perform on average some 6 points below your competitors on any key stat like FTs is not good.
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by NYGFan_Section208 »

We all know why attendance is down.
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by RF1 »

The last home game has been played. Per the "official" numbers, some 72,207 attended the fifteen URI men's basketball games at the Ryan Center in 2021-22 for an average of 4,814. URI drew 92,156 to fifteen games for an average of 6,144 for the last season with fans back in 2019-20. On paper, 19,149 less fans, a decrease of 21.6%, saw games this season compared to two years ago. The drop is however likely far worse as this season, more so than previous years, was not as closely reflective of how many people actually physically attended the games. The numbers this season without a doubt included a far higher number of no shows that purchased tickets but did not use them.


RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2021-22
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG 2019-20 | DIFF | %
Boston University | 5,133 | 5,133 | 5,133 | 4,258 | 875 | 20.5%
Bryant | 5,455 | 10,588 | 5,294 | 5,640 | (346) | -6.1%
Boston College | 5,421 | 16,009 | 5,336 | 5,266 | 70 | 1.3%
Georgia State | 4,132 | 20,141 | 5,035 | 5,058 | (23) | -0.5%
Sacred Heart | 4,928 | 25,069 | 5,014 | 5,657 | (643) | -11.4%
AIC | 3,662 | 28,731 | 4,789 | 5,602 | (813) | -14.5%
St Joe's | 3,597 | 32,328 | 4,618 | 5,562 | (944) | -17.0%
LaSalle | 4,379 | 36,707 | 4,588 | 5,504 | (915) | -16.6%
GW | 4,667 | 41,374 | 4,597 | 5,595 | (998) | -17.8%
Richmond | 6,259 | 47,633 | 4,763 | 5,636 | (873) | -15.5%
UMass | 5,847 | 53,480 | 4,862 | 5,841 | (980) | -16.8%
Davidson | 4,734 | 58,214 | 4,851 | 5,882 | (1,031) | -17.5%
Dayton | 4,714 | 62,928 | 4,841 | 5,943 | (1,102) | -18.5%
Duquesne | 4,668 | 67,596 | 4,828 | 6,019 | (1,190) | -19.8%
St. Louis | 4,611 | 72,207 | 4,814 | 6,144 | (1,330) | -21.6%
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RF1
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by RF1 »

As a local point of reference for the average of 4,814 and total attendance of 72,207 for fifteen URI men's basketball games at the Ryan Center in 2021-22:

UMass 2021-22 Season Home Attendance - 15 games
Total 33,708
Average: 2,247

Before anyone mentions that URI's reported numbers were highly suspect, the fans at UMass have been saying the same about what was "officially" being reported at the Mullins Center as well. It would seem both schools sold quite a bit of tickets that went unused.
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Obadiah
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by Obadiah »

This season's revenue loss versus the previous season when fans attended comes to about $500K.
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rambone 78
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by rambone 78 »

Obadiah wrote: 2 years ago This season's revenue loss versus the previous season when fans attended comes to about $500K.
That's a huge hit for a program like URI's.

Some due to covid, and some due to Cox.
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by NYGFan_Section208 »

rambone 78 wrote: 2 years ago
Obadiah wrote: 2 years ago This season's revenue loss versus the previous season when fans attended comes to about $500K.
That's a huge hit for a program like URI's.

Some due to covid, and some due to Cox.
It was covid for me and several others I know. I would have otherwise gone to every game this year, even if YOU we're the coach... Of course, if we sucked as bad as we did this year and they didn't fire you...next year would be in question ;)
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reef
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Re: 2021-22 Home Attendance Predictions Summary

Unread post by reef »

Rhody Rams 12 only missed it by 10 fans nice job !!
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