2021-22 Overall Contest Predictions Summary

[Obadiah]

The contest attracted 55 players, the smallest participation since 44 played in the first contest. Is this a fall-out from the Covid pandemic and less interest in Cox-led URI basketball, or simply no juice for the contest itself? Who knows?

ramster and Billyboy78 offered the most bullish predictions at 25-6 and at the most pessimistic end was spookydog who also predicted a losing season at 15-16. The most popular bets with 10 players each were the 20-11 and 19-12 records.

In the bonus contests, raminwarick offers up the highest team scoring average at 77.77. In the Top Scorer component, Jeremy Sheppard was picked as top scorer by 30 posters with DeanDome88 heading the list with a 16.48 prediction. Leggett came in second attracting 9 bettors and LamonteUlmer15' s prediction headed that list at 16.70. Finally, most see a dip in home atttendance his season, but ramster is consistent in his optimism by predicting an average of 5,500 while luke sees an average of 2,644 as more likely. Big difference in this one.

Note: For easy reading, I have clustered the predictions, first by overall record, followed by A-10 record, and then by team scoring sequenced from highest to lowest. Please review the summary and let me know via PM, if I have made any error with your prediction. Good luck to all!

2021-22 Contest Predictions Summary
(Sequenced From Best Record to Worst)

Poster
Regular Season Record	
A-10 Record	
Team Scoring Average	
Top Scorer/Average, PPG	
Average Attendance

1.	ramster	        25-6	14-4	76.92	El-Amin, 16.00	        5,500
2.	Billyboy78	25-6	14-4	74.93	Makhi Mitchell, 15.15	4,995

3.	DeanDome88	24-7	14-4	73.03	Sheppard, 16.48	        4,471
4.	rhodylaw	24-7	13-5	73.20	Sheppard, 14.92	        5,003

5.	DC_Rams	        23-8	13-5	74.88	Sheppard, 13.90	        5,430
6.	luke	        23-8	13-5	74.45	El-Amin, 15.72	        2,644

7.	rhodysurf	22-9	13-5	74.24	Makhi Mitchell, 14.75	5,169
8.	LoveThoseRams	22-9	12-6	76.44	Walker, 14.72	        4,085
9.	79RhodyFan	22-9	12-6	73.40	Sheppard, 16.10	        4,111
10.	ramsman75	22-9	12-6	72.45	Leggett, 14.25	        4,250
11.	KingstonLane	22-9	12-6	71.55	Leggett, 14.55	        5,250
12.	steveystuds06	22-9	12-6	71.40	Sheppard, 13.70	        3,978
13.	sevegny7	22-9	12-6	71.20	Sheppard, 14.30	        5,007
14.	rhodyblue12	22-9	11-7	68.75	Makhel Mitchell, 13.87	4,420

15.	Rhody Sody	21-10	12-6	72.81	Sheppard, 14.86	        4,083
16.	jaywin86	21-10	12-6	68.88	Makhi Mitchell, 12.66	5,327
17.	raminwarwick	21-10	11-7	77.77	Walker, 13.75	        4,365
18.	jcru	        21-10	11-7	76.50	El-Amin, 13.89	        4,370
19.	LamonteUlmer15	21-10	11-7	72.60	Leggett, 16.70	        4,400
20.	RAM67	        21-10	11-7	72.33	Makhi Mitchell, 14.25	4,415
21.	Blue Man	21-10	11-7	69.69	Leggett, 14.69	        4,469

22.	bigappleram	20-11	12-6	70.50	Sheppard, 13.85	        4,101
23.	RhodyRams12	20-11	11-7	73.69	Makhi Mitchell, 16.26	4,824
24.	Dino611	        20-11	11-7	73.27	Sheppard, 16.30	        5,380
25.	Jersey77	20-11	11-7	72.75	Sheppard, 14.42	        5,485
26.	alldayrhodyr02	20-11	11-7	72.69	Walker, 14.63	        4,265
27.	adam914	        20-11	11-7	72.16	Makhi Mitchell, 14.77	5,393
28.	rhodyruckus	20-11	11-7	71.91	Sheppard, 15.02	        4,869
29.	Rhody74	        20-11	10-8	72.38	Leggett, 14.21	        4,399
30.	STC	        20-11	10-8	68.40	Sheppard, 13.20	        4,112
31.	section(105)	20-11	10-8	68.00	Sheppard, 13.80	        3,800

32.	RoadyJay	19-12	11-7	73.12	Sheppard, 13.72	        4,724
33.	wpbrown8267	19-12	11-7	70.12	Sheppard, 14.80	        4,166
34.	bwerner10	19-12	11-7	70.11   Sheppard, 13.50	        5,050
35.	reef	        19-12	11-7	69.18	Sheppard. 14.18	        4,224
36.	Rhodyhoopz	19-12	11-7	68.76	Sheppard, 15.31	        4,044
37.	bpaz11	        19-12	10-8	74.20	Sheppard, 14.02	        3,922
38.	RamStock	19-12	10-8	72.20	Leggett, 15.60	        3,750
39.	Rhody Guy	19-12	10-8	71.72	Sheppard, 14.21	        5,143
40.	wgracie99	19-12	10-8	68.90	Sheppard. 14.70	        4,612
41.	neil	        19-12	9-9	70.18	Sheppard, 12.34	        4,483

42.	Taylor Swift	18-13	11-7	72.30	Walker, 13.80	        4,790
43.	UCH21377	18-13	11-7	71.50	Sheppard, 16.00	        4,350
44.	mmp136	        18-13	10-8	71.69	Leggett, 14.38	        4,273
45.	NHRamFan	18-13	10-8	68.83	Sheppard, 13.86	        3,891
46.	Rhody15	        18-13	10-8	68.10	Sheppard, 14.19	        3,912
47.	URIFIJI	        18-13	9-9	71.23	Makhi Mitchell, 13.78	4,345

48.	NYGFan_Sec208	17-14	9-9	67.24	Walker, 12.37	        3,489
49.	Shinze88	17-14	9-9	63.87	Sheppard, 14.22	        3,877
50.	RhodyFanNotAlum	17-14	8-10	70.03	Sheppard, 13.98	        3,550
51.	Not Mike Powell	17-14	7-11	71.22	Sheppard, 14.52	        4,023

52.	ramfan85	16-15	9-9	70.53	Leggett, 13.90	        4,015
53.	theblueram	16-15	9-9	69.10	Sheppard, 12.0	        4,200
54.	rambone 78	16-15	8-10	70.69	Leggett, 14.68	        3,950

55.	spookydog	15-16	8-10	64.55	Sheppard, 12.47	        4,301

[theblueram]

I hope Ramster wins for sure. I also hope I get knocked out very early.

[reef]

Great contest OB thanks for the summary

[Rhodyhooopz]

Another great Job by Obi

[spookydog]

I hope Ramster wins for sure. I also hope I get knocked out very early.

Same here. I always am overly optimistic so decided to go in the complete opposite direction. Please eliminate me by the first week of January!!!

[Rhody74]

I thought I was being optimistic. I’m glad I’m only middle of the pack.

[rhodyruckus]

Based on the attendance numbers for the first 2 "meh" opponents of BU and Bryant, looks like any average attendance predictions under 5,000 are in trouble. Small sample size so far, though.

[Rhody15]

Based on the attendance numbers for the first 2 "meh" opponents of BU and Bryant, looks like any average attendance predictions under 5,000 are in trouble. Small sample size so far, though.

Games on winter break will most likely bring down the average, hopefully the ticket office can come up with some promo's to get people in the building.

[ramster]

It’s all about winning.

Win and fans will show in solid numbers:
Snow or rain or sunshiny day
Day or night
Good opponent or bad opponent
A10 conference opponent or OOC opponent
School in session or not in session

[Billyboy78]

Based on the attendance numbers for the first 2 "meh" opponents of BU and Bryant, looks like any average attendance predictions under 5,000 are in trouble. Small sample size so far, though.

Games on winter break will most likely bring down the average, hopefully the ticket office can come up with some promo's to get people in the building.

And there are 6 of them, 40% of the home games, including the one on Thanksgiving weekend.

[reef]

Based on the attendance numbers for the first 2 "meh" opponents of BU and Bryant, looks like any average attendance predictions under 5,000 are in trouble. Small sample size so far, though.

Agree , I think it will be north of 5k

[RhodyFanNotAlum]

How does the cancelation affect the contest?

[Obadiah]

The bonus awards of team scoring, top scorer, and home attendance are unaffected. The overall record prediction is the challenge since no one will have that correct since we are down to 29 games rather than 31. But we will have to wait and see if URI can restore those games by scheduling other teams having similar problems. How about playing Iona, for example.

If the season ends with less than 31 games played, the winner may be determined by who predicts the closest to actual.

[Rhody Guy]

Dang, I was perfect so far.

[Taylor Swift]

It will be interesting to see how the attendance numbers shape out. That is, of course, if they still will have fans in the arena.

[NYGFan_Section208]

It will be interesting to see how the attendance numbers shape out. That is, of course, if they still will have fans in the arena.

Prescient....I'd say it's 50/50

[theblueram]

I'm guessing quite a few have been eliminated so far.

[Billyboy78]

I'm guessing quite a few have been eliminated so far.

I think I got eliminated in November.

[steveystuds06]

Man I really thought with such an easy schedule we would get to over 20 wins. It's truly amazing that we are still this bad with the schedule we have. UGH

[reef]

I’m rooting for theblueman and Rambone @ 16-15 would be impressive

[Obadiah]

My guess is URI will finish the season at 14-15 or 14-16 if the GMU game is rescheduled. Only spookydog predicted a below .500 record.

[Obadiah]

An update on bonus contest components as of Dayton game:

Top Scorer: Makhel Mitchell - 11.04

Team Scoring: 67.63

Home Attendance Avg.: 4,841 Given there are only two more home games, unlikely the average will rise above 5000. In fact, average will probably end up at a level not seen since Jim Baron's last two seasons

[Billyboy78]

So, our leading scorer is averaging 11 pts a game. Pretty pathetic. Is that the lowest ever?

[Rhody15]

So, our leading scorer is averaging 11 pts a game. Pretty pathetic. Is that the lowest ever?

Cox would probably say it's low because we're such a balanced team and anyone can go off any given night.

[Obadiah]

So, our leading scorer is averaging 11 pts a game. Pretty pathetic. Is that the lowest ever?

Cox would probably say it's low because we're such a balanced team and anyone can go off any given night.

Yes, and I checked the records back to 1948-49 season and could find no lower Top Scorer average than the Makhel's current 11.0. The two closest are Cutino Mobley at 13.3 in the 1997-98 season and Jared Terrel's 13.7 in the 2015-16 season, the year EC was out with the ACL tear. In past years, top scorers are in the 15-18 ppg range. Also most years URI has three scorers in double digits, sometimes 4 scorers like 2011-2012 when Malesvic was 4th with a 11.2 average.

Another unique Cox achievement in player development to add to his resume.

[PeterRamTime]

So, our leading scorer is averaging 11 pts a game. Pretty pathetic. Is that the lowest ever?

Cox would probably say it's low because we're such a balanced team and anyone can go off any given night.

Yes, and I checked the records back to 1948-49 season and could find no lower Top Scorer average than the Makhel's current 11.0. The two closest are Cutino Mobley at 13.3 in the 1997-98 season and Jared Terrel's 13.7 in the 2015-16 season, the year EC was out with the ACL tear. In past years, top scorers are in the 15-18 ppg range. Also most years URI has three scorers in double digits, sometimes 4 scorers like 2011-2012 when Malesvic was 4th with a 11.2 average.

Another unique Cox achievement in player development to add to his resume.

Mobley averaged over 17 in 98.

The 13.3 was in 94-95

[SGreenwell]

Sorry, didn't notice the last couple posts until now - If you go to page 43 of the online record book, it has the top scorer by PPG for each year, going back to 1948-49. Here are all of the seasons at 15 PPG and under:

83-84 Todd Bozeman 11.9
94-95 Cuttino Mobley 13.3
73-74 Randy Hughes 13.3
15-16 Jared Terrell 13.6
02-03 Brian Woodward 14.1
01-02 Troy Wiley 14.1
84-85 Bryan Mitchell 14.1
09-10 Keith Cothran 14.3
20-21 Fatts Russell 14.7
91-92 Jeff Kent 14.7
16-17 E.C. Matthews 14.9
58-59 Steve Madreperla 14.9
74-75 Jim Williamson 15

Makhel is currently at 11.3 PPG, although it's 12.07 PPG if you only count A-10 games.

[Billyboy78]

Jim Williamson.....nobody called him that.

[CaptainRon]

Jim Williamson.....nobody called him that.

Had to think for a minute, who the hell was Jim Williamson. Then I got jiggly with it.

[Billyboy78]

Jim Williamson.....nobody called him that.

Had to think for a minute, who the hell was Jim Williamson. Then I got jiggly with it.

He was the friend of Sylvester Williams.

[rambone 78]

Riddle me this:

If URI ends up 15-14, who wins the regular season record prediction?

Myself and one other predicted 16-15....does the non D1 win count?

[Obadiah]

To answer your question, the win over AIC will count. Also I haven't decided whether to declare a winner of the overall contest or not, given the original schedule of 31 games will not be met - the bonus contests are unaffected, BTW. My inclination is make the award based on closest to the final result. There are three outcomes to URI final regular season record - 16-13, 15-14, 14-15. Using the "closest" determinant - at 16-13, the winner looks to be RhodyFanNotAlum, at 15-14, the winner looks to be rambone 78, at record of 14-15 spookydog is clearly the winner.

[Obadiah]

The Saint Louis game signaled the end of the home schedule for URI basketball and the winner of the Home Attendance bonus has been determined. A total of 72,207 fans witnessed the 15 game schedule bringing the per game average to 4,814. The closest prediction to that actual number was 4,824 which makes RhodyRams12 the winner. Congratulations!

RR12 please check your private messages.

[ramster]

The Saint Louis game signaled the end of the home schedule for URI basketball and the winner of the Home Attendance bonus has been determined. A total of 72,207 fans witnessed the 15 game schedule bringing the per game average to 4,814. The closest prediction to that actual number was 4,824 which makes RhodyRams12 the winner. Congratulations!

RR12 please check your private messages.

Great job RhodyRams12!!!

[Blue Man]

Imagine if they published the actual body count. Well done RR12!

[Obadiah]

BTW, in attendance contest Taylor Swift was runner-up at 4,790, only 24 off, in most years most likely a winner.

[ramster]

Imagine if they published the actual body count. Well done RR12!

Well done Taylor.

[Rhodyhooopz]

Fake news!!!!

No way was there an average of 4,814. i wonder if they counted student allotment in the total count.

[Obadiah]

Here's where we stand with the contest as we head into the season finale at Saint Joseph's on Saturday.

Overall Contest: A duel between rambone 78 and spookydog. A URI win over St. Joe's gives the prize to rambone and a loss gives it to spookydog.

Team scroring: Through 28 games, the current scoring average is 67.25. NYGFan_Section208 with a prediction of 67.24 is in strong position to take this one!

Top Scorer: Through 28 games Makhel Mitchell leads with 10.89. This is a no brainer since only one person picked Mahkel as top scorer at all and that was rhodyblue12. Several ways could change this, but all are implausible. For example, one way would be Makhel scores at his average against St. Joe's and Jeremy Sheppard needs to score 26+points or if Mahkel doesn't score at all, then Jeremy needs to score 18 points to take top scoring honors..

[theblueram]

Here's where we stand with the contest as we head into the season finale at Saint Joseph's on Saturday.

Overall Contest: A duel between rambone 78 and spookydog. A URI win over St. Joe's gives the prize to rambone and a loss gives it to spookydog.

Team scroring: Through 28 games, the current scoring average is 67.25. NYGFan_Section208 with a prediction of 67.24 is in strong position to take this one!

Top Scorer: Through 28 games Makhel Mitchell leads with 10.89. This is a no brainer since only one person picked Mahkel as top scorer at all and that was rhodyblue12. Several ways could change this, but all are implausible. For example, one way would be Makhel scores at his average against St. Joe's and Jeremy Sheppard needs to score 26+points or if Mahkel doesn't score at all, then Jeremy needs to score 18 points to take top scoring honors..

I was close in all. If Sheppard does score 17-18 points more than Mahkel I think I win that one.

[NYGFan_Section208]

A closer look at all of the winning numbers, really shows that, y'know, when you get right down to it, things aren't really that...good...

[reef]

3 of my favs in line for a prize 78 , 208 and spook

[rambone 78]

I hope we win tomorrow lol.......

[ramster]

I hope we win tomorrow lol.......

Rambone,
St Joseph's has lost 7 straight. You need this win!!!!!

[rambone 78]

I'm going to predict we will lose....

then maybe they'll win ha ha.....

Joes has lost some tough ones lately...if it's close their luck will change, sad to say.....

[reef]

I expect a really close game

[NYGFan_Section208]

URI 67 (68?), St. Joe's whatever

[Obadiah]

The winner of the !3th Annual Prediction contest is spookydog who was the only one to predict URI would experience a losing regular season.

Congratulations

[Obadiah]

Team Scoring finalizes at an even 67.00 and with a prediction of 67.24, NYGFan_Section208 wins this bonus contest.

Makhel Mitchell takes down Top Scorer honors with a ppg of 10.79, and rhodyblue12 as the only one to pick Makhel as top scorer is this bonus contest winner.

Congratulations to all the winners.

All winners please check your private messages.

[reef]

Really good job guys and thanks again OB for the best prediction contest out there