Remainder of Regular Season Record Probabilities

[rjsuperfly66]

Using KenPom Win Percentages:

at Davidson (45%):
1-0: 45%
0-1: 55%

at Fordham (86%):
2-0: 38.70%
1-1: 53.60%
0-2: 7.70%

St Louis (75%):
3-0: 29.03%
2-1: 49.88%
1-2: 19.18%
0-3: 1.93%

Dayton (38%):
4-0: 11.03%
3-1: 36.95%
2-2: 38.21%
1-3: 12.62%
0-4: 1.19%

at UMASS (77%):
5-0: 8.49%
4-1: 30.99%
3-2: 37.92%
2-3: 18.51%
1-4: 3.82%
0-5: 0.27%

[steviep123]

Beat Davidson.

[URI2006_Andy]

Using KenPom Win Percentages:

at Davidson (45%):
1-0: 45%
0-1: 55%

at Fordham (86%):
2-0: 38.70%
1-1: 53.60%
0-2: 7.70%

St Louis (75%):
3-0: 29.03%
2-1: 49.88%
1-2: 19.18%
0-3: 1.93%

Dayton (38%):
4-0: 11.03%
3-1: 36.95%
2-2: 38.21%
1-3: 12.62%
0-4: 1.19%

at UMASS (77%):
5-0: 8.49%
4-1: 30.99%
3-2: 37.92%
2-3: 18.51%
1-4: 3.82%
0-5: 0.27%

Thanks for this. Shows how hard winning consistently is. A top 50 kenpom team playing Fordham, Umass and only 1 team in the projected field (at home) and still only 40% to go 4-1 or better.

[URI2006_Andy]

Also interesting that we have the same odds of going 2-0 vs Davidson/Fordham as we do of beating Dayton.

We go 2-0 in the next 2, people say eh. But, this shows how tough that will be to do.