2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Obadiah
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2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by Obadiah »

Wide range in the prediction of average attendance, some 1200+ from the high average to the low average. This difference equates to about a quarter of a million dollars in revenue to URI Athletic, so let's hope the high side becomes the reality!

2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary
       Participant  Average Home Attendance

1.	ramster	            6,214

2.	Joe95	            6,180
3.	DelroyIsMyHero	    6,155
4.	PeterRamTime	    6,123

5.	Rhody74	            6,099
6.	URI96	            6,088
7.	CT Rhody	    6,060
8.	Rhody Guy	    6,057
9.	Seawrightspostgame  6,027
10.	RAM67	            6,011
11.	mjg13x	            6,006
12.	HASwatTeam	    6,005

13.	Rhody_JAM	    5,999
14.	bigappleram	    5,905
15.	bwerner10	    5,950
16.	Mongo	            5,948
17.	neil	            5,913

18.	DC_Rams	            5,899
19.	reef	            5,888
20.	RhodyRamFan69	    5,879
21.	luke	            5,872
22.	rhodylaw	    5,850
23.	zporiri	            5,844
24.	RhodeIslandRams	    5,840
25.	NYGFan_Section208   5,832
26.	Taylor Swift	    5,824
27.	hrstrat57	    5,812
28.	Rhody Sody	    5,811
29.	wpbrown8267	    5,809
30.	sevegny7	    5,801

31.	twisted3829	    5,795
32.	FDshoes	            5,789
33.	rhodyruckus	    5,775
34.	Billyboy78	    5,762
35.	section(105)	    5,750
36.	CTRamFan	    5,749
37.	Ram96	            5,740
38.	sf2010	            5,723
39.	NHRamFan	    5,705

40.	wgracie99	    5,694
41.	TruePoint	    5,689
42.	DaveMac00	    5,687
43.	RhowdyRam02	    5,678
44.	NJRhodyFan	    5,675
45.	Blue Man	    5,669
46.	josephski	    5,655
47.	URI'21	            5,650
48.	RIFan	            5,633
49.	Rhody72	            5,625
50.	Shaolin Swat	    5,617
51.	Rhody83	            5,610
52.	RhodeIslandBorn	    5,608
53.	KevanBoyles	    5,600

54.	rambone 78	    5,585
55.	STC	            5,574
56.	ram1980	            5,555
57.	UCH21377	    5,525
58.	rhodywins	    5,522
59.	Rhodyhooopz	    5,512
60.	theblueram	    5,500

61.	Shinze88	    5,487
62.	URIFIJI	            5,478
63.	URIRecruitingInfo   5,450
64.	Ram1019	            5,444
65.	Rhody15	            5,434
66.	cRAM4finals	    5,411

67.	NJ03	            5,398
68.	steviep123	    5,387
69.	JimSidd	            5,370
70.	mmp136	            5,364
71.	rhodysurf	    5,350
72.	79RhodyFan	    5,348
73.	Justns11	    5,344
74.	Sox1                5,340
75.	RhodyRam86	    5,317

76.	jmck                5,287
77.	ramsman75	    5,285
78.	Iggy	            5,252
79.	spookydog	    5,251
80.	RamStock	    5,250
81.	urix	            5,247
82.	RhodyRams12	    5,231
83.	BleedBlue87	    5,223
84.	bpaz11	            5,222
85.	Section104	    5,221
86.	Ramrod	            5,212
87.	R.Kelly150	    5,200

88.	RhodeRam	    5,199*
89.	Rhodyram	    5,187
90.	adam914	            5,174
91.	ramfan85	    5,125
92.	rhodyfan3	    5,120
93.	Not Mike Powell	    5,119*

94.	rhodyrudder	    5,098

95.	CHICO 78	    4,994
96.	RamIt	            4,987
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RF1
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by RF1 »

Interesting to note that all 96 entrants picked an average attendance number lower than last year's 6,217. They did so even with two less home games this season (2017/18: 14 vs 2018/19: 16). It would seem the departure of the head coach and nearly all of the starting lineup along with a less appealing slate of opponents were likely big factors which were enough to trump a decent season ticket sale increase. It would appear that many feel that single game in season ticket purchases will be far lower than last year.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by Rhody83 »

RF1 wrote: 5 years ago Interesting to note that all 96 entrants picked an average attendance number lower than last year's 6,217. They did so even with two less home games this season (2017/18: 14 vs 2018/19: 16). It would seem the departure of the head coach and nearly all of the starting lineup along with a less appealing slate of opponents were likely big factors which were enough to trump a decent season ticket sale increase. It would appear that many feel that single game in season ticket purchases will be far lower than last year.
It would appear that last year the PC games was at home and tickets could only be bought thru the 5 game plan. So that was five games with 7,000+ attendance that they will not have this year. Also last year Rhody was preseason Top 25 and had a 16 game win streak to climb to its highest in season ranking ever.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by RF1 »

Rhody83 wrote: 5 years ago
RF1 wrote: 5 years ago Interesting to note that all 96 entrants picked an average attendance number lower than last year's 6,217. They did so even with two less home games this season (2017/18: 14 vs 2018/19: 16). It would seem the departure of the head coach and nearly all of the starting lineup along with a less appealing slate of opponents were likely big factors which were enough to trump a decent season ticket sale increase. It would appear that many feel that single game in season ticket purchases will be far lower than last year.
It would appear that last year the PC games was at home and tickets could only be bought thru the 5 game plan. So that was five games with 7,000+ attendance that they will not have this year. Also last year Rhody was preseason Top 25 and had a 16 game win streak to climb to its highest in season ranking ever.


I understand the reasons why people expect a lower average. I just thought it worth noting that with two less early unattractive OOC opponent games (normally draw small crowds) and increased overall season ticket sales, one would typically think attendance might be as good or better. In the case of this year however, not one person in a pool of 96, thinks that. This is the exact opposite sentiment of the attendance predictions the past few years where many were very bullish on a strong average attendance number.
Last edited by RF1 5 years ago, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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........’consistently win enough to compete for the A-10 crowns annually, and they will come.....’
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by Rhody83 »

RF1 wrote: 5 years ago
Rhody83 wrote: 5 years ago
RF1 wrote: 5 years ago Interesting to note that all 96 entrants picked an average attendance number lower than last year's 6,217. They did so even with two less home games this season (2017/18: 14 vs 2018/19: 16). It would seem the departure of the head coach and nearly all of the starting lineup along with a less appealing slate of opponents were likely big factors which were enough to trump a decent season ticket sale increase. It would appear that many feel that single game in season ticket purchases will be far lower than last year.
It would appear that last year the PC games was at home and tickets could only be bought thru the 5 game plan. So that was five games with 7,000+ attendance that they will not have this year. Also last year Rhody was preseason Top 25 and had a 16 game win streak to climb to its highest in season ranking ever.


I understand the reasons why people expect a lower average. I just thought it worth noting that with two less early unattractive OOC opponent games (normally draw small crowds) and increased overall season ticket sales, one would typically think attendance might be as good or better. In the case of this year however, not one person in a pool of 96, thinks that. This is the exact opposite sentiment of the attendance predictions the past few years where many were very bullish on a strong average attendance number.

That makes no sense. First you say “the departure of the head coach and nearly all of the starting lineup along with a less appealing slate of opponents were likely big factors” and I respond with 5 game impact of PC home game and 16 wins in a row/Top 20 team.

You say “I understand the readons why people expect a lower average” and then go on to state “with two less early unattractive OOC opponent games”. You clearly don’t understand. Who replaces the PC game? What replaces the 5 game plan sales due to the PC game?
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by ramster »

Rhody83 wrote: 5 years ago
RF1 wrote: 5 years ago Interesting to note that all 96 entrants picked an average attendance number lower than last year's 6,217. They did so even with two less home games this season (2017/18: 14 vs 2018/19: 16). It would seem the departure of the head coach and nearly all of the starting lineup along with a less appealing slate of opponents were likely big factors which were enough to trump a decent season ticket sale increase. It would appear that many feel that single game in season ticket purchases will be far lower than last year.
It would appear that last year the PC games was at home and tickets could only be bought thru the 5 game plan. So that was five games with 7,000+ attendance that they will not have this year. Also last year Rhody was preseason Top 25 and had a 16 game win streak to climb to its highest in season ranking ever.
Last year also had the infamous Jim Baron 2.0 thread whereby many we’re questioning Hurley’s ability and that he had failed in his NCAA prediction to get there in 5 years. That swoon impacted attendance for a time period of about a month or more. Life wasn’t always coming up roses throughout the season.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Rhody83 wrote: 5 years ago
RF1 wrote: 5 years ago
Rhody83 wrote: 5 years ago

It would appear that last year the PC games was at home and tickets could only be bought thru the 5 game plan. So that was five games with 7,000+ attendance that they will not have this year. Also last year Rhody was preseason Top 25 and had a 16 game win streak to climb to its highest in season ranking ever.


I understand the reasons why people expect a lower average. I just thought it worth noting that with two less early unattractive OOC opponent games (normally draw small crowds) and increased overall season ticket sales, one would typically think attendance might be as good or better. In the case of this year however, not one person in a pool of 96, thinks that. This is the exact opposite sentiment of the attendance predictions the past few years where many were very bullish on a strong average attendance number.

That makes no sense. First you say “the departure of the head coach and nearly all of the starting lineup along with a less appealing slate of opponents were likely big factors” and I respond with 5 game impact of PC home game and 16 wins in a row/Top 20 team.

You say “I understand the readons why people expect a lower average” and then go on to state “with two less early unattractive OOC opponent games”. You clearly don’t understand. Who replaces the PC game? What replaces the 5 game plan sales due to the PC game?
Let me explain it this way:

If it were JUST two less unattractive OOC games and an increase in season tickets, one would reasonably expect higher average attendance. Those however are not the only critical factors this season to consider. The other factors combined (loss of coach/loss of nearly all of the starting line-up/no PC or other real attractive draws) outweigh the advantageous forces. That negative imbalance has many expecting a lower average.
Last edited by RF1 5 years ago, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by ramster »

RF1 wrote: 5 years ago
Rhody83 wrote: 5 years ago
RF1 wrote: 5 years ago Interesting to note that all 96 entrants picked an average attendance number lower than last year's 6,217. They did so even with two less home games this season (2017/18: 14 vs 2018/19: 16). It would seem the departure of the head coach and nearly all of the starting lineup along with a less appealing slate of opponents were likely big factors which were enough to trump a decent season ticket sale increase. It would appear that many feel that single game in season ticket purchases will be far lower than last year.
It would appear that last year the PC games was at home and tickets could only be bought thru the 5 game plan. So that was five games with 7,000+ attendance that they will not have this year. Also last year Rhody was preseason Top 25 and had a 16 game win streak to climb to its highest in season ranking ever.


I understand the reasons why people expect a lower average. I just thought it worth noting that with two less early unattractive OOC opponent games (normally draw small crowds) and increased overall season ticket sales, one would typically think attendance might be as good or better. In the case of this year however, not one person in a pool of 96, thinks that. This is the exact opposite sentiment of the attendance predictions the past few years where many were very bullish on a strong average attendance number.
Not necessarily true RF1. I think it, but there was no need for me to go higher because I am already the highest. I could have put 6,600 but why?
I’m optimistic about this years team. Much talent. I also think they will improve more from the beginning of the season to the beginning of A10 Conference play and then on the A10 Tournament. Last years team was a veteran team that did not change all that much from beginning to end. This year more upside potential.
I love Harris and Martin. Still think Martin will be in the starting line up no later than start of A10 play.
Dowtin, Langevine and Russell have upside potential too as this is now their team.
There will be some bumps but winning by 34 with a point spread of 17 was not something last years team did ever.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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ramster wrote: 5 years ago
Rhody83 wrote: 5 years ago
RF1 wrote: 5 years ago Interesting to note that all 96 entrants picked an average attendance number lower than last year's 6,217. They did so even with two less home games this season (2017/18: 14 vs 2018/19: 16). It would seem the departure of the head coach and nearly all of the starting lineup along with a less appealing slate of opponents were likely big factors which were enough to trump a decent season ticket sale increase. It would appear that many feel that single game in season ticket purchases will be far lower than last year.
It would appear that last year the PC games was at home and tickets could only be bought thru the 5 game plan. So that was five games with 7,000+ attendance that they will not have this year. Also last year Rhody was preseason Top 25 and had a 16 game win streak to climb to its highest in season ranking ever.
Last year also had the infamous Jim Baron 2.0 thread whereby many we’re questioning Hurley’s ability and that he had failed in his NCAA prediction to get there in 5 years. That swoon impacted attendance for a time period of about a month or more. Life wasn’t always coming up roses throughout the season.
That wasn't last year it was the year before
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Also, the WVU game being at Mohegan and NOT the RC lowers attendance projections. I would have anticipated a near sellout had WVU played at the RC. Next year, PC is back as well as a higher amount of those 5 game mini-plans being sold. We'll also be returning with a more mature team.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Taylor Swift wrote: 5 years ago Also, the WVU game being at Mohegan and NOT the RC lowers attendance projections. I would have anticipated a near sellout had WVU played at the RC. Next year, PC is back as well as a higher amount of those 5 game mini-plans being sold. We'll also be returning with a more mature team.
Next year should have BOTH PC and Alabama at home which should be big draws for ticket packages. Furthermore, it will be a much more seasoned team with higher expectations.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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RF1 wrote: 5 years ago
Taylor Swift wrote: 5 years ago Also, the WVU game being at Mohegan and NOT the RC lowers attendance projections. I would have anticipated a near sellout had WVU played at the RC. Next year, PC is back as well as a higher amount of those 5 game mini-plans being sold. We'll also be returning with a more mature team.
Next year should have BOTH PC and Alabama at home which should be big draws for ticket packages. Furthermore, it will be a much more seasoned team with higher expectations.
That's pretty much what I said minus mentioning Alabama :lol:
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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URI finally listed the official attendance for the Harvard game on gorhody.com. Have averaged 5,252 through two games which is just a bit under last year's average at the same point in the season. Worth noting that the attendance for the first two games so far has been very consistent, something that was not the case last year as there was a drop of over 2k from the first to second game.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2018-19
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG | DIFF | %
Bryant | 5,010 | 5,010 | 5,010 | 6,367 | (1,357) | -21.3%
Harvard | 5,494 | 10,504 | 5,252 | 5,338 | (86) | -1.6%
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by Rhody83 »

Hard to micro analyze because there are so many factors especially with the students. The next home game is the Saturday after Thanksgiving. If we didn't have that date last year, you are going to see a big drop off in attendance for game 3 compared to last year.

In addition to not having the PC game and the pull that had on the 5 game pack, there are other factors last year that we will not have this year:
Moving up in the Top 25 rankings
16 game win streak
NCAA Tournament team

It also seems like we have more weekend home games this year which will help general public attendance but hurt the student attendance.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Will weekend home games hurt attendance with students? Yeah, commuter students might not come to campus and a lot of students go home for the weekend, but I imagine they're the two types of students that are already not going to games
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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A very decent crowd of 5,016 today to see a putrid display by the home team. Looks like the lack of students on campus was made up by all the game promos. There were a lot of families with children there. YTD attendance is actually slightly ahead (+2.4%) of last year through three games. It may very well be the first and last time this season is trending higher given the sold out PC contest was game #4 the previous year.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2018-19
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG | DIFF | %
Bryant | 5,010 | 5,010 | 5,010 | 6,367 | (1,357) | -21.3%
Harvard | 5,494 | 10,504 | 5,252 | 5,338 | (86) | -1.6%
Stony Brook | 5,016 | 15,520 | 5,173 | 5,054 | 120 | 2.4%
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Yeah with the team not doing so well attendance may suffer
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Weeknight crowd of 4,828 for Brown. Season to date average though four games is now at 5,087. This is 12% off last year through four games which included the PC sellout.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2018-19
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG | DIFF | %
Bryant | 5,010 | 5,010 | 5,010 | 6,367 | (1,357) | -21.3%
Harvard | 5,494 | 10,504 | 5,252 | 5,338 | (86) | -1.6%
Stony Brook | 5,016 | 15,520 | 5,173 | 5,054 | 120 | 2.4%
Brown | 4,828 | 20,348 | 5,087 | 5,780 | (693) | -12.0%
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by Billyboy78 »

Wow, there were less people at the Brown game than there were at the Stony Brook game when the students were on break?
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Unread post by RhowdyRam02 »

Saturday afternoon vs. Wednesday night, which is better for a lot of people and there weren't a ton of students there last night.
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Billyboy78 wrote: 5 years ago Wow, there were less people at the Brown game than there were at the Stony Brook game when the students were on break?
As mentioned, Stony brook was a Saturday. There were also many ticket promos and community groups at the game. URI did a good job to find ways to make up for the loss of students on break. The Brown game was a weeknight and on the heels of a sobering loss which likely did not help drive the numbers.

URI's attendance has been very consistent this year with it ranging from the low last night of 4,828 to the high for Harvard of 5,494. Last year, there were wide variances in attendance for the OOC games. That is not the case this year.

For some perspective, PC drew a similar crowd to URI-Brown the night before when it hosted Fairleigh Dickinson. The Friars drew just 4,879 to a Tuesday night game that had a later than normal start. PC is still averaging 6,782 YTD through four home games versus no big draw opponents. Their next game versus URI on Saturday will be near sellout range and will get their season average up to around 8k with it expected to rise later in the year as their Big East schedule kicks in.

Most New England schools do not draw well for their games. BC had just 4,389 as its announced attendance for Big Ten challenge team Minnesota on Monday night. UMass is averaging just 2,458 through six games. Not one of their games has had a number outside the 2k range.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by Obadiah »

You can even UConn to that list because the Huskies in a Tuesday game versus UMass Lowell drew 5,507, some 54% of their arena's capacity.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by RF1 »

Obadiah wrote: 5 years ago You can even UConn to that list because the Huskies in a Tuesday game versus UMass Lowell drew 5,507, some 54% of their arena's capacity.


Huskies however have no concern for how they will draw in true road OOC games - they have none. Nine home games (4 Storrs/ 5 Hartford) and four not too far neutral site games (3 NYC / 1 Newark). Their coach has never had such a favorable lopsided schedule like that before.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by RF1 »

Related to attendance on the road:

From McNamara and Koch in the Jourrnal:

From a box office perspective, Cooley’s comments last year somewhat downplaying his program’s rivalry with the Rams seemed rather tone deaf.

Games with URI represent the last six non-conference home sellouts for Providence. Saturday’s overflow crowd of 12,997 included some folks who paid in excess of $100 on the street for tickets and upwards of double that price to online vendors.

A meeting with No. 16 Texas in 2003-04 was the last non-conference home game other than a matchup with the Rams to sell out. P.J. Tucker’s driving layup as the horn sounded in overtime gave the Longhorns a 79-77 victory in front of 12,993.


Link:
http://digital.olivesoftware.com/Olive/ ... 1019025800


Hopefully these stats ensure that PC will not want to tinker with the continuing terms of this series given its obvious monetary benefits.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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ATTENDANCE COMPARISONS

Just 2,257 at the Mullins last night to see UMass fall to nearby Worcester based Holy Cross. UMass is averaging just 2,429 through seven games. Every game thus far has been in the 2,034-2,976 range.


2018-19 UMASS MEN'S BASKETBALL ATTENDANCE
UMASS-LOWELL 2,976
NEW HAMPSHIRE 2,563
HARVARD 2,645
HOWARD 2,048
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF 2,034
QUINNIPIAC 2,478
HOLY CROSS 2,257


Last night, BC drew a season high 5,453 (which included many Friar fans) for its game with PC. This number is considered very good for the Eagles as they drew just 3,410 for their last contest with Sacred Heart and only 4,389 for Big Ten member Minnesota.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by NYGFan_Section208 »

Over/under on attendance at DCU this weekend... 3,000?
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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NYGFan_Section208 wrote: 5 years ago Over/under on attendance at DCU this weekend... 3,000?
Just had attendance of 2,312 at the DCU Center with nearly half there for URI.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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RF1 wrote: 5 years ago
NYGFan_Section208 wrote: 5 years ago Over/under on attendance at DCU this weekend... 3,000?
Just had attendance of 2,312 at the DCU Center with nearly half there for URI.
Seemed like maybe more than half?
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by Rhody83 »

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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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A total of 5,812 at Mohegan Sun Arena for the Sunday 12-16-18 tripleheader of URI-WVU, Dayton-Tulsa, and Drexel-Quinnipiac. Most of the total event crowd was there specifically for game 1 between the Rams and Mountaineers. Nearly all of them departed after that game.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Worth noting that PC had another sub 5k crowd last night for Albany. While PC will end up the year with very good average attendance with expected large crowds for its future Big East opponents, it is worth noting that it too is not immune to small crowds for games involving perceived lesser opponents.

Albany at PC 4,855
FDU at PC 4,879
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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A surprisingly large turnout of 6,382 came out for a NFL Sunday game during semester break against Middle Tennessee State University. This was easily the largest crowd for the OOC schedule. It would appear that the mini-pack and other promotions (be a student/family packs) helped drive the number. A lot of families with children at the game. YTD average attendance through five games is at a very decent 5,346 for an OOC slate that had no really attractive name opponents. For perspective, last season's full (7) OOC schedule which had two more home games including a PC sellout averaged 5,516.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2018-19
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG | DIFF | %
Bryant | 5,010 | 5,010 | 5,010 | 6,367 | (1,357) | -21.3%
Harvard | 5,494 | 10,504 | 5,252 | 5,338 | (86) | -1.6%
Stony Brook | 5,016 | 15,520 | 5,173 | 5,054 | 120 | 2.4%
Brown | 4,828 | 20,348 | 5,087 | 5,780 | (693) | -12.0%
Middle Tenn State | 6,382 | 26,730 | 5,346 | 5,776 | (430) | -7.4%
Last edited by RF1 5 years ago, edited 5 times in total.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Wow I am very surprised by the turnout great job Rhody Nation
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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A respectable crowd of 5,383 for George Mason on a Sunday NFL Playoff day (with the NE Patriots playing) during semester break. Season to date average is at 5,352. With roughly half the season now played, a clear picture of what this team is (inconsistent and mediocre) has come into focus. I therefore do not expect a bandwagon effect and as big a bump in attendance for A-10 games as was the case in the last few years. I think the numbers will be decent given the volume of already pre-sold tickets. I however do not think you will see additional in season ticket purchases to the degree of the recent past. I think this will be much more evident in weeknight games such as this Wednesday versus St Bonaventure. Many of the mid-week A-10 games might well get numbers below 5k, a level seen in only one (Brown) of six games to date so far. My thinking is weekend games will have much better numbers but not approach near sellouts like many games in the previous two seasons.


RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2018-19
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG | DIFF | %
Bryant | 5,010 | 5,010 | 5,010 | 6,367 | (1,357) | -21.3%
Harvard | 5,494 | 10,504 | 5,252 | 5,338 | (86) | -1.6%
Stony Brook | 5,016 | 15,520 | 5,173 | 5,054 | 120 | 2.4%
Brown | 4,828 | 20,348 | 5,087 | 5,780 | (693) | -12.0%
Middle Tenn State | 6,382 | 26,730 | 5,346 | 5,776 | (430) | -7.4%
George Mason | 5,383 | 32,113 | 5,352 | 5,544 | (192) | -3.5%
Last edited by RF1 5 years ago, edited 5 times in total.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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I wouldn't be surprised if attendance is low Wednesday, coming off of yesterday's dud with a 6 pm start time
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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looking at sub 4000 on Wednesday I think.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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I will guess 4600
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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A crowd of 5,616 was on hand last night for the game versus St Bonaventure increasing the season average to 5,390. Given all the factors that worked against turnout for this contest (early start/weeknight/during break/after bad home loss/against an opponent with losing record), I am somewhat surprised. This is the third straight game during semester break that had very respectable attendance numbers. Given that the team's mediocre and inconsistent performance to date is likely not driving sales, I have to assume that the marketing department has done really well with the promotions it has employed for these games. Kudos for them as their efforts have certainly borne results.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2018-19

Code: Select all

OPPONENT          | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG |  DIFF   |    %
Bryant            |  5,010     |  5,010  |  5,010  | 6,367  | (1,357) | -21.3%
Harvard           |  5,494     | 10,504  |  5,252  | 5,338  |    (86) |  -1.6%
Stony Brook       |  5,016     | 15,520  |  5,173  | 5,054  |    120  |   2.4%
Brown             |  4,828     | 20,348  |  5,087  | 5,780  |   (693) | -12.0%
Middle Tenn State |  6,382     | 26,730  |  5,346  | 5,776  |   (430) |  -7.4%
George Mason      |  5,383     | 32,113  |  5,352  | 5,544  |   (192) |  -3.5%
St Bonaventure    |  5,616     | 37,729  |  5,390  | 5,516  |   (126) |  -2.3%
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Last night was Teacher Appreciation Night. They offered two FREE tickets to any teacher in Southern N.E. Smart move because they knew attendance was going to be low.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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For some further perspective:

On the same night that 5,616 came out to see URI beat St. Bonaventure at the Ryan Center, fellow New England public state flagship and A-10 member UMass drew just 2,412 for its game versus George Mason at the 9,493 seat Mullins Center. UMass is averaging only 2,584 for ten games thus far this season. Every crowd but one game (LaSalle 01/05/19 - 4,154) has been in the 2k range.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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A crowd of 5,874 came out to see URI play VCU and get its biggest win of the year. YTD average attendance is now at 5,450 which is tracking just below the mark (5,624) through eight games last season.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2018-19
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG | DIFF | %
Bryant | 5,010 | 5,010 | 5,010 | 6,367 | (1,357) | -21.3%
Harvard | 5,494 | 10,504 | 5,252 | 5,338 | (86) | -1.6%
Stony Brook | 5,016 | 15,520 | 5,173 | 5,054 | 120 | 2.4%
Brown | 4,828 | 20,348 | 5,087 | 5,780 | (693) | -12.0%
Middle Tenn State | 6,382 | 26,730 | 5,346 | 5,776 | (430) | -7.4%
George Mason | 5,383 | 32,113 | 5,352 | 5,544 | (192) | -3.5%
St Bonaventure | 5,616 | 37,729 | 5,390 | 5,516 | (126) | -2.3%
VCU | 5,874 | 43,603 | 5,450 | 5,624 | (174) | -3.1%
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Considering we don't have the home game against pc this year to be down about 200 per game isn't too bad....
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by Obadiah »

Ramulous wrote: 5 years ago Considering we don't have the home game against pc this year to be down about 200 per game isn't too bad....
You are right about the absence of a PC game plus this year's lackluster home OOC schedule. But the comparative difference may worsen since last year six of our last seven games each drew over 7,000 with Davidson and Dayton being sellouts.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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The VCU win can propel fan interest......provided we keep winning...
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Ramulous wrote: 5 years ago Considering we don't have the home game against pc this year to be down about 200 per game isn't too bad....
It is very good considering no PC game or any other "name" OOC opponent as well as a very inconsistent performance start to the season. I think the athletic dept deserves praise for pre-selling so many season ticket and mini plan packages. Their promotions to get fans to the games during semester break also worked out very well. Attendance, unlike many past seasons, has been extremely consistent with just one game (barely) below 5k. I would expect decent attendance through the remaining games as it is typically better for conference play. Our YTD average of 5,450 would place it 5th in the 17 year history of the Ryan Center were it to hold steady. My guess is that the average will ultimately end a bit higher than present but don't expect quite the same numbers for the remaining A-10 games as we saw last year.

RYAN CENTER URI HOME ATTENDANCE BY AVERAGE - COMPLETED SEASONS IN ORDER OF HIGHEST AVERAGE
SEASON | GAMES | TOTAL | AVERAGE
2017-18 | 16 | 99,466 | 6,217
2007-08 | 15 | 88,731 | 5,915
2003-04 | 17 | 97,762 | 5,751
2002-03 | 17 | 96,194 | 5,658
2014-15 | 16 | 86,461 | 5,404

All the above five seasons saw URI reach postseason play. 2017-18 resulted in an NCAA at large bid while the others saw the team invited to the NIT.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by Rhodymob05 »

If that was a Fri-Sun game, I'd bet there would be over 6 grand, Wednesdays can be tough, I hit rush hour right on the nose and of course, we all know Kingston is located in Guam. Good crowd considering.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

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Rhodymob05 wrote: 5 years ago If that was a Fri-Sun game, I'd bet there would be over 6 grand, Wednesdays can be tough, I hit rush hour right on the nose and of course, we all know Kingston is located in Guam. Good crowd considering.
Disappointed in general attendance for the game if Thorr’s tweet about 2,000 students is correct.
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Re: 2018-19 Average Home Attendance Prediction Summary

Unread post by RamIt! »

Rhody83 wrote: 5 years ago
Rhodymob05 wrote: 5 years ago If that was a Fri-Sun game, I'd bet there would be over 6 grand, Wednesdays can be tough, I hit rush hour right on the nose and of course, we all know Kingston is located in Guam. Good crowd considering.
Disappointed in general attendance for the game if Thorr’s tweet about 2,000 students is correct.
I agree, if that is correct then we had a drop of 1800 in general attendance. That's really disappointing, considering the Bonnie's game was also a Wednesday night nationally televised game.
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