Re: Red Sox and other Major League Baseball - 2016
Posted: Wed Apr 13, 2016 5:44 pm
And Sandoval to the DL. If he's not the worst Red Sox signing ever he's damn close.
http://nypost.com/2016/05/03/red-sox-ar ... 7m-season/ATPTourFan wrote:I bet Red Sox can get protection from paying the entire salary out of their pocket, too. They will look to use salary insurance which normally kicks in when a player is lost for the season with a verifiable injury.
Even if you get away from just speed and velocity, how many teams bring back a guy on short-rest, even in a run to the postseason? The last one I can remember is CC in 2008 with the Brewers. He pitched a half-season with the Brewers and led the NL in complete games and shutouts. He pitched the last 3 games of the regular season on short rest, turning what would have been 2 starts into 3. The last game of the regular season, tied in the wild card, he went for a complete game victory to led the Brewers to the playoffs. Now pitchers are so protected, even in that scenario, it was CC who had to volunteer, his agent was against it, pleading for him not to do it, to protect his arm for free agency. Not even regular season, but in playoffs, why can't a pitcher go games 1, 4, and 7? In '14, Bumgarner went games 1, 5, and 7, but game 7 was in relief, although he did go 5 scoreless innings. There is so much value in protecting the arms of the pitchers, but despite all of their restrictions and protection, Tommy John surgeries and still around historical highs. Are their more TJ injuries now because players are more open and willing to reveal them because the success rate from surgery is still high, or because of other factors? When Daisuke was with the Sox, one of the things he said bothered him was the fact that he was forced to pitch a certain way on off-days, when he was throwing extrodinarily high pitch-count bullpens in Japan.SGreenwell wrote:The pitcher stamina thing, at least when Bill James looked at in the 1990s, was a combination of two things:
1) There's plenty of ancedotal evidence that pitchers from way-back-when didn't throw as hard, or at least, they didn't have to throw hard every pitch. This is partly because...
2) ... Even the #8 and #9 hitters on rosters now can plant a straight 85 to 90 MPH fastball in the stands. I mean, the game has always had dangerous sluggers in the 3 to 5 holes in the batting order. But there are way less "easy outs" in modern lineups, like your Mark Belangers.
CC is a good example, though. All that wear and tear on his arm, and his career was over at 32. The reason for the increased incidence of Tommy John and the injuries that require it is a result of all the torque guys put on the ball now throwing breaking pitches, not that they don't pitch enough. Pitching in modern baseball is just more demanding physically than it was 40 years ago. The guys are not weaker, they are just taxing their bodies at much greater levels.rjsuperfly66 wrote:Even if you get away from just speed and velocity, how many teams bring back a guy on short-rest, even in a run to the postseason? The last one I can remember is CC in 2008 with the Brewers. He pitched a half-season with the Brewers and led the NL in complete games and shutouts. He pitched the last 3 games of the regular season on short rest, turning what would have been 2 starts into 3. The last game of the regular season, tied in the wild card, he went for a complete game victory to led the Brewers to the playoffs. Now pitchers are so protected, even in that scenario, it was CC who had to volunteer, his agent was against it, pleading for him not to do it, to protect his arm for free agency. Not even regular season, but in playoffs, why can't a pitcher go games 1, 4, and 7? In '14, Bumgarner went games 1, 5, and 7, but game 7 was in relief, although he did go 5 scoreless innings. There is so much value in protecting the arms of the pitchers, but despite all of their restrictions and protection, Tommy John surgeries and still around historical highs. Are their more TJ injuries now because players are more open and willing to reveal them because the success rate from surgery is still high, or because of other factors? When Daisuke was with the Sox, one of the things he said bothered him was the fact that he was forced to pitch a certain way on off-days, when he was throwing extrodinarily high pitch-count bullpens in Japan.SGreenwell wrote:The pitcher stamina thing, at least when Bill James looked at in the 1990s, was a combination of two things:
1) There's plenty of ancedotal evidence that pitchers from way-back-when didn't throw as hard, or at least, they didn't have to throw hard every pitch. This is partly because...
2) ... Even the #8 and #9 hitters on rosters now can plant a straight 85 to 90 MPH fastball in the stands. I mean, the game has always had dangerous sluggers in the 3 to 5 holes in the batting order. But there are way less "easy outs" in modern lineups, like your Mark Belangers.
It's tough to say on CC, was his career over because of the wear and tear from pitching so much, or because he became extremely overweight and didn't he spend time in rehab? His velocity did drop about 4 mph from 2011 to 2014, from about 93 to around 89, but in spring training 2015, he was throwing low to mid 90s again. In the middle of July last year, he was still throwing 92-93. Now it's going back the other way on him, his averages are in the mid to high 80s, he's also almost 36. I don't watch a lot of Yankees baseball, just going off the numbers.TruePoint wrote:CC is a good example, though. All that wear and tear on his arm, and his career was over at 32. The reason for the increased incidence of Tommy John and the injuries that require it is a result of all the torque guys put on the ball now throwing breaking pitches, not that they don't pitch enough. Pitching in modern baseball is just more demanding physically than it was 40 years ago. The guys are not weaker, they are just taxing their bodies at much greater levels.rjsuperfly66 wrote:Even if you get away from just speed and velocity, how many teams bring back a guy on short-rest, even in a run to the postseason? The last one I can remember is CC in 2008 with the Brewers. He pitched a half-season with the Brewers and led the NL in complete games and shutouts. He pitched the last 3 games of the regular season on short rest, turning what would have been 2 starts into 3. The last game of the regular season, tied in the wild card, he went for a complete game victory to led the Brewers to the playoffs. Now pitchers are so protected, even in that scenario, it was CC who had to volunteer, his agent was against it, pleading for him not to do it, to protect his arm for free agency. Not even regular season, but in playoffs, why can't a pitcher go games 1, 4, and 7? In '14, Bumgarner went games 1, 5, and 7, but game 7 was in relief, although he did go 5 scoreless innings. There is so much value in protecting the arms of the pitchers, but despite all of their restrictions and protection, Tommy John surgeries and still around historical highs. Are their more TJ injuries now because players are more open and willing to reveal them because the success rate from surgery is still high, or because of other factors? When Daisuke was with the Sox, one of the things he said bothered him was the fact that he was forced to pitch a certain way on off-days, when he was throwing extrodinarily high pitch-count bullpens in Japan.SGreenwell wrote:The pitcher stamina thing, at least when Bill James looked at in the 1990s, was a combination of two things:
1) There's plenty of ancedotal evidence that pitchers from way-back-when didn't throw as hard, or at least, they didn't have to throw hard every pitch. This is partly because...
2) ... Even the #8 and #9 hitters on rosters now can plant a straight 85 to 90 MPH fastball in the stands. I mean, the game has always had dangerous sluggers in the 3 to 5 holes in the batting order. But there are way less "easy outs" in modern lineups, like your Mark Belangers.
Now you can say you've seen the needle and the damage doneNYGFan_Section208 wrote:David Ortiz...having an outstanding season...but has absolutely no wheels left whatsoever, or maybe worse. It's almost a negative when you see him get a non-RBI base hit...because then he has to run the bases. And, it's not just that he's slower than (you name it), but there's the very real risk of additional heel/Achilles issues every single time...
Will be in St. Pete for the games next week - cheaper to fly to FL and see them at the Trop than to drive up to Fenway. Hoping they remember how to hit.
Oh well...on the upside....can't ever get enough Eck.
It's not the worst trade they could have done, but man, the backfire potential is high. Young pitchers are the toughest to develop, but it cuts both ways, because pitching is volatile in general. Pomeranz first half could have been a fluke, Espinoza could blow out his arm, and suddenly it's a "who cares?" deal. Lot of potential outcomes, but the price seemed a tiny bit high to me.NYGFan_Section208 wrote:Espinoza for Pomeranz...thumbs up? thumbs down?
Because pitching is so volatile, I think I like it.. some were using Pedro comparisons for Espinoza, but for every potential Pedro, there's probably more Brien Taylors.SGreenwell wrote:It's not the worst trade they could have done, but man, the backfire potential is high. Young pitchers are the toughest to develop, but it cuts both ways, because pitching is volatile in general. Pomeranz first half could have been a fluke, Espinoza could blow out his arm, and suddenly it's a "who cares?" deal. Lot of potential outcomes, but the price seemed a tiny bit high to me.NYGFan_Section208 wrote:Espinoza for Pomeranz...thumbs up? thumbs down?
I've gone there from both Stamford and New Haven. If you don't mind a longer train ride then either of those places might make the commute a little easier.NYGFan_Section208 wrote:
Because pitching is so volatile, I think I like it.. some were using Pedro comparisons for Espinoza, but for every potential Pedro, there's probably more Brien Taylors.
Going to try to get to Yankee Stadium tomorrow with my son...not looking forward to the commute. Thinking of driving to New Rochelle and taking the train in from there - anyone have other suggestions (from WK)?
Yes, and yesterday was their 6th straight win and Sox are now the hottest team in baseball. I love that Pomeranz is now added to the starting rotation too. I loved that Elsbury popped out in a clutch opportunity.NYGFan_Section208 wrote:Awesome trip to Yankee Stadium yesterday with my son. Long day trips are so much better when your team wins (see last year's St Joe's, Fordham, UMass hoop games). Nice to finally see the 'new' stadium and the Yankees scuffling. Taking the train (from New Haven) made it easy to get in and out.
Here's the thing though - What if the previous regime had done the rumored deals for Betts, Xander and JBJ that were rumored over the years? Instead, they erred on the side of just keeping prospects, which in hindsight was almost certainly the right decision. The issue I always have with dealing prospects is that because they're volatile, you don't know which ones will succeed. Guys suddenly put it together at 23, or a Single A adds 5 MPH and suddenly he's in the majors the next season, or a guy killing Triple A can't adjust to breaking stuff, etc.ramster wrote:I like the trade for some of the reasons in this article and:
Pomeranz was an All Star this year from a not very good San Diego team
He had 6 games he went 7 innings in this year and gave up 2,5,3,2,2,3 hits in those games - excellent
115 K's in 102 innings is solid
2.47 ERA great
Left handed
27 years old, 6'5", 240 lbs
Timing
Red Sox led all 30 teams in hitting at .292, they are the strongest hitting team in baseball
Only 2 games out, 5.5 ahead of Yankees
Porcello and Wright have been bettering than expected
MUST have another starter and Pomeranz should fit the bill
Yes Anderson Espinosa has potential and was rated #19 prospect BEFORE this season started
But have to give up something to get an All Star
At Greenville, only single A, Espinosa had 72K's in 75 innings - not as good as Pomeranz in big leagues
4.38 era with 5-8 won loss record
6'0" and 160 pounds
Sox HAD to have another starter and now have one. Still some great arms in minor league system
I like what DD is doing, especially compared to previous management
I totally get what you're saying, but...sometimes you have to take a chance...you can't always keep them all. There are folks getting paid pretty good ching to make that call, and as long as it seems like there's some discretion, I'm good with it...make a deal once in a while...I think this is a good one.SGreenwell wrote:Here's the thing though - What if the previous regime had done the rumored deals for Betts, Xander and JBJ that were rumored over the years? Instead, they erred on the side of just keeping prospects, which in hindsight was almost certainly the right decision. The issue I always have with dealing prospects is that because they're volatile, you don't know which ones will succeed. Guys suddenly put it together at 23, or a Single A adds 5 MPH and suddenly he's in the majors the next season, or a guy killing Triple A can't adjust to breaking stuff, etc.ramster wrote:I like the trade for some of the reasons in this article and:
Pomeranz was an All Star this year from a not very good San Diego team
He had 6 games he went 7 innings in this year and gave up 2,5,3,2,2,3 hits in those games - excellent
115 K's in 102 innings is solid
2.47 ERA great
Left handed
27 years old, 6'5", 240 lbs
Timing
Red Sox led all 30 teams in hitting at .292, they are the strongest hitting team in baseball
Only 2 games out, 5.5 ahead of Yankees
Porcello and Wright have been bettering than expected
MUST have another starter and Pomeranz should fit the bill
Yes Anderson Espinosa has potential and was rated #19 prospect BEFORE this season started
But have to give up something to get an All Star
At Greenville, only single A, Espinosa had 72K's in 75 innings - not as good as Pomeranz in big leagues
4.38 era with 5-8 won loss record
6'0" and 160 pounds
Sox HAD to have another starter and now have one. Still some great arms in minor league system
I like what DD is doing, especially compared to previous management
As a result, I'd prefer to just keep them all, unless you're dealing for a proven, top-tier talent. (The Beckett deal, or when the Tigers acquired Cabrera, which I give credit to Dombrowski for pulling.) I don't think Pomeranz is that guy. I don't really think there will be a true ace available on the trade market this year, so I probably would have just preferred the Sox continuing to churn through the minor league and waiver wire options.
I share this same opinion. I tend to lean towards keeping "elite/top" prospects, unless you are in a situation where you are getting a proven talent that is either going to make you a legit championship contender this year or is going to be a key part of a potential championship nucleus in the coming years. Acquiring Pomeranz for Espinoza accomplishes neither of these, as he (Pomeranz) is still too much of an unknown to acquire for your top pitching prospect. This trade may ultimately pan out as a Red Sox win (due to the volatility of prospect ranking) but, in my opinion, the risk trading your top top pitching prospect for someone who is not going to put you over the hump as championship contender is short-sighted.SGreenwell wrote:Here's the thing though - What if the previous regime had done the rumored deals for Betts, Xander and JBJ that were rumored over the years? Instead, they erred on the side of just keeping prospects, which in hindsight was almost certainly the right decision. The issue I always have with dealing prospects is that because they're volatile, you don't know which ones will succeed. Guys suddenly put it together at 23, or a Single A adds 5 MPH and suddenly he's in the majors the next season, or a guy killing Triple A can't adjust to breaking stuff, etc.ramster wrote:I like the trade for some of the reasons in this article and:
Pomeranz was an All Star this year from a not very good San Diego team
He had 6 games he went 7 innings in this year and gave up 2,5,3,2,2,3 hits in those games - excellent
115 K's in 102 innings is solid
2.47 ERA great
Left handed
27 years old, 6'5", 240 lbs
Timing
Red Sox led all 30 teams in hitting at .292, they are the strongest hitting team in baseball
Only 2 games out, 5.5 ahead of Yankees
Porcello and Wright have been bettering than expected
MUST have another starter and Pomeranz should fit the bill
Yes Anderson Espinosa has potential and was rated #19 prospect BEFORE this season started
But have to give up something to get an All Star
At Greenville, only single A, Espinosa had 72K's in 75 innings - not as good as Pomeranz in big leagues
4.38 era with 5-8 won loss record
6'0" and 160 pounds
Sox HAD to have another starter and now have one. Still some great arms in minor league system
I like what DD is doing, especially compared to previous management
As a result, I'd prefer to just keep them all, unless you're dealing for a proven, top-tier talent. (The Beckett deal, or when the Tigers acquired Cabrera, which I give credit to Dombrowski for pulling.) I don't think Pomeranz is that guy. I don't really think there will be a true ace available on the trade market this year, so I probably would have just preferred the Sox continuing to churn through the minor league and waiver wire options.