KeaneyBlue - The URI Basketball Forum

FDshoes wrote: ↑4 years ago Dropped 1 in net from 52 to now 53. Bonnies stayed at 134 barely clinging to q2 victory. Not gonna lie this whole net thing still confuses me. Wasnt expecting a big jump but thought it would get us atleast a couple spots.

Blue Man wrote: ↑4 years ago

FDshoes wrote: ↑4 years ago Dropped 1 in net from 52 to now 53. Bonnies stayed at 134 barely clinging to q2 victory. Not gonna lie this whole net thing still confuses me. Wasnt expecting a big jump but thought it would get us atleast a couple spots.

Doesn’t look like it updated yet. Still says through Jan 24.

They still have the dukes at 72. I would expect a free fall from them - which will probably dampen our jump a tad.

Either way the longer the year goes on the less we’ll move after individual games.

While it was a great win as a fan (read: every win), the computers will see we beat a q2/Q3 team on the road by about what we were favored. We’ll go up but I wouldn’t expect more than 3 spots.

FDshoes wrote: ↑4 years ago

Blue Man wrote: ↑4 years ago

FDshoes wrote: ↑4 years ago Dropped 1 in net from 52 to now 53. Bonnies stayed at 134 barely clinging to q2 victory. Not gonna lie this whole net thing still confuses me. Wasnt expecting a big jump but thought it would get us atleast a couple spots.

Doesn’t look like it updated yet. Still says through Jan 24.

They still have the dukes at 72. I would expect a free fall from them - which will probably dampen our jump a tad.

Either way the longer the year goes on the less we’ll move after individual games.

While it was a great win as a fan (read: every win), the computers will see we beat a q2/Q3 team on the road by about what we were favored. We’ll go up but I wouldn’t expect more than 3 spots.

My CBS app appeared to be updated had current records and i thought i saw us at 52 entering the game yesterday.

FDshoes wrote: ↑4 years ago Dropped 1 in net from 52 to now 53. Bonnies stayed at 134 barely clinging to q2 victory. Not gonna lie this whole net thing still confuses me. Wasnt expecting a big jump but thought it would get us atleast a couple spots.

FDshoes wrote: ↑4 years ago Hopefully, like i said my cbs app did have 1/25 on it and has typically updated after the last game each day since it started having the net listed.

NJRhodyFan wrote: ↑4 years ago How do you beat a good team on the road and drop one spot?? NET rating system is a joke.

Rhodyram wrote: ↑4 years ago

NJRhodyFan wrote: ↑4 years ago How do you beat a good team on the road and drop one spot?? NET rating system is a joke.

Metrics-wise, St Bonaventure is not a good team.

RhodyRam86 wrote: ↑4 years ago I had to go through schedules, though i'm sure there must be a site that breaks down Quad wins and losses. Just couldn't find it.

For what it's worth:

URI Q1 1-3 Q2 3-1
VCU Q1 1-3 Q2 0-3
Rich Q1 1-4 Q2 1-1


This supports those that don't think VCU deserves to be in over URI at this point.

Rhodyram wrote: ↑4 years ago So 14-5 is where I expected this team to be right now. I obviously didn’t expect them to lose to Brown and had @VCU as a loss. That being said- how much difference in the metrics would it be had we beaten Brown and lost at VCU (results reversed)Obviously it would have been ideal to win both but...

URI2006_Andy wrote: ↑4 years ago

Rhodyram wrote: ↑4 years ago So 14-5 is where I expected this team to be right now. I obviously didn’t expect them to lose to Brown and had @VCU as a loss. That being said- how much difference in the metrics would it be had we beaten Brown and lost at VCU (results reversed)Obviously it would have been ideal to win both but...

The metrics may be similar. But, in terms of an at-large resume, a road win vs a top 50 team is much more valuable than having one less “bad loss”.

Also, beating VCU was a huge piece in building the case that we are the second best team in the A-10.

IMO, the committee is very conscious about bids per conference and the A-10 deserves at least 1 at-large spot. The A-10 Commissioner is on the committee this year too which helps. (I think she has to recuse herself when voting on A-10 teams but just a presence there helps.)

URI2006_Andy wrote: ↑4 years ago I think the biggest factors are if any of the bubble teams beat Dayton and then how the conference tournament plays out.

My initial thought was Dayton would lose 4 or 5 conference games. But, they already won at St. Louis and at Richmond. So, chances are running out.

theblueram wrote: ↑4 years ago

URI2006_Andy wrote: ↑4 years ago

Rhodyram wrote: ↑4 years ago So 14-5 is where I expected this team to be right now. I obviously didn’t expect them to lose to Brown and had @VCU as a loss. That being said- how much difference in the metrics would it be had we beaten Brown and lost at VCU (results reversed)Obviously it would have been ideal to win both but...

The metrics may be similar. But, in terms of an at-large resume, a road win vs a top 50 team is much more valuable than having one less “bad loss”.

Also, beating VCU was a huge piece in building the case that we are the second best team in the A-10.

IMO, the committee is very conscious about bids per conference and the A-10 deserves at least 1 at-large spot. The A-10 Commissioner is on the committee this year too which helps. (I think she has to recuse herself when voting on A-10 teams but just a presence there helps.)

I still say the A10 is getting 3 at large bids. The conference metrics are pretty good.

TruePoint wrote: ↑4 years ago Updating the ESPN BPI-powered projections, right now they have URI as a 9 seed and finishing second in the conference. This is still projecting 4 A10 bids, but Richmond and VCU are hanging by a thread as 12 seeds.

Blue Man wrote: ↑4 years ago

TruePoint wrote: ↑4 years ago Updating the ESPN BPI-powered projections, right now they have URI as a 9 seed and finishing second in the conference. This is still projecting 4 A10 bids, but Richmond and VCU are hanging by a thread as 12 seeds.

As much as I'd love to see the A10 be a 4 bid, it's starting to look like 2-3 is where we'll wind up.

Unfortunately for us, in a conference with very dwindling prospects for Q1 wins, we're becoming one of the few. The basement, after what we thought was a strong OOC, is still the damn basement and they all continue to plummet.

VCU, Richmond, and us are going to be penalized playing them. Even worse, we'll be throttled if we lose to them.

VCU and Richmond are battling us for what could be only 1 spot after Dayton. We can't let VCU get a Q1 against us on Friday. We can't fall off the mountain and drop a lame one to GMU this week either.

The #2 seed and a Dayton split are CRITICAL. Have to sweep VCU.

The only path I can see to a very good feeling heading to Brooklyn is at MINIMUM 8-3 the rest of the way, with losses @ Dayton, @Davidson, and @UMass. Preferably 9-2 with losses only @ Dayton and @ Davidson.

Like others have said - Virginia and Xavier "haven't beat anybody" - well neither have we. And we have the bad loss like everyone else. Potentially a Q4 loss. We need Bama to become a Q1. We need PC to get back to a Q2. And we need to beat Dayton once, and VCU again - while hoping VCU wins out the rest of their games.

In that scenario - even dropping another Q3 to UMass and Q2 @ Davidson - 4-4 Q1, 5-2 Q2, 6-2 Q3, 8-0 Q4 would get it done. Plus that scenario probably gets VCU in as well making the A10 a 3 bid.

No matter what - GMU = MUST. WIN.

Blue Man wrote: ↑4 years ago

TruePoint wrote: ↑4 years ago Updating the ESPN BPI-powered projections, right now they have URI as a 9 seed and finishing second in the conference. This is still projecting 4 A10 bids, but Richmond and VCU are hanging by a thread as 12 seeds.

As much as I'd love to see the A10 be a 4 bid, it's starting to look like 2-3 is where we'll wind up.

Unfortunately for us, in a conference with very dwindling prospects for Q1 wins, we're becoming one of the few. The basement, after what we thought was a strong OOC, is still the damn basement and they all continue to plummet.

VCU, Richmond, and us are going to be penalized playing them. Even worse, we'll be throttled if we lose to them.

VCU and Richmond are battling us for what could be only 1 spot after Dayton. We can't let VCU get a Q1 against us on Friday. We can't fall off the mountain and drop a lame one to GMU this week either.

The #2 seed and a Dayton split are CRITICAL. Have to sweep VCU.

The only path I can see to a very good feeling heading to Brooklyn is at MINIMUM 8-3 the rest of the way, with losses @ Dayton, @Davidson, and @UMass. Preferably 9-2 with losses only @ Dayton and @ Davidson.

Like others have said - Virginia and Xavier "haven't beat anybody" - well neither have we. And we have the bad loss like everyone else. Potentially a Q4 loss. We need Bama to become a Q1. We need PC to get back to a Q2. And we need to beat Dayton once, and VCU again - while hoping VCU wins out the rest of their games.

In that scenario - even dropping another Q3 to UMass and Q2 @ Davidson - 4-4 Q1, 5-2 Q2, 6-2 Q3, 8-0 Q4 would get it done. Plus that scenario probably gets VCU in as well making the A10 a 3 bid.

No matter what - GMU = MUST. WIN.

Blue Man wrote: ↑4 years ago

TruePoint wrote: ↑4 years ago Updating the ESPN BPI-powered projections, right now they have URI as a 9 seed and finishing second in the conference. This is still projecting 4 A10 bids, but Richmond and VCU are hanging by a thread as 12 seeds.

As much as I'd love to see the A10 be a 4 bid, it's starting to look like 2-3 is where we'll wind up.

Unfortunately for us, in a conference with very dwindling prospects for Q1 wins, we're becoming one of the few. The basement, after what we thought was a strong OOC, is still the damn basement and they all continue to plummet.

VCU, Richmond, and us are going to be penalized playing them. Even worse, we'll be throttled if we lose to them.

VCU and Richmond are battling us for what could be only 1 spot after Dayton. We can't let VCU get a Q1 against us on Friday. We can't fall off the mountain and drop a lame one to GMU this week either.

The #2 seed and a Dayton split are CRITICAL. Have to sweep VCU.

The only path I can see to a very good feeling heading to Brooklyn is at MINIMUM 8-3 the rest of the way, with losses @ Dayton, @Davidson, and @UMass. Preferably 9-2 with losses only @ Dayton and @ Davidson.

Like others have said - Virginia and Xavier "haven't beat anybody" - well neither have we. And we have the bad loss like everyone else. Potentially a Q4 loss. We need Bama to become a Q1. We need PC to get back to a Q2. And we need to beat Dayton once, and VCU again - while hoping VCU wins out the rest of their games.

In that scenario - even dropping another Q3 to UMass and Q2 @ Davidson - 4-4 Q1, 5-2 Q2, 6-2 Q3, 8-0 Q4 would get it done. Plus that scenario probably gets VCU in as well making the A10 a 3 bid.

No matter what - GMU = MUST. WIN.
At Umass. This team cant lose that game. I think losing both games to Dayton is more realistic

RamStock wrote: ↑4 years ago

Blue Man wrote: ↑4 years ago

TruePoint wrote: ↑4 years ago Updating the ESPN BPI-powered projections, right now they have URI as a 9 seed and finishing second in the conference. This is still projecting 4 A10 bids, but Richmond and VCU are hanging by a thread as 12 seeds.

As much as I'd love to see the A10 be a 4 bid, it's starting to look like 2-3 is where we'll wind up.

Unfortunately for us, in a conference with very dwindling prospects for Q1 wins, we're becoming one of the few. The basement, after what we thought was a strong OOC, is still the damn basement and they all continue to plummet.

VCU, Richmond, and us are going to be penalized playing them. Even worse, we'll be throttled if we lose to them.

VCU and Richmond are battling us for what could be only 1 spot after Dayton. We can't let VCU get a Q1 against us on Friday. We can't fall off the mountain and drop a lame one to GMU this week either.

The #2 seed and a Dayton split are CRITICAL. Have to sweep VCU.

The only path I can see to a very good feeling heading to Brooklyn is at MINIMUM 8-3 the rest of the way, with losses @ Dayton, @Davidson, and @UMass. Preferably 9-2 with losses only @ Dayton and @ Davidson.

Like others have said - Virginia and Xavier "haven't beat anybody" - well neither have we. And we have the bad loss like everyone else. Potentially a Q4 loss. We need Bama to become a Q1. We need PC to get back to a Q2. And we need to beat Dayton once, and VCU again - while hoping VCU wins out the rest of their games.

In that scenario - even dropping another Q3 to UMass and Q2 @ Davidson - 4-4 Q1, 5-2 Q2, 6-2 Q3, 8-0 Q4 would get it done. Plus that scenario probably gets VCU in as well making the A10 a 3 bid.

No matter what - GMU = MUST. WIN.

If they lose to Umass they aren't making the tourney. I think losing three games the rest of the way will be very tricky prior to the A-10. I think the best route would be two loses with one at Dayton and maybe Davidson or win all the other games besides Dayton. This won't be easy, but I don't think loses to both Davidson and UMASS will go far in the committees eyes.

Roz wrote: ↑4 years ago

Blue Man wrote: ↑4 years ago

TruePoint wrote: ↑4 years ago Updating the ESPN BPI-powered projections, right now they have URI as a 9 seed and finishing second in the conference. This is still projecting 4 A10 bids, but Richmond and VCU are hanging by a thread as 12 seeds.

As much as I'd love to see the A10 be a 4 bid, it's starting to look like 2-3 is where we'll wind up.

Unfortunately for us, in a conference with very dwindling prospects for Q1 wins, we're becoming one of the few. The basement, after what we thought was a strong OOC, is still the damn basement and they all continue to plummet.

VCU, Richmond, and us are going to be penalized playing them. Even worse, we'll be throttled if we lose to them.

VCU and Richmond are battling us for what could be only 1 spot after Dayton. We can't let VCU get a Q1 against us on Friday. We can't fall off the mountain and drop a lame one to GMU this week either.

The #2 seed and a Dayton split are CRITICAL. Have to sweep VCU.

The only path I can see to a very good feeling heading to Brooklyn is at MINIMUM 8-3 the rest of the way, with losses @ Dayton, @Davidson, and @UMass. Preferably 9-2 with losses only @ Dayton and @ Davidson.

Like others have said - Virginia and Xavier "haven't beat anybody" - well neither have we. And we have the bad loss like everyone else. Potentially a Q4 loss. We need Bama to become a Q1. We need PC to get back to a Q2. And we need to beat Dayton once, and VCU again - while hoping VCU wins out the rest of their games.

In that scenario - even dropping another Q3 to UMass and Q2 @ Davidson - 4-4 Q1, 5-2 Q2, 6-2 Q3, 8-0 Q4 would get it done. Plus that scenario probably gets VCU in as well making the A10 a 3 bid.

No matter what - GMU = MUST. WIN.

At Umass. This team cant lose that game. I think losing both games to Dayton is more realistic

DC_Rams wrote: ↑4 years ago You guys forget, Dayton will at some point slip up and lose to a team not named URI at some point. I doubt they run the gauntlet.