Men's Basketball 2023-24 Prediction Contest Chatter

[section(105)]

The record will show Ramster was in.

[SGreenwell]

Much like Obie used to do, here is a summary, and some highlights and "highlights," of the guesses for this year's contest...

Pure Averages and Figures. We had 71 entries this year, with an average prediction of 17.27 wins, 13.73 losses, 9.1 A-10 wins and 8.90 losses. The crowd expects PPG of 69.81, with the leading scorer - whoever that might be - pouring in 15.49 per game. Jaden House was the overwhelming favorite for that honor. Average attendance is guessed at 4,787.90.

I did split the guesses into pre- and post-exhibition for fun, to see if there was a major difference. The answer? Not so much! Pre-exhibition, the guesses averaged out to 17.05 wins and 13.95 losses. Post-exhibition, there was a slight budge upward to 17.27 and 13.73.

The Extremes. Rhodylaw is the high guesser in this year's contest, with 23. After that, three people tie with 21 overall wins - UCH21377, The Dude and Blue Man. Rhodylaw is also the high man when it comes to conference wins (13), with Blue Man and UCH21377 guessing 12.

On the other end of the spectrum, ramster pulls the last minute heel move! His guess of 10 overall wins is one less than mine, and three less than RI_Bred, ramfan85 and Not Mike Powell. Ramster, Not Mike Powell and myself each had a low guess of 5 conference wins.

Means, Medians and Modes. The average win total guess was 17.27 wins. Not surprisingly, there were 11 people who guessed 17 wins, and 13 that guessed 18 wins - the latter was the highest concentration of guesses for a win total. A dozen people guessed 19 wins, and eight had 20 wins. The median guess belongs to Spar (and others at 18 wins). Everyone who guessed 18 wins also guessed either 8, 9 or 10 conference wins. By far the most guessed path for URI this year is a somewhat good or gaudy OOC record (something like 8-5 to 10-3), followed by a near .500 performance in the conference slate.

POINTS! House is the overwhelming favorite to lead the team in PPG, earning the nod from 55(!) entries, roughly 77 percent of the entries. Montgomery "earned" second place with seven nods (9.8 percent). Fuchs and Kortright tallied four ballots each (5.63 percent), while ramster was the lone vote for Foumena (1.4 percent).

Billyboy was the lone person to project more than 20 PPG for House (20.36), which was 2 more than Rhodysurf. URIFIJI had the low guess, with 12.69 for Kortright. Rhodyrudder had the low guess for House, at 13.25.

When it comes to team PPG, NYGFan_Section208, URIFIJI and STC think we're returning to Baron Ball, with guesses of 64.62, 64.69 and 64.7 respectively. Conversely, luke had a guess of 76.2 PPG, a full point greater than KevanBoyles (74.8) and rhodyrudder (74.44).

Are You Not Entertained?!? Ram96 edged out Rhody Guy for the highest attendance guess, 5425 vs. 5391. Billyboy78 (5309) and rhodylaw (5275) were just behind them. The median guess was Jdrums#3, with 4858, flanked by Rhody Sody (4855) and URIFIJI (4869). The Gloomy Guses of attendance are ramster (3900), Spookydog (3939) and NarraRamFan (3948).

For a Google sheet with all of this year's entries laid out, click here.

I don't understand why you call this a last minute heel move. Pretty mean spirited.

Anybody in the contest knows the deadlines. Always have. I went for the extreme. Last season I went the other way picking the most wins and entered it last minute. Even admitted that was my strategy when questioned how stupid I could be picking so many wins. This year I went extreme low end. Doesn't even mean I think that's what will for sure happen. So please just take my out of the contest.

Please remove me from the contest in all of the categories. I'm out. I wasn't planning on taking the money anyway. Let it go to others.

You went from guessing the most wins last year, to the most losses this year - that's pretty much the definition of a heel move. It's also the prediction contest, not the game theory contest, so I think there is the assumption from all participants that people are making entries about what they think will actually happen. I apologize if my tone came off as too flippant, but from the subhead naming, I think its pretty clear that the post was in jest.

Finally, if you win, you can opt to not claim the prize - and it'll go to whoever came in second - or designate someone else to receive it. There isn't much point to "removing" the guess, since its four days later and was factored into all of the summary topics. Its not like people are going to forget if we prune it out.

[hrstrat57]

It’s disappointing to see some sour grapes here after SGreenwell put in such hard work.

Regarding attendance so far the students are impressing me. They’re having a great time popping balloons during opponent foul shots. If team continues on the upward path they might continue to show up and have fun.

Thanks Steve for keeping the contest going. I was in a bad economic spot personally when I won the contest previously and the $200 was a big help.

Everyone’s situation is different and changes over time.
It’s a fun contest let’s play nice!

Go Rhody

[ramster]

Much like Obie used to do, here is a summary, and some highlights and "highlights," of the guesses for this year's contest...

Pure Averages and Figures. We had 71 entries this year, with an average prediction of 17.27 wins, 13.73 losses, 9.1 A-10 wins and 8.90 losses. The crowd expects PPG of 69.81, with the leading scorer - whoever that might be - pouring in 15.49 per game. Jaden House was the overwhelming favorite for that honor. Average attendance is guessed at 4,787.90.

I did split the guesses into pre- and post-exhibition for fun, to see if there was a major difference. The answer? Not so much! Pre-exhibition, the guesses averaged out to 17.05 wins and 13.95 losses. Post-exhibition, there was a slight budge upward to 17.27 and 13.73.

The Extremes. Rhodylaw is the high guesser in this year's contest, with 23. After that, three people tie with 21 overall wins - UCH21377, The Dude and Blue Man. Rhodylaw is also the high man when it comes to conference wins (13), with Blue Man and UCH21377 guessing 12.

On the other end of the spectrum, ramster pulls the last minute heel move! His guess of 10 overall wins is one less than mine, and three less than RI_Bred, ramfan85 and Not Mike Powell. Ramster, Not Mike Powell and myself each had a low guess of 5 conference wins.

Means, Medians and Modes. The average win total guess was 17.27 wins. Not surprisingly, there were 11 people who guessed 17 wins, and 13 that guessed 18 wins - the latter was the highest concentration of guesses for a win total. A dozen people guessed 19 wins, and eight had 20 wins. The median guess belongs to Spar (and others at 18 wins). Everyone who guessed 18 wins also guessed either 8, 9 or 10 conference wins. By far the most guessed path for URI this year is a somewhat good or gaudy OOC record (something like 8-5 to 10-3), followed by a near .500 performance in the conference slate.

POINTS! House is the overwhelming favorite to lead the team in PPG, earning the nod from 55(!) entries, roughly 77 percent of the entries. Montgomery "earned" second place with seven nods (9.8 percent). Fuchs and Kortright tallied four ballots each (5.63 percent), while ramster was the lone vote for Foumena (1.4 percent).

Billyboy was the lone person to project more than 20 PPG for House (20.36), which was 2 more than Rhodysurf. URIFIJI had the low guess, with 12.69 for Kortright. Rhodyrudder had the low guess for House, at 13.25.

When it comes to team PPG, NYGFan_Section208, URIFIJI and STC think we're returning to Baron Ball, with guesses of 64.62, 64.69 and 64.7 respectively. Conversely, luke had a guess of 76.2 PPG, a full point greater than KevanBoyles (74.8) and rhodyrudder (74.44).

Are You Not Entertained?!? Ram96 edged out Rhody Guy for the highest attendance guess, 5425 vs. 5391. Billyboy78 (5309) and rhodylaw (5275) were just behind them. The median guess was Jdrums#3, with 4858, flanked by Rhody Sody (4855) and URIFIJI (4869). The Gloomy Guses of attendance are ramster (3900), Spookydog (3939) and NarraRamFan (3948).

For a Google sheet with all of this year's entries laid out, click here.

I don't understand why you call this a last minute heel move. Pretty mean spirited.

Anybody in the contest knows the deadlines. Always have. I went for the extreme. Last season I went the other way picking the most wins and entered it last minute. Even admitted that was my strategy when questioned how stupid I could be picking so many wins. This year I went extreme low end. Doesn't even mean I think that's what will for sure happen. So please just take my out of the contest.

Please remove me from the contest in all of the categories. I'm out. I wasn't planning on taking the money anyway. Let it go to others.

You went from guessing the most wins last year, to the most losses this year - that's pretty much the definition of a heel move. It's also the prediction contest, not the game theory contest, so I think there is the assumption from all participants that people are making entries about what they think will actually happen. I apologize if my tone came off as too flippant, but from the subhead naming, I think its pretty clear that the post was in jest.

Finally, if you win, you can opt to not claim the prize - and it'll go to whoever came in second - or designate someone else to receive it. There isn't much point to "removing" the guess, since its four days later and was factored into all of the summary topics. Its not like people are going to forget if we prune it out.

Apology accepted. Definitely came across as flippant. It just so happened you had the lowest total. Sorry I picked below you and made you mad.

To say I just "guessed" and you call it a heel move is total bullshit. Sure you had the lowest number. You don't think others look at the data of other posters to try to position where they should "guess"?

Here is the data I entered, sorted, analyzed, tried to avoid picking the same attendance, team ppg, high scorer ppg, etc so as to avoid duplication and stand the best chance to win.

Isn't the entire contest guessing? Making as educated guess as possible using data and knowledge and combined with what others are guessing?

I even looked at historical stats for the possible starters being Kortright, House, Brown, Foumena, Montgomery, Fuchs in FT%, 3FG%, FG%, Assist/TO Ratio, steals, etc in guessing WL OOC, WL Total, WL Conference, Attendance, etc. Nothing new for me. If I have time I do this for a given year.

name wins losses wins losses losses OOC-W OOC_L team ppg leader ppg attend
1 rhodylaw 23 8 13 5 10 3 71.63 montgomery 14.75 5275
2 the dude 21 10 10 8 11 2 72.30 house 17.00 4895
3 blue man 21 10 12 6 9 4 69.41 house 15.90 5041
4 kevanboyles 20 11 10 8 10 3 74.80 house 15.10 5101
5 rhody_jam 20 11 10 8 10 3 74.11 house 16.10 5233
6 rhody4ever 20 11 10 8 10 3 73.58 house 17.25 4111
7 sevegny7 20 11 11 7 9 4 72.51 house 14.95 4950
8 jcru 20 11 9 9 11 2 72.38 house 18.20 4990
9 billyboy78 20 11 10 8 10 3 70.70 house 20.36 5309
10 Rhody Sody 20 11 11 7 9 4 68.59 house 14.41 4855
11 truepoint 20 11 11 7 9 4 68.55 house 14.8 5101
12 luke 19 10 10 8 9 4 76.20 house 17.44 5056
13 rhodyguy 19 12 10 8 9 4 73.82 house 17.23 5391
14 3mm's 19 12 11 7 8 5 73.33 fuchs 13.88 4155
15 79rhodyfan 19 12 10 8 9 4 72.72 house 16.95 4888
16 reef 19 12 11 7 8 5 71.82 house 15.84 5068
17 mmp136 19 12 10 8 9 4 71.34 house 16.27 4789
18 kingstonlane 19 12 11 7 8 5 71.25 house 16.50 4725
19 ram67 19 12 10 8 9 4 71.23 house 17.15 5192
20 cram4finals 19 12 11 7 8 5 69.23 fuchs 13.47 4996
21 rhodysurf 19 12 11 7 8 5 66.83 house 18.21 4568
22 NYGFan_section208 19 12 11 7 8 5 64.62 Montgomery 13.55 4701
23 rhodyrudder 18 13 9 9 9 4 74.44 house 13.25 4999
24 hrstrat57 18 13 9 9 9 4 74.10 house 16.70 5101
25 theblueram 18 13 10 8 8 5 73.20 fuchs 14.80 5200
26 rhodymob05 18 13 8 10 10 3 72.00 house 14.60 4350
27 bigappleram 18 13 10 8 8 5 71.50 house 16.87 4992
28 rifan 18 13 10 8 8 5 70.27 house 15.27 4821
29 alldayrhodyrams02 18 13 10 8 8 5 68.82 montgomery 14.75 5013
30 spar 18 13 10 8 8 5 68.76 house 14.80 4895
31 ram96 18 13 9 9 9 4 68.72 house 15.50 5425
32 jdrums#3 18 13 9 9 9 4 68.51 house 15.01 4858
33 wgracie99 18 13 9 9 9 4 67.90 house 14.70 4912
34 kal-65 18 13 9 9 9 4 66.60 montgomery 14.40 4556
35 shinze88 18 13 10 8 8 5 65.22 house 16.04 4377
36 bpaz11 17 14 8 10 9 4 72.22 montgomery 15.11 4275
37 rhody15 17 14 9 9 8 5 70.98 house 16.15 5099
38 adam914 17 14 9 9 8 5 70.74 house 15.22 5068
39 rhodyrams12 17 14 9 9 8 5 70.62 house 15.12 4311
40 rhodyram02 17 14 10 8 7 6 69.88 fuchs 14.31 4931
41 steviep123 17 14 10 8 7 6 69.73 kortright 14.77 5165
42 bwerner10 17 14 9 9 8 5 68.00 house 15.60 5120
43 NHRamFan 17 14 9 9 8 5 67.22 house 15.15 4231
44 stc 17 14 9 9 8 5 64.70 house 14.23 4757
45 deandome88 16 15 8 10 8 5 71.00 montgomery 16.80 4017
46 section 105 16 15 9 9 7 6 70.00 house 16.70 4250
47 taylorswift 16 14 9 9 7 6 69.75 house 16.50 4250
48 lovethoserams 16 15 9 9 7 6 69.42 kortright 14.24 4962
49 rjv 16 16 7 11 9 4 69.33 house 14.50 5150
50 ram1980 16 15 8 10 8 5 68.90 house 15.80 4777
51 wpbrown8267 16 15 9 9 7 6 68.80 house 15.20 4688
52 jersey77 16 15 8 10 8 5 68.31 house 14.41 5170
53 steyeystuds06 16 15 9 9 7 6 67.43 house 15.40 4830
54 rhodyfannotalum 15 16 8 10 7 6 71.11 house 15.07 4445
55 Mattrams 15 16 7 11 8 5 69.26 house 15.83 4598
56 ramstock 15 16 8 10 7 6 66.80 house 15.20 4450
57 narraramfan 15 16 8 10 7 6 66.78 montgomery 14.26 3948
58 rhody74 14 17 8 10 6 7 71.69 house 15.11 4976
59 kingstonklank 14 17 7 11 7 6 68.86 house 17.21 4848
60 rkelly150 14 17 7 11 7 6 68.50 house 14.40 4650
61 spookydog 14 17 6 12 8 5 66.89 house 13.83 3939
62 rhodyram 14 17 7 11 7 6 65.49 kortright 14.03 4876
63 URIFIJI 14 17 8 10 6 7 64.69 Kortright 12.69 4869
64 RE_Bred 13 18 6 12 7 6 67.75 house 14.85 4621
65 notmikepowell 13 18 5 13 8 5 66.72 house 13.65 4998
66 ramfan85 13 18 7 11 6 7 65.10 house 14.25 4785
67 sgreenwell 11 20 5 13 6 7 66.5 house 16.4 4800


central ct state Home w
Fairfield Home w
Wagner Home w
Northwestern Neutral l
Mississippi State/Washington State Neutral l
J&W Home w
Yale Home l
PC Away l
Brown Home l
AT College of Charlesston Away l
Delaware Neutral l
UNH Home l
Northeastern Home w 5 8
St Joe Home l
AT Davidson Away l
UMASS Home l
At St Bona Away l
AT Dayton Away l
Fordham Home l
AT George Mason Away w
LaSalle Home l
Duquesne Home l
AT GW Away l
AT UMASS Away l
Loyola Home l
Richmond Home w
AT LaSalle Away l
AT VCU Away l
St Louis Home l
George Mason Home w
AT Fordham Away l 4 14
9 22


per 40 min FG 3FG FT Reb Ass TO A/TO Steals ppg
House 2021 46.3% 26.3% 53.1% 4.9 2.5 4.5 0.6 1.9 16.4
2022 44.2% 33.6% 68.6% 5.7 1.9 2.9 0.7 0.9 17.0
2023 43.2% 27.9% 64.7% 5.4 3.1 4.0 0.8 1.0 24.0

Kortright FG 3FG FT Reb Ass TO A/TO Steals ppg
2021 35.6% 35.0% 66.2% 6.8 4.7 4.5 1.0 1.2 17.9
2022 30.8% 26.8% 50.0% 5.8 3.9 2.9 1.3 1.0 9.9
2023 38.9% 30.2% 54.8% 6.2 5.8 4.0 1.5 2.0 15.5

Montgomery FG 3FG FT Reb Ass TO A/TO Steals ppg
2022 38.7% 37.1% 58.3% 7.2 0.7 2.3 0.3 0.5 13.6
2023 43.4% 42.2% 64.4% 5.9 1.9 2.4 0.8 1.6 14.2



1 Quinnipiac 5501
2 texas state 4601
3 stony brook 4484
4 pc 7662
5 brown 4476
6 army 5238
7 fordham 3829
8 st bona 3683
9 gmu 4722
10 dayton 5743
11 lasalle 6530
12 vcu 4229
13 umass 5785
14 gw 4579
15 davidson 5543
ave 5107

1 Quinnipiac 5501
2 texas state 4601
3 stony brook 4484
4 pc 4400
5 brown 4476
6 army 5238
7 fordham 3829
8 st bona 3683
9 gmu 4722
10 dayton 5743
11 lasalle 6530
12 vcu 4229
13 umass 5785
14 gw 4579
15 davidson 5543
ave 4890

[Rhody15]

Much like Obie used to do, here is a summary, and some highlights and "highlights," of the guesses for this year's contest...

Pure Averages and Figures. We had 71 entries this year, with an average prediction of 17.27 wins, 13.73 losses, 9.1 A-10 wins and 8.90 losses. The crowd expects PPG of 69.81, with the leading scorer - whoever that might be - pouring in 15.49 per game. Jaden House was the overwhelming favorite for that honor. Average attendance is guessed at 4,787.90.

I did split the guesses into pre- and post-exhibition for fun, to see if there was a major difference. The answer? Not so much! Pre-exhibition, the guesses averaged out to 17.05 wins and 13.95 losses. Post-exhibition, there was a slight budge upward to 17.27 and 13.73.

The Extremes. Rhodylaw is the high guesser in this year's contest, with 23. After that, three people tie with 21 overall wins - UCH21377, The Dude and Blue Man. Rhodylaw is also the high man when it comes to conference wins (13), with Blue Man and UCH21377 guessing 12.

On the other end of the spectrum, ramster pulls the last minute heel move! His guess of 10 overall wins is one less than mine, and three less than RI_Bred, ramfan85 and Not Mike Powell. Ramster, Not Mike Powell and myself each had a low guess of 5 conference wins.

Means, Medians and Modes. The average win total guess was 17.27 wins. Not surprisingly, there were 11 people who guessed 17 wins, and 13 that guessed 18 wins - the latter was the highest concentration of guesses for a win total. A dozen people guessed 19 wins, and eight had 20 wins. The median guess belongs to Spar (and others at 18 wins). Everyone who guessed 18 wins also guessed either 8, 9 or 10 conference wins. By far the most guessed path for URI this year is a somewhat good or gaudy OOC record (something like 8-5 to 10-3), followed by a near .500 performance in the conference slate.

POINTS! House is the overwhelming favorite to lead the team in PPG, earning the nod from 55(!) entries, roughly 77 percent of the entries. Montgomery "earned" second place with seven nods (9.8 percent). Fuchs and Kortright tallied four ballots each (5.63 percent), while ramster was the lone vote for Foumena (1.4 percent).

Billyboy was the lone person to project more than 20 PPG for House (20.36), which was 2 more than Rhodysurf. URIFIJI had the low guess, with 12.69 for Kortright. Rhodyrudder had the low guess for House, at 13.25.

When it comes to team PPG, NYGFan_Section208, URIFIJI and STC think we're returning to Baron Ball, with guesses of 64.62, 64.69 and 64.7 respectively. Conversely, luke had a guess of 76.2 PPG, a full point greater than KevanBoyles (74.8) and rhodyrudder (74.44).

Are You Not Entertained?!? Ram96 edged out Rhody Guy for the highest attendance guess, 5425 vs. 5391. Billyboy78 (5309) and rhodylaw (5275) were just behind them. The median guess was Jdrums#3, with 4858, flanked by Rhody Sody (4855) and URIFIJI (4869). The Gloomy Guses of attendance are ramster (3900), Spookydog (3939) and NarraRamFan (3948).

For a Google sheet with all of this year's entries laid out, click here.

I don't understand why you call this a last minute heel move. Pretty mean spirited.

Anybody in the contest knows the deadlines. Always have. I went for the extreme. Last season I went the other way picking the most wins and entered it last minute. Even admitted that was my strategy when questioned how stupid I could be picking so many wins. This year I went extreme low end. Doesn't even mean I think that's what will for sure happen. So please just take my out of the contest.

Please remove me from the contest in all of the categories. I'm out. I wasn't planning on taking the money anyway. Let it go to others.

Hahahaha my god dude you are charmin soft.

[ramster]

Much like Obie used to do, here is a summary, and some highlights and "highlights," of the guesses for this year's contest...

Pure Averages and Figures. We had 71 entries this year, with an average prediction of 17.27 wins, 13.73 losses, 9.1 A-10 wins and 8.90 losses. The crowd expects PPG of 69.81, with the leading scorer - whoever that might be - pouring in 15.49 per game. Jaden House was the overwhelming favorite for that honor. Average attendance is guessed at 4,787.90.

I did split the guesses into pre- and post-exhibition for fun, to see if there was a major difference. The answer? Not so much! Pre-exhibition, the guesses averaged out to 17.05 wins and 13.95 losses. Post-exhibition, there was a slight budge upward to 17.27 and 13.73.

The Extremes. Rhodylaw is the high guesser in this year's contest, with 23. After that, three people tie with 21 overall wins - UCH21377, The Dude and Blue Man. Rhodylaw is also the high man when it comes to conference wins (13), with Blue Man and UCH21377 guessing 12.

On the other end of the spectrum, ramster pulls the last minute heel move! His guess of 10 overall wins is one less than mine, and three less than RI_Bred, ramfan85 and Not Mike Powell. Ramster, Not Mike Powell and myself each had a low guess of 5 conference wins.

Means, Medians and Modes. The average win total guess was 17.27 wins. Not surprisingly, there were 11 people who guessed 17 wins, and 13 that guessed 18 wins - the latter was the highest concentration of guesses for a win total. A dozen people guessed 19 wins, and eight had 20 wins. The median guess belongs to Spar (and others at 18 wins). Everyone who guessed 18 wins also guessed either 8, 9 or 10 conference wins. By far the most guessed path for URI this year is a somewhat good or gaudy OOC record (something like 8-5 to 10-3), followed by a near .500 performance in the conference slate.

POINTS! House is the overwhelming favorite to lead the team in PPG, earning the nod from 55(!) entries, roughly 77 percent of the entries. Montgomery "earned" second place with seven nods (9.8 percent). Fuchs and Kortright tallied four ballots each (5.63 percent), while ramster was the lone vote for Foumena (1.4 percent).

Billyboy was the lone person to project more than 20 PPG for House (20.36), which was 2 more than Rhodysurf. URIFIJI had the low guess, with 12.69 for Kortright. Rhodyrudder had the low guess for House, at 13.25.

When it comes to team PPG, NYGFan_Section208, URIFIJI and STC think we're returning to Baron Ball, with guesses of 64.62, 64.69 and 64.7 respectively. Conversely, luke had a guess of 76.2 PPG, a full point greater than KevanBoyles (74.8) and rhodyrudder (74.44).

Are You Not Entertained?!? Ram96 edged out Rhody Guy for the highest attendance guess, 5425 vs. 5391. Billyboy78 (5309) and rhodylaw (5275) were just behind them. The median guess was Jdrums#3, with 4858, flanked by Rhody Sody (4855) and URIFIJI (4869). The Gloomy Guses of attendance are ramster (3900), Spookydog (3939) and NarraRamFan (3948).

For a Google sheet with all of this year's entries laid out, click here.

I don't understand why you call this a last minute heel move. Pretty mean spirited.

Anybody in the contest knows the deadlines. Always have. I went for the extreme. Last season I went the other way picking the most wins and entered it last minute. Even admitted that was my strategy when questioned how stupid I could be picking so many wins. This year I went extreme low end. Doesn't even mean I think that's what will for sure happen. So please just take my out of the contest.

Please remove me from the contest in all of the categories. I'm out. I wasn't planning on taking the money anyway. Let it go to others.

Hahahaha my god dude you are charmin soft.

THANKS SHITHEAD

[RAM67]

You, especially, know you can't use the word shit on here. There are young people who read this forum.

[reef]

Billy boy looking good with house averaging over 20 !

[NYGFan_Section208]

Much like Obie used to do, here is a summary, and some highlights and "highlights," of the guesses for this year's contest...

Pure Averages and Figures. We had 71 entries this year, with an average prediction of 17.27 wins, 13.73 losses, 9.1 A-10 wins and 8.90 losses. The crowd expects PPG of 69.81, with the leading scorer - whoever that might be - pouring in 15.49 per game. Jaden House was the overwhelming favorite for that honor. Average attendance is guessed at 4,787.90.

I did split the guesses into pre- and post-exhibition for fun, to see if there was a major difference. The answer? Not so much! Pre-exhibition, the guesses averaged out to 17.05 wins and 13.95 losses. Post-exhibition, there was a slight budge upward to 17.27 and 13.73.

The Extremes. Rhodylaw is the high guesser in this year's contest, with 23. After that, three people tie with 21 overall wins - UCH21377, The Dude and Blue Man. Rhodylaw is also the high man when it comes to conference wins (13), with Blue Man and UCH21377 guessing 12.

On the other end of the spectrum, ramster pulls the last minute heel move! His guess of 10 overall wins is one less than mine, and three less than RI_Bred, ramfan85 and Not Mike Powell. Ramster, Not Mike Powell and myself each had a low guess of 5 conference wins.

Means, Medians and Modes. The average win total guess was 17.27 wins. Not surprisingly, there were 11 people who guessed 17 wins, and 13 that guessed 18 wins - the latter was the highest concentration of guesses for a win total. A dozen people guessed 19 wins, and eight had 20 wins. The median guess belongs to Spar (and others at 18 wins). Everyone who guessed 18 wins also guessed either 8, 9 or 10 conference wins. By far the most guessed path for URI this year is a somewhat good or gaudy OOC record (something like 8-5 to 10-3), followed by a near .500 performance in the conference slate.

POINTS! House is the overwhelming favorite to lead the team in PPG, earning the nod from 55(!) entries, roughly 77 percent of the entries. Montgomery "earned" second place with seven nods (9.8 percent). Fuchs and Kortright tallied four ballots each (5.63 percent), while ramster was the lone vote for Foumena (1.4 percent).

Billyboy was the lone person to project more than 20 PPG for House (20.36), which was 2 more than Rhodysurf. URIFIJI had the low guess, with 12.69 for Kortright. Rhodyrudder had the low guess for House, at 13.25.

When it comes to team PPG, NYGFan_Section208, URIFIJI and STC think we're returning to Baron Ball, with guesses of 64.62, 64.69 and 64.7 respectively. Conversely, luke had a guess of 76.2 PPG, a full point greater than KevanBoyles (74.8) and rhodyrudder (74.44).

Are You Not Entertained?!? Ram96 edged out Rhody Guy for the highest attendance guess, 5425 vs. 5391. Billyboy78 (5309) and rhodylaw (5275) were just behind them. The median guess was Jdrums#3, with 4858, flanked by Rhody Sody (4855) and URIFIJI (4869). The Gloomy Guses of attendance are ramster (3900), Spookydog (3939) and NarraRamFan (3948).

For a Google sheet with all of this year's entries laid out, click here.

I don't understand why you call this a last minute heel move. Pretty mean spirited.

Anybody in the contest knows the deadlines. Always have. I went for the extreme. Last season I went the other way picking the most wins and entered it last minute. Even admitted that was my strategy when questioned how stupid I could be picking so many wins. This year I went extreme low end. Doesn't even mean I think that's what will for sure happen. So please just take my out of the contest.

Please remove me from the contest in all of the categories. I'm out. I wasn't planning on taking the money anyway. Let it go to others.

I got ya, ramster. Just stay in the contest and if you win, I'll take the cash. No worries.

[theblueram]

If I looked at this correctly, if Rhody loses to NE, not one person predicted the OOC correctly. If they win, SGreenwell, RamFan85, URIFIJI and Rhody74 have predicted the OOC correctly. Something to look forward too.

[ramster]

If I looked at this correctly, if Rhody loses to NE, not one person predicted the OOC correctly. If they win, SGreenwell, RamFan85, URIFIJI and Rhody74 have predicted the OOC correctly. Something to look forward too.

This is what I predicted. Only game I’ve missed has been Yale. I predicted a loss to Yale.

I predicted a win vs Northeastern so a loss would offset Yale and we would end up OOC 5-8 as I expected.

central ct state Home w
Fairfield Home w
Wagner Home w
Northwestern Neutral l
Mississippi State/Washington State Neutral l
J&W Home w
Yale Home l - wrong
PC Away l
Brown Home l
AT College of Charleston Away l
Delaware Neutral l
UNH Home l
Northeastern Home w 5 8

[section(105)]

Is there a prize for that?

[ramster]

No

[reef]

If I looked at this correctly, if Rhody loses to NE, not one person predicted the OOC correctly. If they win, SGreenwell, RamFan85, URIFIJI and Rhody74 have predicted the OOC correctly. Something to look forward too.

This is what I predicted. Only game I’ve missed has been Yale. I predicted a loss to Yale.

I predicted a win vs Northeastern so a loss would offset Yale and we would end up OOC 5-8 as I expected.

central ct state Home w
Fairfield Home w
Wagner Home w
Northwestern Neutral l
Mississippi State/Washington State Neutral l
J&W Home w
Yale Home l - wrong
PC Away l
Brown Home l
AT College of Charleston Away l
Delaware Neutral l
UNH Home l
Northeastern Home w 5 8

Really good job so far Ramster !!

[Billyboy78]

Green now leads the team with an average of 15 PPG. Anybody pick him?

[SGreenwell]

Green now leads the team with an average of 15 PPG. Anybody pick him?

Ha, RhodyMob05 initially had him as their pick, but I believe he changed after the exhibition, when it seemed like Green would be ineligible for the year.

[reef]

With the OOC in the rear view mirror I am now going to guess 8-10 conference record which gives us a 14-17 season

[Blue Man]

With the OOC in the rear view mirror I am now going to guess 8-10 conference record which gives us a 14-17 season

I’m sticking with 12-6. This team completely healthy is different. Green gives us a versatility that we didn’t have for the OOC.

I like the changes Archie has made. Cam is finding himself and could look like a freshman of the year type player.

And again, no one in the conference is unbeatable.

[Jersey77]

With the OOC in the rear view mirror I am now going to guess 8-10 conference record which gives us a 14-17 season

I’m sticking with 12-6. This team completely healthy is different. Green gives us a versatility that we didn’t have for the OOC.

I like the changes Archie has made. Cam is finding himself and could look like a freshman of the year type player.

And again, no one in the conference is unbeatable.

12-6 at this point, not sure we are that good Blue Man.
Glad you are so optimistic though; hope you are right.

Right now, I am thinking the same as Reef (8-10) which is what I originally predicted.

[theblueram]

I had them at 10-8. I'm thinking 8-10. Hopefully they can do at least that.

[reef]

Our 1st 5 is a gauntlet if we somehow get 3-2 out of that then we could be looking over .500 in conference but I doubt it hope I’m wrong

[PeterRamTime]

With the OOC in the rear view mirror I am now going to guess 8-10 conference record which gives us a 14-17 season

I’m sticking with 12-6. This team completely healthy is different. Green gives us a versatility that we didn’t have for the OOC.

I like the changes Archie has made. Cam is finding himself and could look like a freshman of the year type player.

And again, no one in the conference is unbeatable.

I'd be surprised if we got to 12-6 if we keep exclusively playing Fuchs and Brown at the 5. Fuchs is fine, but if Bilau and Fou are healthy then Brown should not he ahead of them. No way.

[NYGFan_Section208]

12-6 should be borderline/good for top third

[Rhodymob05]

St Joes will give us an idea.

[rjv]

our first 5 are 3 away and 2 at home.
If we go 3-2 which I hope!!!! We should be talking about winning the A10 regular season champ

[SGreenwell]

Because I was a doofus and forgot to do this before the St. Joe's game, I created a bit more extra work for myself, but! It is time to crown the mid-season winner. As a reminder, the winner is the person that guessed the win-loss record OOC, with the tiebreaker criteria being the same as for the full regular season contest.

Four posters correctly predicted an OOC record of six wins, seven losses - Rhody74, URIFIJI, ramfan85 and, uh, me. The next relevant tiebreaker would be team scoring average, based on PPG. The PPG for the team through 13 games was 72.769. Rhody74 guessed 71.69, the only one of the four to guess in the 70s. Congratulations! Please PM myself or ATP with a way to get you your earnings digitally, ideally. (Paypal, Venmo, whatever else the kids use, etc.)

[theblueram]

I believe I picked 18-13 for a final record. This team would have to go 8-2 the final 10 games. OOOF!!!

[section(105)]

I believe I picked 18-13 for a final record. This team would have to go 8-2 the final 10 games. OOOF!!!

Need some Charmin ?

[section(105)]

For the conference, many of us were in the .500 neighborhood.

[reef]

Spooky dog going to win I think !

[Jersey77]

Unless Archie really losses this team, which I doubt, I am thinking maybe 4 more wins.
Still not great and disappointing but about what I originally figured for conference play.
I just didn't think we would look so bad in some of those losses.

You don't need to have great talent to play good defense, it is more about effort and coaching.
Unless Archie, who was known as a defense-first type of coach, lost all his mojo, I feel this team will figure it out.

I still trust this staff and like the upside of our youth and some of our talent, so I am still hopeful we can make that jump next season.

[adam914]

I just didn't think we would look so bad in some of those losses.

This is exactly what it boils down to for me to Jersey. Not even that mad or surprised about the record, its how we looked in the process and some of the comments along the way about how the team handles adversity. Never expected any of that.

[reef]

I’m
Switching my pick from spooky dog to ramfan85 !

[Jersey77]

Tough 3-game stretch coming up at UMass, Loyola, and Richmond. If we can take 2 of 3 that would be great.

[Jdrums#3]

Tough 3-game stretch coming up at UMass, Loyola, and Richmond. If we can take 2 of 3 that would be great.

That is a tough stretch for the A10 (8th ranked NET conference currently), Jersey. Good pick up.

UMass: I don’t expect a win on the road.

Loyola: We are home so we have a better shot at a win.

Richmond: Also home but a tougher game than Loyola, imho.

2 and 1 in this upcoming 3 game stretch would be a home run for this Rhody team. I just don’t know if we can pull it off because of our inconsistency. I have no idea what to expect from this team game to game or even half to half within games.

[reef]

I’m switching my pick from ramsfan85 to Ramstock !

[Rhody Sody]

Tough 3-game stretch coming up at UMass, Loyola, and Richmond. If we can take 2 of 3 that would be great.

That is a tough stretch for the A10 (8th ranked NET conference currently), Jersey. Good pick up.

UMass: I don’t expect a win on the road.

Loyola: We are home so we have a better shot at a win.

Richmond: Also home but a tougher game than Loyola, imho.

2 and 1 in this upcoming 3 game stretch would be a home run for this Rhody team. I just don’t know if we can pull it off because of our inconsistency. I have no idea what to expect from this team game to game or even half to half within games.

I’d be happy with 1 out of the next 3. That would be a win.

[SGreenwell]

As we head down the stretch, we have eight games left, and URI has notched 11 wins already. So far:

- 13 people have been eliminated, because they predicted 10 or less wins, or 20 or more wins.

- Another 14 entries will be eliminated after one more win (me) or one more loss (the other 13 entries).

- I don't think there has ever been a minimum games threshold for PPG, or, doing it by total points. Both are probably things I'll broach before next year's content. Right now, David Green leads with 15.6 PPG, followed by Jaden House with 15.0. Kortright and Montgomery are both around 10.3 PPG. Nobody picked Green for the contest, so if he leads the team in PPG, I'd probably instead award the prize to the second place PPG, which would be House. There are 19 people that guessed between 14.5 and 15.5 for House, so plenty of people still alive for this one! Jdrums#3 guesses 15.01, so he's the current leader if things ended today.

- URI is averaging 73.9 PPG. There are 16 guesses between 74.8 and 72 PPG. Closest to the number right now are PeterRamTime (73.91!) and hrstrat57 (74.1).

- Per game attendance is sitting at 4,197, according to the cumulative stats on GoRhody. Assuming a final range of 4,100 to 4,300, there are about six people in that range. 3mm's and NHRamFan are the closest to the current number, at 4155 and 4231.

[rjv]

I did not realize that there was such a huge drop in attendance this year compared to last year. If all game stay to average it will be down approx 13%
take out extra game this year it would be approx 19%. WOW!!!!!

[PeterRamTime]

As we head down the stretch, we have eight games left, and URI has notched 11 wins already. So far:

- 13 people have been eliminated, because they predicted 10 or less wins, or 20 or more wins.

- Another 14 entries will be eliminated after one more win (me) or one more loss (the other 13 entries).

- I don't think there has ever been a minimum games threshold for PPG, or, doing it by total points. Both are probably things I'll broach before next year's content. Right now, David Green leads with 15.6 PPG, followed by Jaden House with 15.0. Kortright and Montgomery are both around 10.3 PPG. Nobody picked Green for the contest, so if he leads the team in PPG, I'd probably instead award the prize to the second place PPG, which would be House. There are 19 people that guessed between 14.5 and 15.5 for House, so plenty of people still alive for this one! Jdrums#3 guesses 15.01, so he's the current leader if things ended today.

- URI is averaging 73.9 PPG. There are 16 guesses between 74.8 and 72 PPG. Closest to the number right now are PeterRamTime (73.91!) and hrstrat57 (74.1).

- Per game attendance is sitting at 4,197, according to the cumulative stats on GoRhody. Assuming a final range of 4,100 to 4,300, there are about six people in that range. 3mm's and NHRamFan are the closest to the current number, at 4155 and 4231.

Y'all can just call me Peterdamous from now on

[reef]

As we head down the stretch, we have eight games left, and URI has notched 11 wins already. So far:

- 13 people have been eliminated, because they predicted 10 or less wins, or 20 or more wins.

- Another 14 entries will be eliminated after one more win (me) or one more loss (the other 13 entries).

- I don't think there has ever been a minimum games threshold for PPG, or, doing it by total points. Both are probably things I'll broach before next year's content. Right now, David Green leads with 15.6 PPG, followed by Jaden House with 15.0. Kortright and Montgomery are both around 10.3 PPG. Nobody picked Green for the contest, so if he leads the team in PPG, I'd probably instead award the prize to the second place PPG, which would be House. There are 19 people that guessed between 14.5 and 15.5 for House, so plenty of people still alive for this one! Jdrums#3 guesses 15.01, so he's the current leader if things ended today.

- URI is averaging 73.9 PPG. There are 16 guesses between 74.8 and 72 PPG. Closest to the number right now are PeterRamTime (73.91!) and hrstrat57 (74.1).

- Per game attendance is sitting at 4,197, according to the cumulative stats on GoRhody. Assuming a final range of 4,100 to 4,300, there are about six people in that range. 3mm's and NHRamFan are the closest to the current number, at 4155 and 4231.

Really good numbers SG ! You are the man !

[NHRamFan]

One prediction contest I'd prefer to not win....

[NYGFan_Section208]

One prediction contest I'd prefer to not win....

Welp, you shoulda been more optimistic

[spookydog]

*posted in wrong thread*

[reef]

We lose out SG wins it ?

[RF1]

All but four contest entries eliminated with two games left (ytd record of 11-18). They were the most pessimistic on the season for URI:

64 RE_Bred 13 18 6 12 7 6 67.75 house 14.85 4621
65 notmikepowell 13 18 5 13 8 5 66.72 house 13.65 4998
66 ramfan85 13 18 7 11 6 7 65.10 house 14.25 4785
67 sgreenwell 11 20 5 13 6 7 66.5 house 16.4 4800

Most were far off the record mark as 53 of 67 participants had predicted a winning regular season. Seems many people did better guessing the average attendance which is presently at 4,305 with tonight's upcoming game the last.

[RF1]

Looks like Steve Greenwell with the worst record prediction wins the contest. Congratulations.

[SGreenwell]

Looks like Steve Greenwell with the worse record prediction wins the contest. Congratulations.

woooo im so happy

[reef]

Does Greenie win it if we beat Fordham ?

[hrstrat57]

Take the money and run. A contest win is a win!!