Football Season W-L predictions and expectations

[Brian Forster]

8-4- I say.
Break it down in small bites (LOL):

Have to win the north any year-get ahead of UNH and Maine -that is doable. Go 2-0 here.
Then on top of Albany and Stony Brook permanently. Albany certainly is beatable.
Stony Brook will be tough long haul. Lots of players on LI,proximity to NYC/NJ,facilities. They have owned Rhody.
Whoever comes out in top 2 of these 5 teams,probably makes the playoffs.

[Rhodymob05]

7-5 Tough to tell with a tough schedule and a new QB.

[rhodyfan3]

I'm going to go with 6-6.

Obviously two losses automatically with Ohio and VT.

I think road games @ Maine and @ UNH will be difficult.

JMU even at home I think would be a stretch to say the least.

Merrimack, W&M, Brown are must wins.

Delaware, Stony Brook, and Elon are toss ups. You can even throw UNH into the "toss up" category.

[PeterRamTime]

If we are saying our quarterback is good.

I think we are 8-4 and up.

If we think hes average.

6-6 us the best we will do.

If he is bad.

We may be bad.

[ramster]

8/31 at Ohio L
9/7 Delaware W
9/21 at New Hampshire W
9/28 Stony Brook L
10/5 at Brown 12:30 W
10/12 at Virginia Tech L
10/19 at Albany W
10/26 Elon L
11/2 Merrimack W
11/9 at William & Mary W
11/16 at Maine L
11/23 James Madison L

My optimistic self says 6-6
More likely to go 5-7 against a tough schedule this season
8-4 or 7-5 would be great accomplishments

[rambone 78]

I think ramster's take mirrors my own prediction wise.

If we had Lawson I would say 8-4 would be very doable.

With Vito at QB I think the ceiling is lower than with Perrantes. The earlier Perrantes gets game experience, the better in the long run.

Next year Vito will be a backup.

[Uncle Ed]

Unfortunately 4-8 is quite likely. The next 2 games are a must for a good season. Fleming has brought in talent but he has not shown that he knows how to win. His teams do not overachieve, they tend to find ways to lose. Vito is not the answer unless we have a nail down defense. But our defense is average at best and that is being kind. So I feel comfortable in predicting that after 6 seasons Fleming will be 17-51. Looking forward to Delaware and a huge victory under the lights.

[ramster]

Check in at the halfway point we are 1-5
6 games to go

[Iggy1979]

A QB with 2000 yards, two great receivers, a FG kicker with range. No defense but too much talent to keep losing!

[Brian Forster]

Good analysis Iggy,I would remove kicker and add Dorsey.
Carrick missed killer chip shots against Delaware and SB.

[bigappleram]

Add Dorsey and an NFL prospect lineman!

[rhodyfan3]

I thought my prediction of 6-6 was a realistic one. I still think 3 wins is attainable. You can beat Merrimack and maybe steal another down the stretch.

Albany on the road = very tough. They just beat up on #9 Towson.

Elon just demolished Delaware. Who knows what can happen in that one.

William and Mary is tougher than people think.

Maine has fallen off a little bit, but thats still a tough road game.

James Madison...#2 in the country.

[ramster]

Lawrence speaks to the upward trend the program continues to be on.

Looking back on his career, Lawrence has been a part of a recruiting class that has changed the culture of Rhode Island football. The Rams had their first winning season since 2001 in 2018 finishing 6-5. Lawrence spoke highly of how much the program has evolved in his time in Kingston and is optimistic for the future.
"This program is really, really going up," Lawrence said. "I always say to my peers and teammates, in a few years maybe two to five years, this place will be state-of-the-art, we'll have championships here at URI."

https://gorhody.com/sports/m-footbl/201 ... 1017jeix4v

[ramster]

Good analysis Iggy,I would remove kicker and add Dorsey.
Carrick missed killer chip shots against Delaware and SB.

Forster,
I don’t see your frustration with Carrick.
He missed 1 extra point

He leads the CAA having made 12-14 FGs for 85.7% and his longest of 44 yards

[Brian Forster]

Ramster-you were not at the Delaware and Stony brook games?
Carrick missed chip shot field goal Vs Hens that totally swung the momentum in 3rd Qtr..
Missed gimme extra point vs. SB that cost them the game .
To say he missed these badly (when it counted) would be an understatement.
They weren't even close. Season defining moments.
To his credit if the game is not in question,he's fine. Just so long as no pressure.

[NYGFan_Section208]

Ramster-you were not at the Delaware and Stony brook games?
Carrick missed chip shot field goal Vs Hens that totally swung the momentum in 3rd Qtr..
Missed gimme extra point vs. SB that cost them the game .
To say he missed these badly (when it counted) would be an understatement.
They weren't even close. Season defining moments.
To his credit if the game is not in question,he's fine. Just so long as no pressure.

No pressure, no diamonds

[ramster]

Ramster-you were not at the Delaware and Stony brook games?
Carrick missed chip shot field goal Vs Hens that totally swung the momentum in 3rd Qtr..
Missed gimme extra point vs. SB that cost them the game .
To say he missed these badly (when it counted) would be an understatement.
They weren't even close. Season defining moments.
To his credit if the game is not in question,he's fine. Just so long as no pressure.

No pressure, no diamonds

In the Delaware game Junior kicker C.J. Carrick was 3-of-4 on field goals, including a career-long 44-yard make with 19 seconds left in regulation to force overtime. Isn’t 19 seconds left in the game and he hits a career long FG under pressure?

He is 12-14 on FG for the season - best in the A10. I don’t understand the high level of dissatisfaction for the guy.

He has a shot at 1st Team all CAA.

I’m not saying he is all League, just trying to understand the negative comments against him I keep hearing.

[Iggy1979]

Agree with Ramster. This team has a lot problems, kicking isn't one

[Brian Forster]

I doubt very seriously the Coaches from Albany (didn't Carrick miss a FG there also?),Delaware and Stony Brook vote for him.
If Rams win 2-3 games,Fleming would go up to Carrick after last game and say"except for when the season came apart,you had a great year,I will push you for all league? All Conference goes to players from 1. winning teams 2. Reputation (deserved or undeserved).
Neither he or Castillo fit either.
I think its a shame and selfish with the season going down the tubes and their being major factors in it,that they are even worried about honors.

[ramster]

Who said Carrick and/or Javier-Castillo are worried about honors? I certainly never said they were.
My question to you was why are up you so don on Carrick. Then I presented Carrick’s statistics for the season, that’s all.

[rambone 78]

On a likely 2-10 team there shouldn't be any awards given out....except for incompetence

Fleming and son are eligible for that.

[RhowdyRam02]

Ramster-you were not at the Delaware and Stony brook games?
Carrick missed chip shot field goal Vs Hens that totally swung the momentum in 3rd Qtr..
Missed gimme extra point vs. SB that cost them the game .
To say he missed these badly (when it counted) would be an understatement.
They weren't even close. Season defining moments.
To his credit if the game is not in question,he's fine. Just so long as no pressure.

You're right, I'm sure there was no pressure on that 44 yarder with 19 seconds left against Delaware to send that one into overtime. Also he didn't cost us Stony Brook, letting their QB waltz in to the end zone from the 50 on 4th and 6 is what cost us.

[RhowdyRam02]

A QB with 2000 yards, two great receivers, a FG kicker with range. No defense but too much talent to keep losing!

We all expected the offense to take a hit from last year with the QB change, but it hasn't been that bad. When you look at conference games plus Brown we went from 29-26 points a game. We needed the defense to pick up the expected slack, but it's gone the other way. Last year we gave up 24.3 points per game, this year it's up to 33.8.

If you had told me Vito was going to complete 61% of his passes and have a slightly better than 2-1 TD-INT ratio and the offense was only going to average 3 points a game less against our closest competitors I would have sworn that we would be talking about an outside chance at the playoffs instead of a lost season.

So what is the issue with the defense? Last year they had a bunch of injuries, so you would have thought there was a chance at holding the line if not improving. Why are we giving up almost 10 points per game more? I think this is especially alarming because Fleming is supposed to be a defensive coach.

[Brian Forster]

Rhowdy-have you been to a game this season?
Sure,doesn't read like it?

[rambone 78]

Again, they have no depth on defense and they are undersized.

That's where the focus should be when it comes to recruiting.

As for Fleming, I heard yesterday from someone who knows, that he has NOT been extended.

If he's canned, which I think now is likely, Thorr has to increase the salary pool for the assistant coaches...just like in BB.

No more nepotism hires for OC...…..

[Uncle Ed]

Not too interested in who won the W-L prediction but I am very interested in "expectations". Over the past few weeks we have seen a pretend football school - BC, fire their coach after going 44-44 in 7 seasons, and a real football schools like USC seriously contemplating removing there head coach for going something like 40-20 in his 5 years. OK I get it that URI cannot be labeled anything but a football wasteland. But I am at a loss of how even a school with no expectations can keep a coach with a 15-58 record? How can Fleming recruit any player who is good enough to have multiple schools interested in them? What is the recruitment pitch? "URI is a beautiful place and you can live on the beach?" or perhaps, "At URI you don't have to stress out about losing, keeping some games close is good enough!" Fleming will get fired after 1 or 2 wins next year - when he has 1 year left on his contract - but at that point you will have already condemned the current players to nothing but more losses and the reality URI just does not give a shit. Is there anyway to get a comment on the football program from Thorr? I would love to hear what he has to say. Even if he states it is time to close the program down and turn Meade into a nice track/soccer venue. Give us something Thorr!

[rambone 78]

Thorr will always go the AD speak route.

And it's true URI does not give a shit about football. Or about winning at it anyway.

I thought Fleming's contract was either up or has one more year.

He is basically a lame duck coach with a lame OC and underpaid staff.

Unless someone comes forward and helps to buy Fleming out [a la Baron] he's probably here another year I guess.

Recruiting will also be lame....who wants to play for a coach who's about to leave?

Expect nothing and get nothing....that should be the football program's slogan.

[RhowdyRam02]

The publicly available term of Fleming's contract ended after this past season. Where there has been no announcement of a coaching search it appears his contract was extended since the end of summer camp or they're still working on something, however if there was an extension that hasn't been announced either, so who the hell knows what's going on?

The fact that no one knows the contract status of the head football coach at a state university is mind boggling. I understand we're a basketball school, but football is still out second biggest sport. There should be some kind of public announcement one way or the other in regard to what is happening with the coaching situation.

[rambone 78]

The publicly available term of Fleming's contract ended after this past season. Where there has been no announcement of a coaching search it appears his contract was extended since the end of summer camp or they're still working on something, however if there was an extension that hasn't been announced either, so who the hell knows what's going on?

The fact that no one knows the contract status of the head football coach at a state university is mind boggling. I understand we're a basketball school, but football is still out second biggest sport. There should be some kind of public announcement one way or the other in regard to what is happening with the coaching situation.

Nothing literally screams "small time" more than the URI football program.

Thorr who otherwise in my opinion has done a good job resurrecting the overall performance of the sports programs at URI, falls flat on his face when it comes to football. Which is odd when he's supposedly a "football guy".

[Brian Forster]

Coach Flem is on the road recruiting.
The "plan" must have been approved.

[rambone 78]

Pathetic. Only here.

[rambone 78]

On espn.com they have a weekly article called "The Bottom Ten"....referring to the current 10 worst FBS programs.

UConn is a regular member....they're called U Can't.....lot of funny stuff.

Good thing they don't have a Bottom Ten for FBS programs, or else we'd be right up there every year...charter member so to speak lol.

[rhodyfan3]

Coach Flem is on the road recruiting.
The "plan" must have been approved.

I saw him at the PC-URI game last night with some other players and coaches

[NYGFan_Section208]

Coach Flem is on the road recruiting.
The "plan" must have been approved.

I saw him at the PC-URI game last night with some other players and coaches

What?! And they didn't show him on the big screen and introduce him to the crowd?? Have him stand up and wave?
...'nother big marketing opportunity missed?

[Brian Forster]

Dooley and Thor shaking hands and high fiving people last night.
Amazing.

[bigappleram]

Um, you mean after we won a big basketball game?

[Rhody15]

Dooley and Thor shaking hands and high fiving people last night.
Amazing.

Were they supposed to be upset we beat PC?