2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Billyboy78 » 1 week ago

And I think we sell out every game after this UMass game.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody74 » 1 week ago

I'm hoping for 6,000+ for UMass.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody83 » 1 week ago

Encouraged by the attendance. Today was great. I believe the biggest factor for the increase are the 15% increase in season tickets (associate this with last year’s NCAA tournament) and the increase in 5 packs due to the PC game. If you look at the attendance all of the big #s are five pack games (PC, Charleston, Mason & Bonnies). There is only one 5 pack game left. Does anyone know what games were in the 5 pack last year? How many were in late Jan and Feb last year?

We have 6 home games left. Dayton and Davidson (both part of game plans and historically good crowds) will be very good.
I think the UMass game will be below the current average (students not back and week day game).
The Duquesne game could be really strong (students back, Saturday early game) especially if Rhody and Duquesne are 1st & 2nd.
Richmond game will be below current average (they suck).
St Joe’s game could be good because it is Sr. Night and a lot of people will show up for these Seniors.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody74 » 1 week ago

I think senior night will be a sellout regardless of the opposition. ...
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ramster » 1 week ago

Rhody83 wrote:Encouraged by the attendance. Today was great. I believe the biggest factor for the increase are the 15% increase in season tickets (associate this with last year’s NCAA tournament) and the increase in 5 packs due to the PC game. If you look at the attendance all of the big #s are five pack games (PC, Charleston, Mason & Bonnies). There is only one 5 pack game left. Does anyone know what games were in the 5 pack last year? How many were in late Jan and Feb last year?

We have 6 home games left. Dayton and Davidson (both part of game plans and historically good crowds) will be very good.
I think the UMass game will be below the current average (students not back and week day game).
The Duquesne game could be really strong (students back, Saturday early game) especially if Rhody and Duquesne are 1st & 2nd.
Richmond game will be below current average (they suck).
St Joe’s game could be good because it is Sr. Night and a lot of people will show up for these Seniors.


The biggest factor in the attendance record is really two things:
1. URI Winning the A10 and then their performance in the NCAA Tournament last season which carried over in this season increased ticked sales of all types - Season, Mini Pack 3, Mini Pack 5, Students, Be a Student Again and Single Game sales

2. Better performance this season over last season at this point after 16 games:

13-3 versus 10-6 last year overall
5-0 versus 2-2 in A10

As for future games I would agree with Billyboy's comments regarding sellouts

For sure Senior Night will sell out - better buy your tickets now. Very Special Seniors on this team - and EC completing his 5th year at URI
UMASS probably 6000 or more will be the least attended of the remaining games
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ramster » 1 week ago

Dan is expecting a big crowd for UMASS just like today "because winning does this"

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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby KevanBoyles » 1 week ago

Average Cost of a ticket?
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby RF1 » 1 week ago

Rhode Island needs to average 6,563 for its last six games to break the 6,000 season average mark goal. URI averaged 6,207 last year in its final six home games. That number was however kept down by a sub 4k crowd for the game with Fordham. Rhody would need just an increase of 6% over the attendance of the final six games of LY to raise the average for this current season to 6,000 which would be the all time best for the Ryan Center. They are presently tracking at a greater than 20% increase over LY numbers so this is well within reason.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ATPTourFan » 1 week ago

The 6000 barrier is going DOWN this year!
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby RF1 » 1 week ago

ATPTourFan wrote:The 6000 barrier is going DOWN this year!


Not there yet. I however think it is a real possibility barring any severe weather games. The forecast this Wednesday for the UMass game has snow so that may influence attendance for that game. In New England, you never know with our weather.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby reef » 1 week ago

Bye bye 6k barrier bye bye !!!
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody83 » 6 days ago

My prediction for remaining home games:
UMass 5,000 paid (actual attendance could be lower due to snow)
Duquesne 6,000-6,500
Davidson 7,000+
Richmond 5,000
Dayton 7,000+
St Joes sellout
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Billyboy78 » 6 days ago

Rhody83 wrote:My prediction for remaining home games:
UMass 5,000 paid (actual attendance could be lower due to snow)
Duquesne 6,000-6,500
Davidson 7,000+
Richmond 5,000
Dayton 7,000+
St Joes sellout

I think Duquesne, Davidson and Dayton will all be sellouts. All mini-plan games and all with the students back, two on Friday night and the other on Saturday. Plus, they all start with D.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby RhowdyRam02 » 6 days ago

I'm hopeful that with the snow forecast trending downward that attendance won't be effected too much
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ATPTourFan » 5 days ago

Yeah snow will be over early afternoon. I real accumulations down here in SK anyway.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody74 » 5 days ago

Switched over in Westerly aleeady.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Billyboy78 » 5 days ago

Attendance will not be good tonight. Tons of tickets left.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ramster » 5 days ago

Still snowing in center of the state at 11:30am but slowing down.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody83 » 5 days ago

Billyboy78 wrote:Attendance will not be good tonight. Tons of tickets left.


Because it isn’t part of Game Plan and students aren’t back. That is still thr formular for this year.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody83 » 5 days ago

Billyboy78 wrote:
Rhody83 wrote:My prediction for remaining home games:
UMass 5,000 paid (actual attendance could be lower due to snow)
Duquesne 6,000-6,500
Davidson 7,000+
Richmond 5,000
Dayton 7,000+
St Joes sellout

I think Duquesne, Davidson and Dayton will all be sellouts. All mini-plan games and all with the students back, two on Friday night and the other on Saturday. Plus, they all start with D.


Duquesne and Dayton are part of 3 game plan. You get to choose the 3rd game (but couldn’t be PC). We don’t know how many 3 game plans were sold. We do know there were a lot of 5 game plans sold (2,500+) because of PC game. We also have a campus that can empty out on weekends. Hopefully 1,000 students come to the Friday night & Saturday games. I don’t think Duquense sells out and I think Dayton will fall a little short. Davidson has the best chance for a sellout because it is part of the 5 game plan.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ramster » 5 days ago

Rhody83 wrote:
Billyboy78 wrote:
Rhody83 wrote:My prediction for remaining home games:
UMass 5,000 paid (actual attendance could be lower due to snow)
Duquesne 6,000-6,500
Davidson 7,000+
Richmond 5,000
Dayton 7,000+
St Joes sellout

I think Duquesne, Davidson and Dayton will all be sellouts. All mini-plan games and all with the students back, two on Friday night and the other on Saturday. Plus, they all start with D.


Duquesne and Dayton are part of 3 game plan. You get to choose the 3rd game (but couldn’t be PC). We don’t know how many 3 game plans were sold. We do know there were a lot of 5 game plans sold (2,500+) because of PC game. We also have a campus that can empty out on weekends. Hopefully 1,000 students come to the Friday night & Saturday games. I don’t think Duquense sells out and I think Dayton will fall a little short. Davidson has the best chance for a sellout because it is part of the 5 game plan.



Here are my predictions:
Jan 17 Wednesday:7pm-UMASS (5,600)
Jan 27 Saturday:12pm-Duquesne-3-Game (7,657) IF Duquesne comes in (7-1) in the A10 on Saturday Jan 27
Latest RPIForecast for next 3 Duquesne Games before URI:
1-17 @ Saint Louis (207.8) 40% chance to win (-2.9 points)
1-20 George Mason (217.3) 71% chance to win(6.2 points)
1-24 Richmond (233.5) 68% chance to win (5.2 points)

Feb 9 Friday:7pm-Davidson-5-Game (7,657)
Feb 13 Tuesday:8:30pm-Richmond (6,800)
Feb 23 Friday:7pm-Dayton-3-Game/5-Game (7,657)
Feb 27 Tuesday:7pm-St Joseph's-Senior Night (7,657)
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ATPTourFan » 5 days ago

Very good crowd. Ramster was right! Maybe 5500 or more.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby twisted3829 » 5 days ago

5583 officially
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ATPTourFan » 5 days ago

Pretty good guess. 6000+ Average is happening. Coach Hurley even sounds happy about the state of things.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ramster » 5 days ago

twisted3829 wrote:5583 officially


So I was off by 17. I wonder if they counted the Karate Kids who performed at halftime :D

The days of seeing 4000 to 4500 as some predicted because it was a weeknight, a opponent, students are not in session, weather is bad, etc are over.
This team is something special, believe me, I saw it tonight once again, and this team is still improving. This team is better than it was a week ago, two weeks ago.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby reef » 4 days ago

Way to represent Rhody Nation !!!
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby RF1 » 4 days ago

The season average attendance is now at 5,655 through eleven games. This is a 19% increase over LY.

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2017-18 YTD
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE | LY AVG | DIFF | %
UNC-Asheville | 6,367 | 6,367 | 6,367 | 6,052 | 315 | 5.2%
Holy Cross | 4,309 | 10,676 | 5,338 | 5,037 | 302 | 6.0%
Brown | 4,485 | 15,161 | 5,054 | 5,234 | (181) | -3.5%
Providence | 7,959 | 23,120 | 5,780 | 5,082 | 698 | 13.7%
Charleston | 5,761 | 28,881 | 5,776 | 4,916 | 860 | 17.5%
Iona | 4,381 | 33,262 | 5,544 | 4,686 | 858 | 18.3%
Florida Gulf Coast | 5,347 | 38,609 | 5,516 | 4,527 | 989 | 21.8%
George Mason | 6,383 | 44,992 | 5,624 | 4,446 | 1,178 | 26.5%
LaSalle | 4,549 | 49,541 | 5,505 | 4,369 | 1,136 | 26.0%
St. Bonaventure | 7,082 | 56,623 | 5,662 | 4,552 | 1,110 | 24.4%
UMass | 5,583 | 62,206 | 5,655 | 4,753 | 903 | 19.0%

RHODE ISLAND HOME ATTENDANCE 2016-17
OPPONENT | ATTENDANCE | TO DATE | AVERAGE
Dartmouth | 6,052 | 6,052 | 6,052
Marist | 4,021 | 10,073 | 5,037
Brown | 5,630 | 15,703 | 5,234
Belmont | 4,626 | 20,329 | 5,082
Old Dominion | 4,250 | 24,579 | 4,916
Holy Cross | 3,537 | 28,116 | 4,686
William & Mary | 3,570 | 31,686 | 4,527
St. Joe's | 3,880 | 35,566 | 4,446
La Salle | 3,753 | 39,319 | 4,369
UMass | 6,202 | 45,521 | 4,552
St. Bonaventure | 6,757 | 52,278 | 4,753
George Washington | 5,190 | 57,468 | 4,789
Dayton | 7,394 | 64,862 | 4,989
Fordham | 3,791 | 68,653 | 4,904
VCU | 6,845 | 75,498 | 5,033
Davidson | 7,263 | 82,761 | 5,173
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby RF1 » 4 days ago

URI's total attendance to date is now at 62,206. It needs 33,794 more patrons to hit the 6k average (96,000) for the full regular home season of 16 games. It would therefore need to average 6,759 for the final five games to reach the desired mark.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Billyboy78 » 4 days ago

I'm glad I was wrong about UMass attendance. I think I predicted 4500-5000. Anyway, the Duquesne game is 9 days away and there are very few seats left, probably around 500. And the students are back! Definitely, 100%, will be a sellout.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody74 » 4 days ago

RF1 wrote:URI's total attendance to date is now at 62,206. It needs 33,794 more patrons to hit the 6k average (96,000) for the full regular home season of 16 games. It would therefore need to average 6,759 for the final five games to reach the desired mark.

That's doable now that the students are coming back.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody83 » 4 days ago

Billyboy78 wrote:I'm glad I was wrong about UMass attendance. I think I predicted 4500-5000. Anyway, the Duquesne game is 9 days away and there are very few seats left, probably around 500. And the students are back! Definitely, 100%, will be a sellout.


That is great news on Duquesne tickets. I am not an expert on the dots/ticket availability. Others on the board have said that counting the dots a week+ in advance is not accurate because URI releases more tickets/dots closer to the game.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby reef » 3 days ago

I think we can get that 6759 avg to get over 6 k we will be ranked soon
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ATPTourFan » 3 days ago

Hope we come out of UD arena unscathed. Nothing is a given on the road.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Obadiah » 1 day ago

Here is a summary of the year-to-date average game attendance/utilization for each A-10 school:

Rank	 School	        Avg. Attend.  Arena Cap.  % Utilization

1. Dayton 12,932 13,455 96
2. VCU 7,637 7,637 100
3. Richmond 6,296 7,201 87
4. Saint Louis 5,893 10,600 56
5. URI 5,655 7,657 74
6. Davidson* 3,592 5,295 68
7. St. Bonaventure 3,874 5,480 92
8. Saint Joseph's 3,784 4,200 90
9. George Mason 3,567 10,000 36
10. UMass 2,796 9,493 29
11. George Washington 2,508 5,000 50
12. La Salle 1,884 3,400 55
13. Duquesne 1,541 4,390 35
14. Fordham 1,410 3,200 44


*Overall Davidson attendance data includes a game played in the Spectrum Arena in Charlotte which drew 11,395. That attendance figure is not included in calculating Davidson's average attendance or arena utilization.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ATPTourFan » 16 hours ago

I would think you must exclude games not played in primary arenas for the utilization rate.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody15 » 15 hours ago

Whether the team is good or bad, Richmond always seems to draw rather well.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Obadiah » 13 hours ago

ATP, I agree and have made the correction.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby RF1 » 12 hours ago

Rhody15 wrote:Whether the team is good or bad, Richmond always seems to draw rather well.



You have to give their fans a lot of credit. This has been an especially tough season on the court for the Spiders yet people still show up. Impressive loyalty.

With the season trending as it is, the question for league attendance rankings will be does the URI fan-base have it in them to jump either or both of Richmond and St Louis? I am expecting big crowds from here on out. If URI were to come close to selling out all of its last five games, it could conceivably make the jump to 3rd.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby reef » 8 hours ago

Agree on Richmond fans very impressive and loyal fan base
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Billyboy78 » 3 hours ago

Looks like about 300 tickets left for Duquesne. That doesn't include the 1500 student seats, but I'm pretty sure they will all be full.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby theblueram » 3 hours ago

This game needs to sellout soon. So it can be announced early which will give incentive on the next game.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Billyboy78 » 3 hours ago

Of those 300 seats, about half of them are the obstructed view seats.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ramster » 3 hours ago

Duquesne is at home vs Richmond Wednesday night

Conceivable that URI goes into this game 16-3 (8-0) and Duquesne goes in 15-6 (6-2)

Looking forward to seeing Eric Williams Jr on Saturday

A10 Standings.png
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby theblueram » 2 hours ago

At this point it's not about seeing the opponent. Not many teams have a better RPI than 10. This is about seeing a great URI team.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby ramster » 2 hours ago

theblueram wrote:At this point it's not about seeing the opponent. Not many teams have a better RPI than 10. This is about seeing a great URI team.


Always has been for me. No team has too poor an RPI for me. But I’m also an A10 fan and I’m excited about some of the top Freshmen this year including Williams, French, Goodwin, Crutcher and Grady.

I said weeks ago these last 5 games will sell out and they will.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Rhody83 » 2 hours ago

The casual fan can be impacted by the opponent. Dayton, VCU & Davidson are going to draw more fans than Richmond and Fordham.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Billyboy78 » 2 hours ago

Rhody83 wrote:The casual fan can be impacted by the opponent. Dayton, VCU & Davidson are going to draw more fans than Richmond and Fordham.

I'm not sure the casual fans know the difference. I have a lot of casual fans in my section. When EZ yells "Rhody, Rhody, Rhody", their response is "Rhody, Rhody, Rhody". Baby steps...
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby theblueram » 2 hours ago

only a couple hundred seats left for casuals. And they are probably obstructed. After we take care of business on Wednesday, Saturday is going to be the real deal.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby RF1 » 1 hour ago

My guess is that with the national ranking and current ongoing win streaks, the five remaining games will all be near sellouts. I am growing confident that the 6k average will not only be beat but may be topped by a few hundred. The only thing that might hinder attendance at this point is a severe weather event. If that were to happen, I think URI would open the building up to on campus students (has been done in the past) who would be much more inclined to go to the remaining games than years past.

These are truly special days in Kingston. Savor them.
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Re: 2017-18 Attendance Prediction Summary

Postby Obadiah » 1 hour ago

If the Rams come close to selling out all five remaining games, total season attendance will pass 100,000 for the first time in history and Seawrightspostgame will be the winner of the contest!!!!
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