KeaneyBlue - The URI Basketball Forum

URI2006_Andy

VCU beat St. Bonaventure at home by 28. That win at VCU was huge.

URI2006_Andy

Since league play our defense has gotten better and our offense has gotten worse. And agree, it’s frustrating, but when their offense is failing them, they win on defense. That’s why you have to take a 3 on 2 opportunity against the press after you break it. Sometimes risking a turnover for a layup...

URI2006_Andy

Cox has a terrible strategy against the press. You have to attack (or at least look to attack) the basket once you break it. We slow it up.

And a terrible time-out strategy. Have to call the timeouts at the start of the run. I.e. when it went from 13 to 8. Can’t wait for a media timeout.

URI2006_Andy

Duquesne went from 47 to 53 in NET.

Dayton, Duquesne, URI, Richmond and St. Louis have all moved up in NET since A-10 play has started. VCU only down 5 spots despite going 2-2.

NET doesn’t hurt the A-10. The committee only utilizing NET when it wants to, hurts the A-10.

URI2006_Andy

VCU 50 St Louis 51 Duquesne 53 Richmond 59 URI 63 All five teams have a home game vs Dayton. Someone is going to get a big jump for beating them. (Like Alabama moving from 58 to 44 for a home win vs Auburn). Although Dayton looks great, they will only be a slight favorite in these games. Hard to exp...

URI2006_Andy

It's like yesterdays win has given us a second chance. Won't mean much if we stumble again though. Winning consistently is what makes a tournament team. This team hasn’t shown it yet. Haven’t had more than a 3 game winning streak. I still think 11-4 (doesn’t matter who we beat) the rest of the way ...

URI2006_Andy

adam914 wrote: ↑4 years ago Truth is we probably can't afford to lose any of the next 8 games if we truly want to get back into the at-large conversation.

We’re in the at-large conversation now. One game at a time. Starting with this one which is always scary.

URI2006_Andy

How hard is it to get a road win vs a top 50 NET team?

27 out of the 36 teams projected to be in the field as at-large bids (bracket matrix) have ZERO top 50 road wins.

No school in the country has more than 2.

URI2006_Andy

Rhodymob05 wrote: ↑4 years ago Current Net-86 (jumped 4 sports from 90)
Current Kenpom-85
RPI- 69 (nice)

A nice little bump, but we need to win a LOT.

Still in striking distance if we could pull it together.

URI2006_Andy

Shows you how close these rankings are. Move up 10 spots without playing a game. Teams 30-100 not much difference. Going to come down to who plays well and consistently wins games in conference.

URI2006_Andy

The A-10 is likely getting 3 teams in, maybe 4. No way, Dayton might be the only 1 getting a bid if Dayton wins the A10T. Looking like 2, Dayton and somebody else winning the A10T. VCU is barely hanging on right now, Mason, Richmond, and Duquesne have fallen off. Nobody else is contending right now...

URI2006_Andy

.....according to Team Rankings, we are now a 21% to Dance, down 16 as result of Brown loss....their #70 ranked Spiders game against their #81 ranked Rams give URI a 58% to win......also, they predict now the Rams will finish overall 19-11 and 11-7 in A-10..... Seems fair. In the end, I don’t think...

URI2006_Andy

13-5 will be enough. It won’t matter where the 13 wins come from because, if we go 0-4 against VCU and Dayton, that means we’re 13-1 against everyone else (and that will solidify us as the 3rd team out of the A-10). Temple 62 Temple went 13-5 in AAC and lost in Quarterfinals of conference tourney a...

URI2006_Andy

13-5 will be enough. It won’t matter where the 13 wins come from because, if we go 0-4 against VCU and Dayton, that means we’re 13-1 against everyone else (and that will solidify us as the 3rd team out of the A-10). The A-10 is likely getting 3 teams in, maybe 4. The closest comp from last year is t...

URI2006_Andy

Pop and Pick: URI edition The University of Rhode Island will host Providence College tomorrow night at the Ryan Center. Sometimes it can be challenging for home crowds to bring energy against low level teams. Just ask PC Coach, Ed Cooley, who criticized his fans after a win against St. Peter’s earl...

URI2006_Andy

With minutes. [And in brackets, the plus minus vs lesser competition] Lineup Plus/Minus For games vs MD, ALA, LSU, WVU [Tier 2 games LIU Nich NT Man] For Lineups with 3+ minutes Lineup +/- (minutes) [vs Tier 2 ] JD, TM, JT, DT, CL +9 (8.03) [under 1 min] FR, TM, JT, JH, CL +8 (10.97) [ no minutes] F...

URI2006_Andy

KevanBoyles wrote: ↑4 years ago This tells me that Toppin should be the first player of the bench.

Toppin for Martin or Toppin for Harris has been negative results so far.

URI2006_Andy

If anyone wants the raw data and makeshift formulas (in excel), I am happy to share. (Message me your email) I copied and pasted the play by play from stats.ncaa.org.

URI2006_Andy

Lineup Plus/Minus vs Top Tier Teams For games vs MD, ALA, LSU, WVU For Lineups with 4+ minutes JD, TM, JT, DT, CL +9 FR, TM, JT, JH, CL +8 FR, JD, ML, JT, JH +6 FR, TM, ML, JT, CL +3 FR, JD, TM, JH, CL +2 FR, JD, TM, JT, JH +1 FR, JD, TM, DT, JH -3 FR, JD, JT, DT, JH -4 FR, JD, ML, JT, CL -4 FR, JD,...

URI2006_Andy

If URI is a tournament team, we’ll be in. The opportunities will be there all season long.

Given our schedule and the success of the conference, I don’t see any “must-win” games. The key is compiling wins. If we go 1-6 or 0-7 vs Dayton/VCU/PC/WV/WKU then we won’t have enough wins anyways.

URI2006_Andy

The more I see Jermaine the more I think he is playing out of position at the 4. He can be our center the next two years. I am fine with him continuing to start but I also think we are going to see a lot of smaller lineups with Tate and/or Toppin in there with Cyril or Jermaine. I think you’re righ...

URI2006_Andy

Langevine played with great intelligence yesterday. First couple of possessions, he tried to force it against double teams. Then he adjusted to a pass-first mentality which opened everything up. Langevine’s passing ability will open up the high-low game with Harris in addition to getting the slasher...

URI2006_Andy

I counted the dots = 750. I know that isn’t always accurate but what info would you have differently that there are a ton of tickets left? The dots assume all the students seats are taken. If the 750 seats left is correct and they get a full student crowd, that would put the crowd at 7100+. If you ...

URI2006_Andy

There’s a different dynamic to this team when Harris is on the court and playing with energy. (WV game, 1st half yesterday). He clearly can do it against good competition.

URI2006_Andy

For those who think we take too many 3s: .91 points per 3 point shot .59 points per 2 point shot Dowtin/Russell/Martin 6/13 from 3. Dowtin/Russell/Martin 3/21 from 2. And that doesn’t count the turnovers trying to score inside. As well as the run-outs for MD after a guard is trying to finish near th...

URI2006_Andy

I see the value in URI knowing ASAP who is renewing their season tickets and who is not. I will do a better job letting them know next season. There is also value in not upsetting your season ticket holders. And it was upsetting for me to learn that URI accepted my full payment and sent me a confir...

URI2006_Andy

I see the value in URI knowing ASAP who is renewing their season tickets and who is not. I will do a better job letting them know next season. There is also value in not upsetting your season ticket holders. And it was upsetting for me to learn that URI accepted my full payment and sent me a confirm...

URI2006_Andy

Over the weekend, I renewed my season tickets. I’ve had the same seats for over 5 years and my confirmation email listed my same seats. This morning I got a call from URI saying my seats weren’t available because I missed a May 1st deadline. I admit I received the blast emails and voicemails about a...

URI2006_Andy

The dunk of the south was Cooley’s quote. I think he was just saying PC plays well at MSG and gets a lot of fan support, almost like it’s a home game for them.

The fact that there was no mention of URI winning the A-10 in 2017 and going the finals last year is more aggravating.

URI2006_Andy

Wins over a solid St. Louis team and VCU so that could be a factor to what this team is capable of doing. Those wins are evidence that confidence is the primary problem. Look at VCU on Tuesday. Billed as a terrible 3 point shooting team, they hit 11 3s because they shot with confidence. When confid...

URI2006_Andy

Cox is right. We need to see the ball go in the basket. But it’s his job to instill confidence and encourage guys to shoot. The strategy to start the season was to be free on offense and to shoot the 3. We had a few bad shooting nights and the strategy changed. Go back to the original strategy, inst...

URI2006_Andy

Langevine 44 minutes today. His sweet spot is 28-30 minutes. When Langevine plays 13 or less minutes in a half: 13 - at SLU -1st half 25-25 13 - at Richmond - 2nd half 34-33 12 - at Davidson - 1st half 27-30 12 - vs VCU - 2nd half 50-40 11 - vs StB - 1st half 34-20 11 - at Richmond - 1st half 44-34

URI2006_Andy

One of my favorite games at the Ryan Center was vs Richmond in 2010. It was snowing out but the Ryan Center was packed and energized. The winner would all but seal up an NCAA bid. We got off to like a 9-0 lead and the place was rocking. Richmond ended up winning by 2. Cothran had an open 3 at the bu...

URI2006_Andy

DC_Rams wrote: ↑5 years ago
theblueram wrote: ↑5 years ago Does anyone think Martin can handle the 2G?
Absolutely NOT. He is not a good ball handler, and I love the kid.

We don’t have 2G on this team. We’re either giving up shooting and height or giving up ball-handling. We’ve tried one way. Why not give the other a try?

URI2006_Andy

There’s no rule against having one of your best players come off the bench. It’s whatever works. We lack a dynamic player coming off the bench. Fatts would be that guy. We lack an identity. And a big starting lineup with a dynamic guard off the bench may be it. I also think Harris should get more mi...

URI2006_Andy

Ramster, I like that starting 5 too. Plus Fatts can be a spark off the bench, something we lack. And with that lineup, Fatts could sub in for any of the 5 starters. Then down the stretch, you go with the 5 guys playing the best that game.

URI2006_Andy

Sometimes the best 5 guys isn’t the best 5-man unit. Harris played his best half when Langevine sat because of foul trouble vs WV. Martin and Tate played their best games when Fatts was hurt. Now is the time to try different combinations and see what works. And I thought the poor 3 point shooting ma...

URI2006_Andy

One final thought on the WVA game.....I thought it was great that Cox had the guys keep pushing aggressively attacking the hoop until the very end......no standing around trying to shorten the game.....this was something that I hoped we would see, and I know it's still very early in DC's HC career,...

URI2006_Andy

I think there are only 2 programs that move the needle. UConn and Gonzaga. I don’t see either one wanting to go to the Big East. UConn would lose football money and Gonzaga would have to travel for all sports. The AAC schools should agree to dissolve the AAC and start a new football only conference....

URI2006_Andy

The refs got so bad our group at the game was trying to come up with the infractions they hadn’t called. They kept knocking them off one by one. On top of the 56 fouls called here is what we got to experience: 70 FT attempts 1 double T 1 T on a coach 1 T on a player 2 flagrant fouls 1 delay of game...

URI2006_Andy

Great atmosphere. I am usually able to find some small things to complain about strategy wise. Hard to do in that one. Even stayed aggressive late, getting a couple of layups instead of waiting for the foul and having to take 2 free throws.

URI2006_Andy

We are now shooting 49.83% for two from the field for the season. If we only shot twos, we would be 23 in the country in field-goal percentage. It’s not rocket science. Shoot more twos. If we shoot 50% from two we make 20 points on every 20 shots. If we shoot 20% from three we make twelve points on...

URI2006_Andy

Middle of the second half when we made a little run, Martin had an open 3 that would’ve brought us to within 4. If he hits that, completely different game. The pressure shifts and we gain some confidence. I don’t bring that up to blame Martin but rather to show that this game wasn’t far off from a g...

URI2006_Andy

It’s interesting to see the split of opinion between those who want more touches for Langevine and those who think that strategy is unsustainable against good competition. I still lean with the unsustainable group but not as heavily as I did. If you’re going to make a low post player the focal poin...

URI2006_Andy

It’s interesting to see the split of opinion between those who want more touches for Langevine and those who think that strategy is unsustainable against good competition. I still lean with the unsustainable group but not as heavily as I did. If you’re going to make a low post player the focal point...

URI2006_Andy

If we can't make 3's then shoot them less...try working the ball a little more.....Fatts needs to see pine if he starts missing from the get go tonight. Let Dowtin run the show and we have a chance. Disagree. I think we should shoot more 3s, with more conviction. I’m with your nyg fan. Shoot more 3...

URI2006_Andy

I’m not familiar with how the NET formula works. And, as mentioned above by ATP, it is considered proprietary so I may never understand the details. I am aware of the 5 elements that were given to the public: team value index, net effeciency, winning percentage, adjusted win percentage, and scoring ...

URI2006_Andy

I know I’m outnumbered, but here’s my pitch for NET. 1. Look at the list of schools with the best RPIs to be left out of the tournament and look at the list of schools with the worst RPIs given an at-large spot - It’s clear who benefited when the selection committee strayed from the RPI. 2. Now we h...

URI2006_Andy

KenPom is great for predicting who will win if two teams played each other. But that is not the standard that should be used to determine an at-large selection. The standard should be which team has earned the spot. That is what NET seeks to answer. KenPom is simply a tool that allows you to say my...

URI2006_Andy

KenPom is great for predicting who will win if two teams played each other. But that is not the standard that should be used to determine an at-large selection. The standard should be which team has earned the spot. That is what NET seeks to answer. KenPom is simply a tool that allows you to say my ...

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